Bears vs. Packers TNF Pick – NFL Week 4

There never seems to be all that much of a break with these Thursday nighters, but that’s fine by us as Week 4 brings a new start and new opportunity to win some money. Week 3 was a bit of a downer – some awfully tough beats went against us (Rams and Lions), but hopefully the luck turns for this all-NFC North divisional showdown between the Chicago Bears and Green Bay Packers.

The Bears scored a huge victory last week at home, beating the powerful Pittsburgh Steelers in overtime. After getting crushed at Tampa Bay the week prior, it’s clear these Bears are an inconsistent mixed-bag type of team. They have some talent and have made some improvements from 2016, but we’ll learn a lot more about them on a short week against a prolific Packers squad.

For Aaron Rodgers and Green Bay, Week 3 wasn’t pretty but they got the job done. After a dismal Week 2 no-show in Atlanta, the Pack were fortunate to rebound with a late victory against the Bengals. Cincinnati was a desperate group and really have Green Bay everything they had. A depleted Packers squad prevailed, and they’re slated to be a bit healthier tonight – specifically at wide receiver and along the offensive line. Continue reading below the odds chart for a detailed game breakdown and a betting prediction to get Week 4 started off on the right foot.

Bears vs. Packers Betting Odds:

Chicago Bears +7 (-110)
@ Green Bay Packers -7 (-110)

Over 44 (-110)
Under 44 (-110)

Betting odds provided by


Bears vs. Packers Pick:

The big key here is Aaron Rodgers and his protection. Though it remains iffy as to whether or not he’ll get some of his important offensive tackles back from the injured list – he’s still talented enough to make consistent plays and move the chains on the Bears. Though they have a stellar pass rush, Rodgers excels at making quick decisions and throwing against the blitz. Chicago’s secondary is in woeful shape at the moment, and really outside of Prince Amukamara – there’s nobody that can contain the now healthy trio of Davante Adams, Jordy Nelson, and Randall Cobb. Martellus Bennett at tight end is also in for a big outing on Thursday night.

On the Green Bay defense, Nick Perry and Mike Daniels remain questionable – but they’ll still generate enough pressure on the awful Mike Glennon against a suspect Bears’ O-Line. And even when Glennon does get time and space – he simply isn’t good enough to expose some of Green Bay’s weaknesses in their secondary – particularly with their corners. Tarik Cohen has been a big revelation for Chicago in their first three weeks, but the diminutive back has feasted on teams with soft linebacking corps. The Packers are quite strong in this regard, and look for Morgan Burnett specifically to do a good job bottling him up catching balls out of the backfield.

Since the start of these Thursday night games – there’s a general trend to favouring the home team and simply, the more talented group. With less time to game plan and prepare, skill and talent tends to win out, and there is no doubting who the superior group is in this contest. With the Packers’ talented array of pass-catchers and game breakers, look for Aaron Rodgers to find receivers downfield and keep the chains moving. The Bears will keep things tight for a bit, but ultimately look for the Packers to pull away and prevail into the second half.

PICK = Packers -7 (-110)

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