Aaron Rodgers Closing in on Tom Brady in MVP Betting Boards

Tom Brady And Aaron Rodgers NFL MVP Odds

  • The NFL MVP race has turned into a tight contest between Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers at the best NFL sportsbooks.
  • Brady suffered his first ever home shutout loss on Sunday while Rodgers tied Brett Favre’s Packers TD record while leading Green Bay to a third straight division title.
  • Brady is now listed at +140 and Rodgers at +175 at Caesars Sportsbook.

The NFL’s MVP race took a dramatic turn on Sunday as the top two betting favorites Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers took different turns in their respective week 15 assignments.

Brady entered the weekend having pulled away from Rodgers and the field. The Bucs’ QB had seen his odds enter minus money territory after last weekend’s 33-27 win over the Buffalo Bills. But as it has been this season, the NFL MVP betting boards have been so volatile that one game can change it drastically.

Brady Shut Out For First Time in 15 Years

Brady suffered the first shutout home loss of his legendary career and his first shutout loss since 2006. Sunday’s defeat ended a streak of 255 games without being shut out, the 2nd longest in the history of the NFL. What made it worse than the loss came in a game where the Bucs were favored to win by 10.5 points and where Tampa Bay was a 6/1 Moneyline betting favorite. Brady finished with his worst game of the season, completing just 26 of 48 passes for 214 yards with 1 INT while being sacked four times.

On the other hand, Rodgers threw for 286 yards with three TD passes and zero interception as Green Bay defeated a Lamar-less Baltimore team 31-30. Forget the fact that the Packers nearly squandered a 14-point fourth-quarter lead in the game and that they needed a big defensive stop that foiled a Ravens’ two-point attempt in the final minute to win the game. It will be remembered as the game where Rodgers threw the 442nd TD pass of his career, pulling him even with Brett Favre for the Packers record.

The Packers also became only the 6th team in the history of the NFL to have only three losses after 15 weeks played. If your are a fan of history, the first five teams to do so went on to win the Super Bowl. At BetMGM, the Packers have now tied the Bucs for the second best odds to win SB LVI at +500 with only the Chiefs ahead of them, and just slightly, at +475. But that’s looking too far ahead now.

With the win, the Packers not only clinched the NFC North for the third straight season, but they also claimed the best record in the NFL and took a one-half game lead over the Buccaneers who would have tied Green Bay on top of the NFC conference standing had they won the game. Of course, their performances heavily affected what had become a one-sided MVP race.

Tom Brady or Aaron Rodgers?

Brady entered Sunday as the -180 odds on favorite at Caesars Sportsbook while Rodgers was the second favorite at +600. By the end of Sunday’s 4 pm games, Rodgers’ odds shortened to +400 and after the Bucs were down 6-0 at the half against the Saints, Brady’s odds moved to +150 while Rodgers’ price continued to soar at +300. By the time the Saints made the upset official, Brady had drifted to -110 and Rodgers improve to +225. The current MVP odds board at Caesars has Brady at +140 and Rodgers at +175.

At BetMGM, Brady started the day as the -150 betting favorite, and Rodgers trailed him at +550. After the Bucs lost, Brady faded to -140 while Rodgers’ odds shortened to +375. Right now, Brady is at +135, and Rodgers closing in at +165. PointsBet USA also still has Brady on top at +120 and Rodgers at +160.

Rodgers meanwhile, is the new odds on favorite at BetOnline. According to the said sportsbook, the Packers’ QB is now at +125 with Brady falling back at +170 and the Colts’ RB Jonathan Taylor moving to third sport at +750. Patrick Mahomes and Matthew Stafford complete the Top 5 at +1000 and +1600, respectively.

There are still three weeks left to play in the NFL regular season schedule and as we’ve seen in previous weeks, a lot can happen in one weekend. The Chiefs have won seven in a row and are now the new Super Bowl betting favorites so you can’t count out Mahomes yet. Jonathan Taylor continues to challenge the record books with his spectacular second season. But right now, the NFL MVP race is being dictated by 44-year old Tom Brady and 38-year old Aaron Rodgers.

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Shane Acedera / Author

Shane grew up watching the Magic & Bird rivalry but ended up rooting for Detroit's Bad Boys team in the 1990s NBA. He loves to tell sports stories and has been writing about sports since high school. When Shane isn't busy jotting down his thoughts, he's just chillin' at home with his wife Rocelle and their two dogs named Horry and Fisher. He recently added a new family member, adopting a handsome retired K-9 named Ranger.

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