Brian Ortega Opens as Slight Favorite Against Yair Rodriguez in July 16th Headliner

Rodriguez V Ortega UFC Background

  • Brian Ortega has opened as the betting favorite against Yair Rodriguez.
  • Ortega was listed at -150 odds while Rodriguez came back at +130 odds when the betting lines opened.
  • Ortega and Rodriguez will headline UFC on ABC 3 on July 16th at the UBS Arena in Elmont, N.Y.

Oddsmakers are backing Brian Ortega against Yair Rodriguez in their July 16 featherweight showdown.

According to the best UFC betting sites, Ortega is the slight -150 betting favorite to beat Rodrgiez who opened at +130 odds:

Ortega and Rodriguez will headline the July 16 event dubbed UFC on ABC 3 which will take place at the UBS Arena in Elmont, New York.

ESPN Fight of the Year

Ortega dropped a unanimous decision against Alexander Volkanovski at the main event of UFC 266 last September 25, 2021, in ESPN’s Fight of the Year winner. The loss was Ortega’s second in as many tries at the UFC featherweight title. T-City also challenged for the belt at UFC 231 but was knocked out by then-champion Max Holloway.

The 31-year-old from Los Angeles, California is a former Respect in the Cage and RFA featherweight champion. Ortega joined the UFC in 2014 and won six consecutive bouts via stoppage with one no-contest to earn a title shot against Holloway. Currently, the no. 2 ranked featherweight in the UFC, Ortega has a record of 15-2 with three knockouts and seven victories by way of submission.

Despite his impressive resume, this marks the first time in his last seven bouts where Ortega has opened as the betting favorite in a UFC bout. T-City also closed as the betting underdog in four out of his previous six bouts, including as a +170 against Holloway the last time out. Ortega has never lost as a betting favorite in a UFC bout.

Yair Turned in a Classic After Two Years Out

Like Ortega, Rodriguez is coming off a competitive loss. The 29-year-old from Chihuahua, Mexico turned in a classic after two years out but lost to Max Holloway is one of the best fights of 2021. In that bout, Holloway and Rodriguez landed a combined 389 significant strikes, the third most-ever in a UFC bout. El Pantera is 2-1 with one no-contest in his last four bouts and has won a post-fight bonus in seven out of his 11 UFC bouts.

Rodriguez began his career in Mexico and joined the UFC via The Ultimate Fighter: Latin America tournament which he won after defeating Leonardo Morales in the final at UFC 180. Since that win, has won seven out of his last 10 bouts with one no-contest and has risen to no. 3 in the UFC’s featherweight rankings. Overall, Rodriguez has a record of 13-3 with four knockouts and three submission victories.

Pantera will be the betting underdog for the fourth time in his last six bouts. Rodriguez’s two UFC losses have come as the bottom dog – at +425 against Holloway and at +120 against Frankie Edgar. However, he has also found success with the plus money sign next to his name. Rodriguez was a +155 when he beat Charles Rosa and opened as the +220 when he knocked out The Korean Zombie in 2018.

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Shane Acedera / Author

Shane grew up watching the Magic & Bird rivalry but ended up rooting for Detroit's Bad Boys team in the 1990s NBA. He loves to tell sports stories and has been writing about sports since high school. When Shane isn't busy jotting down his thoughts, he's just chillin' at home with his wife Rocelle and their two dogs named Horry and Fisher. He recently added a new family member, adopting a handsome retired K-9 named Ranger.

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