49ers Packers Spread Betting Line and Predictions NFL Week 13

You’ll be excused for not remembering San Francisco is coming off a victory against Arizona on Monday Night Football. The game was expected by many to be the worst Monday offering in possibly years, and it lived down to expectations. Nevertheless, the 49ers got the job done, and now, despite an 0-5 start, San Fran find themselves only 1 game behind St. Louis and Seattle in a dismal NFC West division. The fact that one team from the NFC West will get to host a playoff game this season, while there is a good chance that one of Philadelphia, Green Bay, New York Giants, or New Orleans Saints will miss the playoffs is a pretty absurd notion, but such is life in the NFL right now. With that said, San Francisco needs to string a couple of wins together, but will be without their top offensive weapon, as running back Frank Gore suffered a season ending injury last week. Veteran Brian Westbrook stepped up admirably in his place last week, but let’s not forget that he was up against a super soft Cardinals defense. If Westbrook can do anything of note against the Packers, then and only then will I be a believer in a Westbrook revival. With Mike Singletary’s future as head coach of the 49ers in the balance, you can bet San Fran will be fired up for the rest of the season as they try and make a post-season push. But the 49ers are going to need more than Vernon Davis crying during his pre-game speech if they hope to shock Green bay at Lambeau Field.

The Packers lost in a closely contested game with Atlanta last week in a game that many are saying could be a preview of a playoff matchup come January. However, with the loss, Green Bay fell to 7-4, and now sit a game back of the surging Chicago Bears. The Packers are currently tied for the 2nd wildcard spot, and need a win here to shore up their playoff aspirations. The Green Bay defense has been sensational this year, as they have given up the fewest points in the league. Aaron Rodgers has had to deal with a couple of key losses on offense, but he still has enough weapons to be one of the most feared attacks in the NFL. The real weakness for the Packers is their lack of any real running game. One doesn’t have to look further than their game last week against the Falcons to see the difference that a good rush can make. The Packers and Falcons are very comparable, but Michael Turner rushed for over 100 yards, while Brandon Jackson didn’t do much of anything. Such has been the case pretty much the entire season, and it has forced the Packers to become very much a one-dimensional offense. Thanks to Rodgers’ considerable skill, they have made it work for the most part, but they must establish something of a ground game if they hope to be a true contender.

A win for either of these teams would set them up nicely for a late-season push into the playoffs, while a loss may be a death knell, depending on some of the other results from across the league. Without Gore, Brian Westbrook will be up against a pretty solid rushing defense, but one that is still giving up 4.5 yards per carry. The Packers have only allowed 10 touchdowns through the air, so the 49ers will need to lean on Westbrook to get them some points in this one. Quarterback Troy Smith has looked pretty shaky in his last two games, not throwing for more than 148 yards in either contest. You can bet the Packers will be blitzing and applying pressure every chance they get, as Smith has been sacked 12 times in his last 3 games. Meanwhile, Aaron Rodgers will go up against a passing defense that is allowing 218.5 passing yards per game, which is somewhere around the league average. San Fran is actually quite solid against the run, so this probably won’t be the week that Brandon Jackson proves his doubters wrong. Look for Rodgers to do most of the work in this one, as he targets Greg Jennings, Donald Driver, Jordy Nelson and James Jones. The Packers will live and die on Rodgers’ arm, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see him throw it 35-40 times in this game.

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49ers vs Packers Spread, Line and Betting Odds:

Spread:

San Francisco 49ers +8.5
@ Green Bay Packers -8.5

Game Total:

Over (-110)
41.5
Under (-110)

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49ers vs Packers Betting Predictions/Picks for Week 13

Spread Prediction (TOP PLAY): There is a strong argument to be made for this line to be even bigger this week, as the oddsmakers seem to be giving a reasonable amount of credit for San Francisco’s win last week and Green Bay’s loss, but let’s keep in mind that San Fran unimpressively beat what might be the worst team in the entire league, and the Packers lost on a last minute field goal to a legitimate Super Bowl contender. Let’s also remember that Frank Gore was the heart and soul of San Francisco’s offense. The Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5, while the 49ers are 0-7-1 ATS following an ATS win. Throw in the fact that Green Bay will be playing at home, and this one has all the ingredients for a blow out, as the Packers will be looking to make a statement to the rest of the NFC that they are still a force to be reckoned with. Unfortunately for San Francisco, they were simply in the path of the beast.

Spread Pick: Packers -8.5 (TOP PLAY)

Game Total Prediction: The 49ers are averaging a mere 17 points per game, good enough for 2nd last in the league. Now they will be facing a team that is allowing the fewest points in the league, an average of 15.1 per game. It wouldn’t be surprising to see San Francisco struggle to get into double digits in this one. While Green Bay can obviously put up a lot of points, they’d need to hit somewhere in the 30s to reach the Over, since we can’t depend on the 49ers to hold up their end of the bargain. In their last 8 on the road for San Fran, the Over has hit only twice, while the Under is 8-3 in Green Bay’s last 11. Despite a low total, this one is looking good for the Under, as it’s hard to envision a situation where San Francisco puts up many points, and the Packers are not capable of reaching the game total on their own.

Pick: Under 41.5

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