LSU Facing Long SEC Odds in Brian Kelly’s First Year

NCAA LSU Brian Kelly

  • Tigers a long shot for SEC, national titles in Kelly’s first season
  • LSU pegged to finish middle of the pack in the tough SEC
  • Tigers’ quarterback battle could figure in Heisman Trophy race

In joining the SEC, new LSU head coach Brian Kelly has come into a league where the Tigers have been an overwhelming underdog, year-in, year-out.

The Bayou Bengals penned a national championship in 2019 after opening with distant +3300 odds to win the title. LSU wound up finishing a perfect 15-0 and served Clemson a 42-25 defeat on their way to that national championship.

The Tigers open the 2022 season at +5000 to win the SEC. They are tied with Ole Miss, Tennessee, Florida, and Kentucky with those same odds to win what is looking like a very balanced league.

Please Note:
Alabama (-140) is the favorite with Georgia (+150) and Texas A&M (+1600) as the top two followers, per the latest SEC odds. Since the national championship a couple of years ago, the Tigers have posted a record of just 11-12, which ultimately cost head coach Ed Orgeron his job last term.

LSU is sitting with +6600 odds to win the national championship in 2022, which are twice as long as their aforementioned +3300 odds to begin the 2019-20 campaign.

Bayou Bengals Pegged To Finish In the Middle of a Loaded SEC

Last season with a straight-up 6-7 ledger, LSU held the same record in the over/under while finishing 5-7-1 against the spread.

As you look at the 2022 schedule:
A 4-0 record to start the season is possible with Florida State, Southern, Mississippi State, and New Mexico as the opening set of foes. The Tigers have already been slated as three-point favorite over the Seminoles before a string of SEC outings that can make a winning season a tall order for Kelly in his first year in Baton Rouge.

LSU has been set with an opening over/under of 6.5 wins. According to the sportsbooks, going over the number (-130) is more likely than falling under (+100).

Most pundits think the Tigers have to get better up front in order to improve this season.

If they don’t, both sides of the ball could make hitting the over on 6.5 wins a challenge, especially given the SEC and how the schedule breaks down.

Transfer Jayden Daniels Opens As LSU’s Best Heisman Trophy Candidate

LSU viewed adding an impact player via the transfer portal as a top priority this offseason. Fortunately, they appear to have landed one.

Arizona State transfer quarterback Jayden Daniels just arrived in town ahead of the new season. The QB, who opens with distant +6600 Heisman Trophy odds, is slated to be LSU’s most likely challenger for the coveted award. Last season, Daniels’ Heisman odds moved as high as +3000 when his Sun Devils started at 5-1 and were looking like a potential champion of the Pac-12 South.

Daniels and returning Tigers QB Myles Brennan could develop into one of the top quarterback battles in college football. Brennan, like Daniels, is set with long +6600 odds to win the Heisman Trophy.

Please Note:
Brennan missed last season as he broke his arm due to a freak accident in August. He explored the transfer portal until coming back to play for Kelly.

Wide receiver Kayshon Boutte (+15000) could emerge as one of the Tigers’ more undervalued Heisman Trophy candidates, although his quarterback situation is a major question mark. Boutte had his 2021 campaign end with multiple injuries as he played in six games and went over 100 yards receiving in two of those outings. He notched 509 yards and nine touchdowns overall.

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Kenneth Cross / Author

Kenneth Cross is a new entry to The Sports Geek staff as he has 25 years of experience in print, broadcast, and internet sports journalism. Cross is a lover of all sports, but college basketball is his passion. He estimates that he has seen around 1,500 college basketball games - live and in-person - and hopes that grows this season. If you listen to Radio, you have likely heard him on Sundays covering the Carolina Panthers for some 20 years. Now in Tampa Bay, he works as a national radio correspondent.

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