The Super Wild Card Weekend in the NFL continues on Sunday with three more games. I don’t know if you want to call it an upset, but the LA Rams were the lone underdog to win their game. Jared Goff and the Rams went into Lumen Field, previously known as CenturyLink Field, and walked all over the Seahawks for a 30-20 win.
The pick-6 really changed everything in that game. And just like that, it’s over for the Seahawks after such a good season for Russell Wilson. The Seahawks are going to be fine going forward. That’s if they address their defense and try to get back to what made the Legion of Boom a household name. The offense wasn’t great on Saturday, but the defense really needs to get their act together for next year and beyond.
There were no surprises in the early game in Buffalo. The Bills won a tight game against a quality Colts team in Buffalo. It wasn’t going to be easy against the Colts, who were undervalued throughout the year. Elsewhere on Saturday, Taylor Heinicke and Washington couldn’t keep pace with Tom Brady and the Buccaneers.
I don’t think Heinicke was terrible. He was just thrust into a tough spot against one of the better teams in the NFL. If Washington can get their offense figured out next season, they are going to be in good shape. The Giants are likely going to be better, and Dak Prescott returning for the Cowboys would both make them tougher in the NFC East.
The Baltimore Ravens and Tennessee Titans will meet in the early game on Sunday. This is the most highly anticipated game of the weekend, or at least the way I see it. There is the potential for a lot of fireworks in Nashville. The Titans are coming off a 41-38 win over the Houston Texans to close out the regular season with a win and the AFC South at 11-5. The Ravens travel to Nashville to get the playoffs started following a mediocre regular season.
They were hot a pick to go to the Super Bowl, but didn’t look like it once the season began. Lamar Jackson was prevented from going wild, and if defenses can do that, the Ravens’ offense can be very ordinary. Do I have confidence in the Titans’ defense preventing Lamar from going off, though? He was heating up late in the season, and the Titans don’t have an unbeatable defense. Head below for our free Ravens vs. Titans prop bets for January 10, 2021 in the NFL Wild Card Round.
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Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards
The Titans will have to do a reasonable enough job containing Lamar Jackson or they’re not going to have a chance. I say reasonable enough because the Titans’ offense is good, and can be really good some weeks. That said, the defense is going to have to get some stops here and there to disrupt Jackson. And if he’s contained, the Ravens’ offense is very ordinary and doesn’t move as fast as it wants.
Jackson passed for 2,757 yards with 26 touchdowns and 9 interceptions on 64.4% completions. He rushed for 1,005 yards and 7 touchdowns on 6.3 yards per carry. This was a drop from 36 touchdown passes, 3,127 passing yards, and 1,206 rushing yards last season. He still had a good season, but didn’t run over defenses like he did in 2019.
Having said that, it’s possible Jackson does that against a weak Titans’ defense. Through the last four games of the regular season, Jackson passed for 8 touchdown passes and 2 interceptions. He also galloped for 336 yards, an average of 84 yards on the ground. Jackson has ran for at least 77 yards in four of his last five starts.
The Titans were 19th in the NFL with 120.8 yards conceded per game against the run. Even if they can contain Jackson by his standards, he can still very well gain more than 77 yards on the ground. He’s done it before in games where he just plugs away in chunks. In any event, this looks like a good spot for Jackson to come through and quiet the doubters in the Wild Card Round.
Ryan Tannehill Rushing Yards
Lamar Jackson isn’t the only quarterback in this game that can run the ball. Okay, Ryan Tannehill is not comparable, but he has the talent to pick up yards with his legs when he needs to. The Ravens’ offense is based on Jackson’s running ability, that’s obviously not the case with Tannehill and the Titans’ offense.
Tennessee operates around Derrick Henry on the ground, and then branches out to Tannehill and the passing-game. Tannehill has been taking off and running recently more often than in the past. Note that in the Titans’ last three games, Tannehill made 13 attempts as a runner.
He ran for 114 yards in those games, including 38 yards and 2 touchdowns in the last game of the regular season against the Texans. This was after Tannehill gained 55 yards and a touchdown against the Packers on the ground, most of those yards coming on a long touchdown scamper on an option.
Tannehill rushed for at least 20 yards in his last three outings. I don’t know if Tannehill rips off a long run off an option against the Ravens, but he should be able to scramble around and pick up enough yards here and there to get to 20 rushing yards.
Derrick Henry Receiving Yards
As dominant as Derrick Henry has been this season, he hasn’t been much of a receiver in the passing-game. That’s completely fine because Henry just takes the hand-off and turns into a bulldozer. He ran for 2,027 yards and 17 touchdowns on 5.4 yards per carry. Henry eclipsed more than 200 yards on the ground in the season finale against the Texans to get over 2,000 yards on the season.
He joins an elite club of running backs that were able to accomplish the feat. Henry didn’t play much of a role as a receiver, though. Other than being used to block, Henry was left out of the passing-game completely down the stretch. Henry didn’t receive one target as a receiver in the last two games.
And when he was targeted, Henry didn’t do much with the ball. Overall, Henry had 19 receptions for 114 yards on 6 yards per reception. Through the last 11 games, he had just 30 yards receiving, with one game with more than 7 yards. Left out of the offense as a receiver, Henry to go UNDER on this prop looks good.