Chiefs’ Surge Reasserts Oddsmakers Belief in Kansas City

KC Chiefs Mahomes Back Again

  • Win over Cowboys Stirs sportsbooks’ confidence in Kansas City
  • Chiefs once again AFC West favorites
  • Mahomes slowly climbing back on NFL MVPP odds boards

The Kansas City Chiefs won their fourth game in a row on Sunday as they used a stifling defense to down the Dallas Cowboys, 19-9, at Arrowhead Stadium.

The Chiefs’ much-maligned defense rose to the occasion in holding the NFL’s No. 1 offense to only 276 yards as Dak Prescott was harassed all afternoon as Kansas City defensive end Chris Jones sacked him 3.5 times and he forced a fumble and recovered another.

The Kansas City defense has held it’s last four opponents to 11.7 points per game and has so impressed the NFL betting sites that the Chiefs are back to the second-best odds to win the Super Bowl at (+750) which is close to the favored Tampa Bay Buccaneers at (+600).

Kansas City entered Week 7 with odds at (+700) to win the title

But after a 27-3 loss to the Tennessee Titans, they fell to (+1400). Much of the defense’s improvement is due to a rising pass rush behind Frank Clark, Chris Jones and Melvin Ingram, who is trying to revamp his career which has been filled with injuries.

Kansas City also has jumped back into a tie for the best odds as the Chiefs and the struggling Buffalo Bills shared (+350) to win the conference. The Chiefs’ odds are also now at (-1000) to make the playoffs and (+700) to miss the postseason.

Rulers of the West

Kansas City is looking for its sixth straight AFC West banner and now the Chiefs are posting (-135) with the Los Angeles Chargers standing in at (+160). Denver is now at (+1000) and the Raiders have faded back to where they were when the season started with the (+1800) number.

The Chargers are looking for a reset and to be able to get on another run. They have won two out of their last three, but are 2-3 in their last five games.

Justin Herbert was back to this old self last week as he threw for 382 yards and three touchdowns.

He hit wide receiver Mike Williams on a 53-yard TD pass with 2:09 remaining as this was the game-winning score in the 41-37 win over the Steelers.

LA’s odds (+130) to win the AFC West were ahead of Kansas City (+225) two weeks ago to after the Chargers defeated the Eagles, 27-24, in Philadelphia.

The Raiders (+550) and Broncos (+700) had better odds then as Las Vegas lost three in a row while Denver had a two-game winning streak end at the hands of the Eagles last Sunday. Much of the separation on the odds boards shows the confidence in the Chiefs, especially now that they have moved up to 21st in the NFL in total defense at 364.4 yards per contest. The number is not great, but a far cry from where they were even four weeks ago.

The Raiders look to end this three-game losing streak as they travel to Dallas for the Thanksgiving Day matchup as a (+700).

Derek Carr has struggled since the bye-week in moving the offense and getting it into the end zone. Carr sits at a (+700) mark to lead the NFL in passing yards while he already has 3,041, which is third behind Patrick Mahomes’ 3,200 yards and Tom Brady’s 3,171.

The Raiders were given a 65 percent chance by analysts to make the playoffs after they went to 5-2 with that win over Philadelphia. They have never set atop of the odds boards to win the division. Even when they started the season at 3-0, they were (+550) as the 1-2 Chiefs were still the favorites.

Las Vegas and Denver both feature (+6000) odds to win the AFC as the Chargers still have good value at (+900).

Mahomes Rallies

Even as Patrick Mahomes has had a tough year by his standards, but he is back to (+1200) to win the NFL MVP.

He had fallen as far as (+1800), but the four-game winning streak has been good for him with seven touchdown passes against only two interceptions in those four games.

Please Note:
He had the 406 yards vs. the Raiders two weeks ago and then was efficient in getting throwing for 260 last week in the win over the Cowboys, although he did not have a TD pass.

Mahomes has only (+6500) odds for the Offensive Player of the Year, but he has a solid (+450), third in the odds for most passing yards behind the Buccaneers’ glorious Tom Brady (+200).

Then we can’t forget the Rams’ Matt Stafford (+300) and Justin Herbert, who is also tied with Mahomes at (+450).

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Kenneth Cross / Author

Kenneth Cross is a new entry to The Sports Geek staff as he has 25 years of experience in print, broadcast, and internet sports journalism. Cross is a lover of all sports, but college basketball is his passion. He estimates that he has seen around 1,500 college basketball games - live and in-person - and hopes that grows this season. If you listen to Radio, you have likely heard him on Sundays covering the Carolina Panthers for some 20 years. Now in Tampa Bay, he works as a national radio correspondent.

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