- Gruden Departure, Loss to Bears Synonymous with Odds Drop
- Past Two Weeks Remove Carr From Solid Futures Consideration
- Carr’s Offensive POY number maintaining stature
The potential light at the end of the tunnel for with the 3-0 beginning was snuffed out with coach Jon Gruden admitting to racial, misogynistic, and homophobic slurs on emails in 2011 as detailed in the New York Times and then resigning on Monday.
— Las Vegas Raiders (@Raiders) October 12, 2021
The 3-2 Raiders have fallen back to (+1100) odds to win the AFC West after they sat at (+225) two weeks ago when they were posting a 3-0 record. All of this volatility in the odds has rose after they had seemingly come out of nowhere at the beginning of the season when they started at (+1800) to win the AFC West.
Gruden had the Raiders seemingly moving forward with the 3-0 start as they had the No.1 offense in the NFL after four weeks and quarterback Derek Carr led the league after four weeks with 1,203 passing yards.
After the details started coming to light on Gruden’s mess on Friday, it had apparently messed with the entire being of the Raiders in Sunday’s 20-9 loss to the Bears, where Las Vegas had only 259 total yards, and Carr threw for a season-low 206.
— Las Vegas Raiders (@Raiders) October 10, 2021
The Raiders’ odds to win the AFC dropped from (+2800) to (+4000) to win the AFC, which threw them back to ninth in the AFC.
The Super Bowl was going to be a long shot for the Raiders anyway as they were at (+4000) last week to win the Super Bowl, but have fallen to (+10000) since Gruden’s dereliction and the loss to the Bears.
Carr’s Number Unturned in NFL Offensive POY Odds
Nothing worked on Sunday as Carr’s day was a frustration compared to the first four games of the season. He is still posting (+2500) as he did last week in reference to winning the NFL’s Offensive Player of the Year.
Oddsmakers seem to be waiting to see how he will turn with offensive coordinator Greg Olson calling the plays and not Gruden.
Running backs are the theme in this competition so far as Tennessee’s Derrick Henry (+650) leads so far as he started the season at (+800). He has 640 yards on 142 attempts so far as he comes off 130 yards and three TDs in Sunday’s win over the Jaguars.
— Tennessee Titans (@Titans) October 11, 2021
Nick Chubb of the Cleveland Browns currently has the second-best odds as he started the season at (+2000) and then moved up to (+1000) as the Browns lost that 47-42 shootout to the Chargers on Sunday. Chubb had 161 yards and a TD on 21 carries.
Green Bay wide receiver Davante Adams has (+1000) odds and Cardinals QB Kyler Murray (+1200), with Buffalo quarterback Josh Allen rounding out the Top 5 at (+1400).
As Carr had gotten as high as (+2000) to win the NFL MVP after his 3-0 start where he threw for 1,203 yards in his first three games (401 ypg) with the drop-off and loss to the Chargers, he fell to (+2500) last week.
Gruden’s style of calling the game accentuated Carr’s skills as they both seemed to be on the same page far more than not so far this season.
- Carr and the Raiders are (+3.5) underdogs at Denver on Sunday, where Las Vegas has (-105) odds to post 20.5 or more points, and then they have a (-125) tag to go under the number.
- Buffalo quarterback Josh Allen leads the MVP race with (-450) odds after he passed for 278 yards and ran for 88 in the Bills’ 38-20 win over the Chiefs on Sunday Night.
- Patrick Mahomes threw for 325 and three TDs, but the 2-3 start for the Chiefs and the last place in the AFC West are detriments to Mahomes as he is currently netting (+1800) yards.
Murray is second with (+500) odds as Cowboys QB Dak Prescott and Chargers signal-caller Justin Herbert continue at (+700), with the venerable Tom Brady (+800) rounding out the top five.