Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints Pick – NFL Week 11

Following a successful betting week for myself here at TheSportsGeek in Week 10, we’re back with some Week 11 winners to send you into a festive Thanksgiving weekend.

We will kick things off with an intriguing NFC South showdown between longtime rivals, the Atlanta Falcons and New Orleans Saints. Of course, much of the story surrounding this encounter has revolved around who will start at quarterback for New Orleans. With Drew Brees battling a rib injury, it reportedly seems like Taysom Hill will fill the void, and not Jameis Winston. It will certainly be fascinating to watch how that alters the Saints’ approach on offense.

For the Falcons, they continue to perform well ever since moving on from former head coach Dan Quinn. Their offense has been way more efficient, and at 3-6 the Dirty Birds still aren’t ruling out a playoff run in this expanded format. In order to do that though, they’ll need to pull off another key upset of the Saints on Sunday.

Continue reading on beneath the posted odds for further analysis and team news heading into this intriguing clash. Can Taysom Hill shake off the doubters and truly be an NFL quarterback? Or will the revitalized Falcons continue their unlikely playoff push? Keep reading to find out, and enjoy this divisional clash here in Week 11.

New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons Betting Odds:

Atlanta Falcons +3.5 (-110)
@ New Orleans Saints -3.5 (-110)

Over 49.5 (-110)
Under 49.5 (-110)

*Betting odds provided by

New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons Pick:

This game will certainly be one to watch and pay attention to within the early slate of Week 11 games. Though many believed it’d be Jameis Winston starting while mixing in Taysom Hill, it appears to be the other way around. Sean Payton loves Taysom Hill and that’s no secret – but whether he can perform consistently with downfield passes in a dropback scenario remains to be seen.

One area where Hill should thrive is in running the football and designed play-calls for Hill to use his legs. Hill, along with the elusiveness of Alvin Kamara could thrive on Sunday. And though Atlanta has been better against the run in recent weeks, the attack New Orleans can throw at them could prove problematic. Further downfield, Michael Thomas remains one of the NFL’s top wideouts, and should be gearing up for another big outing as nobody in Atlanta’s secondary can cover him.

On the other side of the ball, Atlanta should really test a strong Saints’ defense. Though New Orleans has a strong stop unit, when the Falcons have been healthy with all of their elite pass-catchers available for Matt Ryan, they’ve been tough to stop. This week should see more of that as the duo of Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley stretch the field like none other and should be able to keep the chains moving through the air.

Matt Ryan has also performed way better of late, and much of that can be attributed to getting excellent protection from his offensive line in recent weeks. With added time and space, Ryan should be able to hit his targets downfield on Sunday.

While it’s tough to go with a side prediction given the uncertainty of Winston/Hill, I think this game definitely leans to the over. Both offenses are elite, and it might take time for the Atlanta defence to react to the new looks the Saints throw at them. Don’t be surprised to see a narrow encounter, and one in which both teams score into the 30’s.

My Pick
Over 49.5
All Tags:
falcons, saints
Will S. / Author

Will has been working with The Sports Geek since its early days back in 2010. He began as a soccer specialist, focusing on detailed reports for major international competitions, including the World Cup and European Championships. Since then, he has produced weekly pick articles on both the NFL and English Premier League, while also contributing blog posts on the NHL, MLB, and even WWE wrestling. Will is also an avid sports bettor and daily fantasy player, always eager to share his thoughts and insight on anything going on in the world of sports.