- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers wild card game against the Philadelphia Eagles had the most significant odds shift in both spread and total.
- Without two of its top three receivers and the uncertainty of its best playoff running back, the Bucs’ spread dropped by one point and the total by 2.5 points.
- The Eagles have won only one game against an opponent with a winning record during the regular season.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers begin their title defense bid on Sunday when they host the Philadelphia Eagles at the Raymond James Stadium.
Tampa Bay heads to the postseason having won seven out of their last eight games. But despite their strong finish, the team is in a different position than it was a year ago when they peaked during the playoffs on their way to winning Super Bowl LVI.
Winningest Regular Season in Franchise History
Tampa Bay finished the season with a 13-4 record, the most wins in franchise history, and clinched the #2 seed in the NFC. (via @Buccaneers)
— NFL (@NFL) January 13, 2022
The Buccaneers finished their 2021 regular season campaign with a 13-4 record, the winningest regular season in franchise history. Tampa Bay also clinched the NFC’s second seed and will play its first two rounds at home before a possible trip to Lambeau Field in the NFC title game.
However, with the Bucs’ receiving corps depleted without Chris Godwin and Antonio Brown, and the uncertainty surrounding Leonard Fournette, Tampa Bay’s opening spread of -9.5 points is down by one point to -8.5. Sure, the Eagles only had one win against a team with a winning record during the regular season but they’ve had plenty of close games against the elite team, including a six-point loss against the Bucs.
Tampa Bay isn’t the only favorite to see their opening odds drop. The Chiefs have gone from -13 to -12.5 against the Steelers while the Bengals are now just a -5.5 after opening at -6. Similarly, the Rams have seen their opening spread drop by half-a-point from -4.5 to -4.0 against the Cardinals.
Bucs and Eagles Can Score Points in a Hurry, But….
The Bucs and Eagles can both score points in a hurry.
— SI Betting (@SI_Betting) January 13, 2022
Just as in the Spread Odds, the Eagles at Bucs game has seen the largest odds shift as far as betting total is concerned. The total for that game opened at 49.5 but according to the latest odds at Caesars Sportsbook, it’s down to 47.
Historically, the Bucs and Eagles have combined to score an average of 43 points per game in their last 10 head-to-head meetings but managed to hit 50 points during their week 6 meeting. However, with weather forecasts predicting rain and strong winds on Sunday, scoring could take a hit.
The second-highest total shift at Caesars was for the Monday Night Football game featuring the Cardinals at Rams. The total for that game opened at 50.5 points but is now down by a point to 49.5 points. In contrast, the total for the game between the 49ers and Cowboys moved up from 50 points to 51 at the best NFL sportsbooks.