Donald Trump Betting Odds – Paul Manafort Favored to Get the President’s Next Pardon

Donald Trump Turkey Pardon featuring Rudy Giuliani as the Turkey

  • Former campaign chairman Paul Manafort +175 favorite to get the next pardon from President Trump
  • Trump pardoned 7 white collar criminals earlier this week, bringing his total number of pardons to 25
  • Roger Stone, Rudy Giuliani, Michael Flynn among those with odds for next pardon

Donald Trump obviously isn’t a conventional president. The United States’ 45th president has bucked a number of trends and norms over the course of his three-plus years in office, and it’s safe to say that will continue as long as Trump remains the White House’s primary occupant.

One aspect that makes Trump different from any of his predecessors is his willingness to issue pardons. Traditionally, presidents issue pardons to people toward the end of their time in office. President Barack Obama issued no shortage of pardons during his time in office, including a record of 330 on January 19, 2017, which was his last full day in office.

Trump’s Recent Pardons

President Trump issued 7 pardons earlier this week, which brings his total number of acts of clemency to 25 thus far. It’s safe to say more people will be pardoned before Trump leaves the Oval Office, be it in January of 2021 or 4 years down the road. Trump has made headlines for his willingness to try and meddle with the judicial branch, which is a tendency that recently drew the ire of his own attorney general, Bill Barr.

Trump often tweets his complaints about certain decisions that have been made by his own Justice Department. In recent weeks, he has railed against the DOJ’s case against Roger Stone, one of Trump’s former campaign associates. Stone was recently convicted on charges of lying to Congress and attempting to obstruct the investigation into whether Russia interfered in the 2016 elections.

Bovada has actually posted a new prop regarding who Trump will pardon next. The odds are listed below:

Person Odds at Bovada
Paul Manafort +175
Michael Flynn +220
Martha Stewart +250
Roger Stone +275
Suge Knight +350
Rudy Giuliani +550
Brendan Dassey +1000
Phil Spector +1000

Trump’s list of pardons to this point largely consists of political allies or people that have been convicted of white-collar offenses. Former Illinois Governor Rod Blagojevich, who once appeared with Trump on a season of The Celebrity Apprentice, was among those pardoned earlier this week.

Pardon Candidates

The list of would-be pardon candidates includes a number of those that have been associated with either Trump’s presidential campaign or his presidential staff. Paul Manafort was Trump’s first campaign manager back in 2016. Michael Flynn was Trump’s first National Security Adviser after the election. Both have since been convicted of various crimes.

Stone didn’t have a formal role with Trump’s campaign, but he was a known adviser and supporter. Rudy Giuliani, of course, campaigned with Trump back in ’16 and has since been hired as the president’s personal attorney. Giuliani has been a frequent defender of Trump’s, and he recently took a trip to Ukraine on the president’s behalf in a shameless attempt to dig up some political dirt on presidential candidate Joe Biden.

Martha Stewart, Suge Knight and Phil Spector are celebrities and seemingly random additions to the list from oddsmakers. Brendan Dassey is a 30-year-old convicted murderer currently serving a life sentence.

Manafort a Worthy Favorite

Trump has lamented the cases against some of his current and former associates, including Manafort. Manafort was convicted in 2018 of hiding millions of dollars in foreign accounts in an attempt to evade taxes, among other charges.

Manafort was sentenced to 7 1/2 years in prison. Given Trump’s history of commencing the sentences of people that have been convicted of non-violent crimes, it wouldn’t be at all surprising if Trump took the chance to pardon his ex-campaign chairman.

I think Giuliani makes for an interesting option, too. Giuliani hasn’t been charged with any crimes, but the Southern District of New York has been investigating his actions for quite some time now. Giuliani has been steadfast in his support of Trump, and it wouldn’t be a surprise if Trump were to reward his loyalty with a pardon if the former New York City Mayor is eventually charged with any wrongdoing.

Manafort (+175), Flynn (+220), Giuliani (+550) and Stone (+275) are all viable betting options here. Absolving his political allies and attacking his opponents have been hallmarks of Trump’s tenure in the White House to this point, and it’s safe to assume that more pardons are on the way.

Taylor Smith / Author

Taylor is a sports writer based in Southern California. While he primarily specializes in basketball, baseball and football, he will also dabble in things like soccer and politics from time to time. He has lived in just about every corner of the United States at one point or another, and he has been covering sports and sports betting for the better part of a decade. Taylor currently lives in Long Beach with his fiancé and their two cats.