Mahomes, Chiefs Betting Odds Fade Anew With Week 7 Loss

Mahomes Injured Kansas City Chiefs Background

  • Patrick Mahomes’ MVP odds have faded further to 40-1 from 20-1 at PointsBet after a woeful first half against the Titans on Sunday.
  • The Chiefs would go on to lose the game 27-3 in their lowest offensive production since 2012.
  • Kansas City’s odds to win the AFC West also drifted to +195 after the Titans took a 24-0 lead late in the first half of the game.

Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs were the preseason favorites across the boards but after a sluggish start, they have seen their betting odds fade as the season has progressed. Those odds drifted again on Sunday as the Chiefs absorbed another upset defeat as 4.5 point betting favorites against the Tennessee Titans.

The odds faded long before the game was over. With the Titans taking a 27-0 halftime lead, Mahomes saw his MVP odds at PointsBet drop to 40-1 from 20-1. The 2018 NFL MVP went 5-0 with one interception and one fumble in the opening half. Meanwhile, the Chiefs’ odds to win the AFC West plummeted to +195 after the Titans took a 24-0 lead.

Mahomes Tied for the Lead in Interceptions

Patrick Mahomes entered the season as a +4000 to lead the league in interceptions but after only seven games, he has thrown nine picks and is tied with New York Jets rookie QB Zach Wilson with a league-high 9 interceptions. Mahomes has now thrown an interception in each of his last six games which is the longest streak of his career.

Mahomes’ 11 total turnovers are the most by any quarterback. As a team, the Chiefs now have a total of 16 turnovers in seven games played this season. Kansas City had a total of 18 in 2015, 15 in 2019, and just 16 the entire season last year. He finished the first half with 41 passing yards on 4-9 passing with zero touchdowns and two turnovers and the Chiefs trailing 27-0.

That was the largest deficit for the Chiefs since they trailed 29-0 against the Steelers on October 2, 2016, the third-largest halftime deficit for the team since 1991, and only the 8th time in franchise history where they have trailed by at least 27 points after the first half. The Chiefs’ 3 points scored on Sunday were also their lowest since 2012 and their first game without a touchdown under Mahomes.

Chiefs are Now +195 to Win AFC West

The Chiefs’ odds to win the AFC West have drastically changed. Kansas City opened as the huge -450 betting favorite to top their division but since then, their odds have gone longer and longer. KC was the -275 odds on favorite prior to beating the Browns in Week 1 and were still the -125 favorites after losing back-to-back games in Weeks 2 and 3.

By week 4, the Chiefs’ Divisional Odds further dropped to -115 and by Week 5, the Chargers had overtaken them at +115 to +125. After the Chargers lost to the Ravens last week, Kansas City became favorites again, but not by much at -105 for the Chiefs and +155 for the Chargers. But after getting blown out by the Titans on Sunday, Kansas City is now at their longest odds of the season at +195 while the Chargers are back as the -105 favorites to win the AFC West.

Kansas City’s Super Bowl Odds have likewise drifted. After opening the season as the +450 odds on favorite to win Super Bowl LVI, they dropped to +600 before Week 4 but were still on top of the oddsboard. They fell to +750 and third Behind the Bucs’ +550 and the Bills’ +600 before Sunday’s games but are now a +1600 via BetMGM, their longest odds since they were a +2000 at the said sportsbook in 2018. Kansas City is an even longer +2000 via PointsBet while the other top NFL sportsbooks have yet to put their oddsboards back live.

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Shane Acedera / Author

Shane grew up watching the Magic & Bird rivalry but ended up rooting for Detroit's Bad Boys team in the 1990s NBA. He loves to tell sports stories and has been writing about sports since high school. When Shane isn't busy jotting down his thoughts, he's just chillin' at home with his wife Rocelle and their two dogs named Horry and Fisher. He recently added a new family member, adopting a handsome retired K-9 named Ranger.

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