Oddmakers Continue Confidence in Bills Despite Loss to Titans

Buffalo Bills And Tennesee Titans NFL Background

  • Bills continue with championship acumen from sportsbooks
  • Titans are solid favorites in AFC South
  • Henry, Allen taking solid odds for NFL honors

The rush to judgment begins on the Buffalo Bills after they went for the win on fourth down, but quarterback Josh Allen slipped, and Tennessee held Buffalo on downs in the waning moments of Monday night’s 34-31 loss to the Tennessee Titans.

The NFL sportsbooks were undaunted, however, as they continue to give the Bills the best odds (+550) to win Super Bowl LVI at Sofi Stadium in Los Angeles next February.

Buffalo started the season posting odds at (+1100) and they fell to (+1300) after their season-opening loss to Miami. The Bills continued to climb forward during their four-game winning streak as they hit (+600) and now seem to be settling as the favorite.

Allen completed 35 of 47 passes for 353 yards, and three touchdown passes as the lead changed hands seven times in what turned out to be likely the epic game in the opening six weeks of the NFL season.

The Bills lead the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+600) as well as Kansas City (+700) in odds to win the Super Bowl. Both the Chiefs and Bucs were the favorites going into the season.

With Kansas City picking up (+500) before Week 1 and Tampa Bay hitting (+650) odds, there seemed to be a destined rematch in the preseason posts.

Buffalo has had staying power while the Chiefs are 3-3 out of the gate as the Bucs have been besieged with injuries and are still 5-1.

Circling the Wagons

Buffalo has also topped the Chiefs through six weeks as the favorite to win the AFC as the Bills are catching (+250) odds while Kansas City is at (+350). Although Buffalo is second in the NFL in averaging 33.8 points per game while averaging 411.5 yards (6th/NFL), the Bills’ defense has normally been a stable force in leading the league in allowing only 270 yards per game.

On Monday night:
The Titans rushed for 146 yards against the Bills’ defense as they normally give up only 89.7 yards rushing per game (7th/NFL) as Derrick Henry posted 20 carries for 143 yards and three touchdowns.

The loss didn’t affect the Bills’ AFC East presence as they are laying (-2000) odds to win the division with New England at (+1200) while Miami (+5000) and the New York Jets (+20000) are all but eliminated.

No other NFL teams have a major choke-hold on a division after six weeks that is remotely close to Buffalo’s mastery in the AFC East. Dallas is the closest in the NFC East as the Cowboys post (-1000) odds, with the Philadelphia Eagles the closest at (+1000).

Titanic Effort

The Titans were in desperate need of a credible victory as a 33-30 win against the Seahawks in Seattle in Week 2 was their best up until last night.

Tennessee continues to be a solid favorite in the AFC South with odds at (-450) while Indianapolis is the next closest at (+350). Jacksonville (+4000) and Houston (+10000) are long gone with any opportunities to win the AFC South.

The Titans have been seen in some places with a (-375) number while the Colts are at (+370) as the Jaguars (+8000) and the Texans (+17000) bring up the rear.

The Titans have struggled defensively so far in allowing 384 yards per game (23rd/NFL), where they are also 23rd against the pass in allowing 276.2 yards passing yards per game.

While Allen threw for 353 yards on the evening, Derrick Henry wound up being the deterrent with his 146 yards. The struggles with injuries in the secondary on the pass defense could keep Tennessee from making a serious run as they current are sitting at (+1200) to win the AFC title.

Tennessee’s odds to win the Super Bowl are now tenth at (+2500) as this has been a steady number for the Titans since the seasons started.

Henry vs. Allen

Derrick Henry is the one consistent force in the NFL, as he once again proved with his performance in playing a key role in Monday night’s win.

The Titans’ running back is still at only (+2500) odds to win the NFL’s MVP despite leading the league with 783 yards on 162 carries, which also leads the NFL.

Cleveland’s Nick Chubb is a distant second with 523 yards while Ezekiel Elliott rushes for 521 so far this season.

Henry has posted five straight 100-plus yards games and has three performances against Seattle, Jacksonville, and Buffalo, where he scored three times in each of those games.

He is the odds on favorite to win the NFL Offensive Player of the Year with a (+500) number. Green Bay’s Davante Adams (+1000), the Cardinals’ Kyler Murray, and the Rams’ Cooper Kupp, both post (+1200), and then Baltimore’s Lamar Jackson (+1400) are sitting in the top five.

On the other sideline:
Josh Allen has a (+500) setting to win the NFL MVP as he passes for 287.2 yards per game (8th/NFL); however, his 64.8 percent completion rate equates to 21st in the league. Dallas QB Dak Prescott and Arizona’s Kyler Murray are posting (+450) odds ahead of Allen while Tampa Bay’s Tom Brady catches (+800). The Ravens’ Lamar Jackson, Rams QB Matt Stafford, and Green Bay’s Aaron Rodgers tie for fifth with (+1200) odds.

Allen is tied with the LA Chargers QB Justin Herbert with odds at (+2000) to win the NFL’s Offensive Player of the Year.

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Kenneth Cross / Author

Kenneth Cross is a new entry to The Sports Geek staff as he has 25 years of experience in print, broadcast, and internet sports journalism. Cross is a lover of all sports, but college basketball is his passion. He estimates that he has seen around 1,500 college basketball games - live and in-person - and hopes that grows this season. If you listen to Radio, you have likely heard him on Sundays covering the Carolina Panthers for some 20 years. Now in Tampa Bay, he works as a national radio correspondent.

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