Baltimore Ravens vs. Cleveland Browns Pick – NFL Week 14

The Baltimore Ravens and Cleveland Browns saddle up for a Sunday afternoon meeting at FirstEnergy Stadium in Cleveland. The Ravens are coming off a hard-fought loss against their rival.

With one last attempt to win on a 2-point conversion, Lamar Jackson threw a pass a touch too far for Mark Andrews. He likely scores and the Ravens beat the Steelers 21-20 if that’s a successful conversion.

Head coach John Harbaugh was criticized for the decision to go for a 2-point conversion, but he was running out of defensive backs. The defense would have been under a lot of pressure without a complete unit.

As good as the defense played, Harbaugh wasn’t confident in them getting through overtime, so went for 2 points instead. If it works he’s a genius and Ravens’ fans love him.

Lamar Jackson has to play better. That’s far more important than one coaching decision in a tight game. If the Ravens want to improve on their 8-4 record and win the AFC North, they need Jackson to get hot.

The AFC North is wide open, with no one really looking like a champion. The Steelers and Browns are still in the mix at 6-6, while the Cincinnati Bengals are on the heels of the Ravens at 7-5.

It goes without saying that this matchup against the Browns is of big-time importance. The Browns have been as up and down as the Ravens this season. In their case, they need their quarterback to play more consistently as well.

Baker Mayfield and the Browns are coming off a bye week following a mess of a game against the Ravens. That was an ugly game on both sides of the ball, with the Ravens pulling ahead for a 16-10 win.

Mayfield exits the bye week with 2,413 yards, 11 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions on 62.2% completions. He’s been dealing with a bad shoulder for most of the season. A week off was just what he needed at this point in the year.

In the rematch against the Ravens, we’ll see if we see a rejuvenated Baker. Head below for our free Ravens vs. Browns pick on December 12, 2021.

Baltimore Ravens vs. Cleveland Browns Betting Odds and Team Statistics:

The following odds are courtesy of MyBookie:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Baltimore Ravens +2.5 (+105) +130 Over 42.5 (-110)
Cleveland Browns -2.5 (-125) -150 Under 42.5 (-110)
Team Data Baltimore Ravens Cleveland Browns
Overall Record 8-4 6-6
ATS Record 5-7-0 5-7-0
Away/Home Record 3-3 4-2
ATS Away/Home 2-4-0 2-4-0
Points Per Game 23.5 21.2
Points Against Per Game 21.7 22.3
Passing Yards Per Game 240.8 207.0
Rushing Yards Per Game 147.1 147.1

Ravens vs. Browns Prediction:

The Ravens were dealing with injuries last week, and it’s going to continue to be a problem in Week 14 in Cleveland. It’s actually been an issue all season, but they’ve been able to play through it.

There comes a point where the injuries are too much to overcome, though. Seven starters are on the IR, a total of 17, with three of them that made the Pro Bowl in the past. If you want to look at it from a monetary viewpoint, it’s more than $44 million on the IR, or a quarter of their cap room.

Cornerback Marcus Peters suffered a season-ending injury in training camp, DeShon Ellis was lost to a bicep injury last month, and now another member of the secondary is OUT after last week. Marlon Humphrey will be unavailable following a pectoral injury versus the Steelers.

The only positive of the injuries is that Devonta Freeman has been coming along nicely after all three of their running backs on the depth chart went down earlier on in the season.

A total of 81 starts have been missed this season on the Ravens roster, the most in the league. With all of this considered, it’s impressive that they’re leading the AFC North at 8-4, but Humphrey gone now is going to be really tough to overcome this week.

The Ravens are reaching the point where one more injury to their secondary and they are going to have a practice squad on the field. Baker Mayfield and the Browns have to take advantage of their holes after a bye week.


Baltimore Ravens vs. Cleveland Browns Betting Trends:

Ravens

  • 9-1 ATS in their previous ten games in December
  • 8-2 ATS in their previous eight games as an underdog on the road
  • 1-4 ATS in their previous five games after a bye week
  • 2-5 ATS in their previous seven games on the road
  • 2-5 ATS in their previous seven games after allowing less than 90 rushing yards

Browns

  • 7-3 ATS in their previous ten games in Week 14
  • 2-5 ATS in their previous seven games as a favorite
  • 1-4 ATS in their previous five games
  • UNDER is 7-3 in their previous ten games versus the Ravens
  • UNDER is 4-1 in their previous five games at FirstEnergy Stadium

If the Browns can come up with two or three big plays, they should have a good time in this one. In the current state of the Ravens’ defense with the injuries, Baker should be able to come up with something in this one off a bye.

I have confidence in the Browns’ defense to continue playing at a high level. They’ve been doing the heavy lifting this season, and did a good job on Lamar Jackson in their meeting two weeks back.

Jackson passed for 165 yards, 1 touchdown, and 4 interceptions on 62.5% completions. The Browns have made it tough on a lot of quarterbacks this season, he isn’t the only one.

In five of their last six games, the Browns have allowed 16 or fewer points. They are in the top-5 with 315.6 yards allowed per game. At home that number drops to a wildly impressive 256.5 yards allowed per game.

The Ravens will do the best they can with what they have to work with, but their defense should get outlasted in this one. They can’t afford to make many mistakes on Sunday.

It’s hard to see the Ravens’ defense getting out of this one without having problems, especially if there’s another injury or two. The scheduling does the Ravens no favors as well. I like the Browns by 4 or 5 points to win and cover the number.

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Ravens vs. Browns Pick
CLEVELAND BROWNS -2.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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