Lions, Dolphins Listed as Odds-On Favorites to Draft Tua Tagovailoa

tua dolphins

  • Lions, Dolphins listed as -110 favorites to draft Tua Tagovailoa
  • Lions pick third, Dolphins pick fifth overall in April’s draft
  • LSU’s Joe Burrow a -10000 favorite to go No. 1 overall

A year ago at this time, most expected Alabama quarterback Tua Tagovailoa to be the top-rated quarterback prospect for the 2020 NFL draft. While he’s still a lock to be among the first passers taken on draft day in April, Tua has since been surpassed by LSU’s Joe Burrow, who is widely expected to hear his name called when the Cincinnati Bengals make the first selection.

Tagovailoa’s stock has dipped a bit thanks to an injury-riddled 2019 campaign. Tua is still recovering from a hip injury suffered back in November during Alabama’s win over Mississippi State. The injury necessitated a surgical procedure, but the lefty is expected to be fully healthy by the time NFL training camps get underway later this summer.

Betting on the NFL draft may not be quite as popular as betting on the Super Bowl, but it’s still big business. The fact that this year’s draft will be held in Las Vegas makes the betting aspect a little more interesting, too.

Lions, Dolphins Favored for Tua

Oddsmakers have listed Burrow as a massive -10000 favorite to go first overall to the Bengals on draft day. Frankly, it’s hard to imagine that not happening at this point. Caesars Sportsbook still likes Tua’s chances of going in the top-5. The Detroit Lions, who will make the third pick, and the Miami Dolphins, who will pick fifth, are listed as -110 co-favorites to land Tagovailoa.

Detroit general manager Bob Quinn has publicly denied the notion that the team is seeking to trade longtime starting quarterback Matthew Stafford, but that hasn’t done much to quell the speculation that the Lions could be interested in drafting a young QB this year.

The full odds for where Tagovailoa will land are listed below (per Caesars):

Team Odds  at BetOnline
Detroit Lions -110
Miami Dolphins -110
Los Angeles Chargers +250
Cincinnati Bengals +700
Carolina Panthers +700
Jacksonville Jaguars +900

Chargers, Panthers, Jags Also Fits for Tua

The Dolphins figure to be in the market for a new franchise quarterback, as well. The team traded for ex-UCLA QB Josh Rosen last year, but he played in just 6 games a season ago due to poor performance. The Dolphins instead relied heavily on Ryan Fitzpatrick, an NFL journeyman who will turn 38 in November.

The Chargers are expected to search free agency for a veteran quarterback after officially announcing last week that longtime starter Philip Rivers will not be re-signed this offseason. Los Angeles was one of the more disappointing teams in football a year ago after finishing 5-11, but it’s hard to imagine the Chargers handing the reins to a rookie next season considering the roster is still largely comprised of veteran players. The Chargers will pick sixth in the draft.

The Bengals look like they’re destined to take Burrow, which makes their +700 odds of landing Tagovailoa a pretty easy bet to avoid. The Panthers are in a similar boat as the Chargers, as Cam Newton’s future with the franchise is very much in doubt. Kyle Allen is pretty clearly not the long-term solution at the position for the Panthers, so it would hardly be a surprise to see the team look for a QB with the seventh overall selection.

The Jaguars shuffled Nick Foles and Gardner Minshew into the lineup a season ago. Foles is a candidate to be cut after signing a big-money deal with the team last offseason. Minshew became something of a cult hero with the fanbase after Foles went down with an injury, but his play left plenty to be desired.

Over/Under 4.5 QBs to be Selected in First Round

Caesars has also listed the over/under for total number of quarterbacks to be drafted in the first round at 4.5. Burrow and Tagovailoa will surely be selected within the first 32 picks. Ditto for Oregon’s Justin Herbert. The jury is still out on Jacob Eason, but most mock drafts have the Washington product being drafted somewhere in the 20s. Utah State’s Jordan Love and Georgia’s Jake Fromm are also candidates to be taken in the first round.

The draft is slated to take place from April 23-25 in Las Vegas.

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Taylor Smith / Author

Taylor is a sports writer based in Southern California. While he primarily specializes in basketball, baseball and football, he will also dabble in things like soccer and politics from time to time. He has lived in just about every corner of the United States at one point or another, and he has been covering sports and sports betting for the better part of a decade. Taylor currently lives in Long Beach with his fiancé and their two cats.