- The betting odds for Saturday night’s rematch between Vicente Luque and Belal Muhammad are much closer than they were when the lines first opened.
- Luque opened at -210 but is now just at +170 while Muhammad has mvied from +180 to +150.
- Luque and Muhammad will headline UFC Vegas 51 on Saturday night at the APEX Facility in Las Vegas, Nevada.
Saturday night’s UFC Vegas 51 main event between Top 6 UFC welterweights Vicente Luque and Belal Muhammad is a much closer fight now than it was when the best UFC betting sites first opened the betting odds.
That shows that despite getting knocked out in their first meeting, the early betting action has favored the underdog, causing Muhammad’s odds to shorten to +155 and Luque’s price to fade to -170.
Luque Opened at -210
UFC Fight Night Opening Odds:
Belal Muhammad (+180)
Vicente Luque (-210) https://t.co/2w4c6mHsIo
— FightOdds.io (@FightOdds_io) March 24, 2022
It can be recalled that Luque opened as the -210 betting favorite to beat Muhammad who came back at +180 when the betting lines first opened. The initial betting lines weren’t surprising at all because Luque was ranked one spot higher than Muhammad in the UFC welterweight rankings and because of their history.
Luque knocked out Muhammad during their first meeting at UFC 205 in New York. Since then, Luque has won 10 out of his last 12 bouts including nine via stoppage. The Silent Assassin heads to UFC Vegas 51 with four straight victories- two via submission and two via knockout. In his last bout, Luque halted Michael Chiesa’s red hot streak with a D’Arce choke submission at UFC 265.
But Muhammad has also found plenty of success since their fight bout. The 33-year-old from Chicago, Illinois has also fought 12 times since his first bout with Luque and has won 10 times with one no-contest. Muhammad heads to the APEX Facility coming off back-to-back wins against Demian Maia and Stephen Thompson.
Muhammad +225 to Win by Decision
Belal Muhammad to win by decision is +225. 15 of his 20 wins have come via decision.
Vicente Luque to win inside the distance is +110. 19 of his 21 wins have come via finish.
— Chamatkar Sandhu (@SandhuMMA) April 14, 2022
Muhammad winning the bout on points is the favorite method of victory in the fight at +225 with 15 of his 20 wins coming via decision. Luque winning the fight via KO, TKO, or DQ is second at +240 while Luque winning via decision and submission are next at +325 and +350. Muhammad winning the fight via KO, TKO, or DQ is listed at +1000 as is Muhammad winning via submission. The odds of the fight ending in a draw are at +6000 via the BetOnline App.
The odds of Luque ending the fight in the opening round is listed at +650. The Silent Assassin is also listed at +1000 to record a 2nd round KO, +1500 to knock out Muhammad in Round 3, +2200 to win via 4th round knockout, and a +3000 to score a 5th round KO. Luque is listed at +325 to win the fight on points, +850 for a first-round submission win, +1200 for a second-round submission, +1800 for a tap out in round 3, +2500 to submit Muhammad in the 4th round, and +3500 win via submission in the final round.
Meanwhile, Muhammad’s best odds to win the fight is to do so via decision at +225. A first-round stoppage – KO or submission by Muhammad is worth +2500. Muhammad ending the bout inside the second round is listed at +3000. It’s +3500 for the third-round finish. Meanwhile, Muhammad winning in rounds 4 and 5 are priced at +4000 and +5000.