While giving thanks on Thursday, the six NFL offerings may make the most ardent fans anything but thankful. Oddsmakers agree, at least in part, as they have set a prop bet for the lowest scoring teams of the six to tee it up on Thanksgiving day.
Bears (+400) at Lions (+275), 12:30 p.m. EST, Fox
This had to happen right around lunchtime as two of the four lowest-scoring teams in the NFL take the field with the Bears, who average 16.3 points per game (29th) NFL, invading Ford Field, for a battle with the Lions, who average 16.0 points, (30th/NFL).
— Chicago Bears (@ChicagoBears) November 24, 2021
Bears coach Matt Nagy is having trouble figuring out whether Andy Dalton or Justin Fields will start at QB, so a day after he named Dalton, he backtracks and names Fields.
Not that it may matter in the scheme of how efficient the Bears offense will be as Chicago has lost five in a row since it defeated the Raiders, 20-9, in Week 5.
In that span, even when the Bears were able to score points against San Francisco and Pittsburgh, the defense had trouble stopping the 49ers and Steelers.
The numbers further do not lie on what this should be the lowest-scoring game on Thursday as the Bears’ total offense is at 287.9 yards per game (31st/NFL) while Detroit is a shade better at 312.0 yards per game (27th/NFL).
Both of these teams are long gone in reality to win the NFC North as the oddsmakers have cast the Lions off the boards as there is no chance while the Bears pick up a (+20000). That lineup tho…
— Detroit Lions (@Lions) November 23, 2021
The Green Bay Packers are still the prohibitive favorite in the NFC North at (-1200) despite the Vikings (+650) 34-31 win over Green Bay on Sunday. There is also a prop with the longest field goal to be made as the Bears sit at (-105) and the Lions at (+105). Cairo Santos of the Bears has made 4-of-5 from between 40 and 49 yards and is a perfect 9-of-9 inside of 40 yards.
Lions kicker Austin Siebert has one field goal over 50 yards and is 5-of-6 between 40-49 yards.
Chicago is (-3) favorite, but this feels like a chance for the 0-8-1 Lions to put one in the win column.
Raiders (+350) at Cowboys (+900), 4 p.m., CBS
Oddsmakers assign the Las Vegas Raiders (+350) better odds than even the Bears (+400) to be the lowest-scoring team in their Turkey Day tilt with the Cowboys.
— Dallas Cowboys (@dallascowboys) November 24, 2021
The Cowboys come into the game as a (-7.5) favorite with the over/under set at 51, so neither team likely will score the least.
Being on the road in Dallas could be one of the Raiders’ problems, but a rushing game that yields only 83.7 yards per outing (28th/NFL) makes the Raiders very one dimensional as they have to depend on Derek Carr and the third-rated passing attack at 289.6 yards per game.
Carr has (+700) odds to finish with the most passing odds as this is fifth behind the Bucs’ Tom Brady (+200), Rams QB Matt Stafford (+300), Patrick Mahomes of the Chiefs (+450), and Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert (+450).
Las Vegas has scored only 43 points since its bye-week as it has only scored four touchdowns in turning from a 5-2 team atop the AFC West into a 5-5 team that now is struggling to make the playoffs.
Playing on Thanksgiving just means more 🦃🍽
— Las Vegas Raiders (@Raiders) November 24, 2021
However, Dallas gives up 251.9 yards passing perm game (20th/NFL), so the Raiders could get back on track if they can play turnover-free. They have seven turnovers in the three games since the bye and only had a total of five in the 5-2 start.
The Dallas offense leads the NFL with 418.1 yards per game and while the Raiders’ defense is improved across the boards, but it still gives up 132.1 yards rushing per game.
Dak Prescott is still high on the NFL MVP list as he, Stafford, and Green Bay’s Aaron Rodgers have odds at (+1000) as they are behind Brady (+300) and the ills’ Josh Allen (+600).
Bills (+750) at Saints (+300), 8:20 EST, NBC
Oddsmakers see the Bills, who still have the NFL’s No. 1 defense against a Saints’ offense that is ironically turning the ball over more since Jameis Winston is injured. He had tossed only three interceptions in 161 attempts with 14 TD passes.
— Buffalo Bills (@BuffaloBills) November 24, 2021
New Orleans doesn’t have much offensive output at 324 yards per game, and now, with Trevor Semian as a backup and a primary QB, it’s been hard for them to get any rhythm in their passing game.
On the flip side, the Saints’ have given up 26.3 points per game over their last four games, so facing a Buffalo offense that has potency could be a detriment to New Orleans.
— New Orleans Saints (@Saints) November 23, 2021
The Saints have odds at (+900) to win the NFC South as they are way behind the Buccaneers (-1100), especially after they lost to the Eagles and the Bucs rolled to a 30-10 win over the Giants Monday night.
The Bills have faded odds in the AFC East. The Bills are only a 1-point road favorite in New Orleans with an over/under at 45.