Bills Upset Chiefs, Bettors in Convincing Week 5 Win

Buffalo Bills Vs Kansas City Chiefs Background

    • The Buffalo Bills defeated the Kansas City Chiefs 38-20 on Sunday in a rematch of the 2020 AFC Title Game.
    • Only 37.9% of the spread bets at WynnBet and 36% of the Moneyline handle at BetMGM were made for the Bills.
    • Buffalo is now second in the Caesars Sportsbook Super Bowl LVI odds boards while the Chiefs have dropped to third spot.

Despite a 2-2 start, bettors and oddsmakers weren’t worried about the Kansas City Chiefs heading to last Sunday’s Week 5 schedule.

The Chiefs were still 2.5 to 3.5 point betting favorites, depending on which of the best NFL sportsbooks you use. At BetMGM, the Chiefs were a -2.5 point spread and -140 Moneyline favorites to beat Buffalo on Sunday. 64% of the total betting handle at the Moneyline and 49% of the money at the spread betting were also wagered on the Chiefs. At WynnBET, only 37.9% of the spread tickets were written for the Bills too.

But Buffalo proved the oddsmakers and the public wrong as they produced a convincing 38-20 statement win over the Kansas City Chiefs and introduced themselves as serious Super Bowl contenders.

Bills beat Chiefs in AFC Title Game Rematch

Last season, Buffalo was three quarters away from advancing to Super Bowl LV when they took a 9-0 lead at the end of the first quarter of the 2020 AFC Championship Game against Kansas City. But the fabled Kansas City Offense went hot in the next two quarters, scoring 31 in the second and third periods while limiting the Bills to only two field goals to break the game wide open. KC eventually won 38-24 and they went on to represent the AFC at Super Bowl LV.

But that Kansas City offense has sputtered this season, scoring 24 or fewer points in two out of their last three games. Meanwhile, Josh Allen and the Buffalo offense have looked high-powered, averaging 40 points per game in their last three games while scoring at least 35 points in their last four outings. After losing 23-16 to the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 1, Buffalo has won four in a row and looks like real threats to dislodge the Chiefs on top of the AFC.

On Sunday, Allen threw for 315 yards with three passing touchdowns while rushing for another score. Micah Hyde also returned a Patrick Mahomes pick 26 yards for a touchdown while Emmanuel Sanders caught two TD passes and Dawon Knox caught 117 yards plus one score as the Buffalo Bills rolled to an easy victory at Arrowhead Stadium.

Bills, Allen Move Up Futures Oddsboards

With the win, Buffalo overtook Kansas City in the Super Bowl LVI betting boards at the best NFL betting sites. At Caesars Sportsbook, the Bills rose from +800 to +600 while the Chiefs faded to +650 from +550. Buffalo is now second in the Caesars Sportsbook Super Bowl betting board with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers taking the top spot this week at +550, after an impressive offensive performance against the Miami Dolphins.

Likewise, Josh Allen has also seen his MVP odds shorten after another impressive performance. Allen is now co-MVP betting favorite with Kyler Murray at +500 after being just a +800 before Sunday’s games. Tom Brady also moved up to +600 from +1000 after a 400-yard and 5 TD effort on Sunday while Justin Herbert also climbed the ladder from +1200 to +700 after a strong Sunday showing. Patrick Mahomes meanwhile, drifted from +650 to +1000, easily his longest MVP odds for the entire season.

It’s still a long season and a lot of things can still happen but the Bills Mafia couldn’t have had a better start. At 4-1, they sit atop the AFC East and are tied with the Chargers on top of their Conference. Buffalo is the highest-scoring team in the league at 34.4 points per game and they also have the NFL’s best scoring defense at 12.8 points per game allowed. Buffalo is currently a -5.5 point favorite against the Tennessee Titans in Week 6 and hopefully, the public will show them more love next week.

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Shane Acedera / Author

Shane grew up watching the Magic & Bird rivalry but ended up rooting for Detroit's Bad Boys team in the 1990s NBA. He loves to tell sports stories and has been writing about sports since high school. When Shane isn't busy jotting down his thoughts, he's just chillin' at home with his wife Rocelle and their two dogs named Horry and Fisher. He recently added a new family member, adopting a handsome retired K-9 named Ranger.

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