The Cincinnati Bengals were leading the Buffalo Bills 31-14 at halftime last week. They won right? Wrong. The Bills scored 35 straight points, embarrassing the Bengals in front of their home crowd. But what else do we expect from a Bengals team that for several years now have been the real laughing stock of the NFL. They have to pick themselves up and travel to New York to play the Jets this week, a team that can teach them a thing or two about character.
Both teams gave up big second half leads last week. The difference is the Jets won. New York gave up a 16 point 4th quarter lead before Mark Sanchez picked apart a brutal Texans secondary to drive the field in the last minute to win the game. Sanchez is playing at a different level than last year, and showing that he’s not just a game manager. The Jets are throwing the ball a lot more than last year. Sanchez needs to throw only 28 more passes to match last year’s attempts. He also needs only 150 yards to match last year’s total passing yards of 2,444, and he’s already thrown more TD passes than last year, with 15. The Bengals give up almost 350 yards through the air, and given last week’s meltdown in the secondary, the Jets will throw early and often on Sunday.
I should be fair to the Bengals though, they lost three of their starting DB’s in the second half which is part of the reason for the Bills comeback. None of them will be back for Sunday’s game which leaves them extremely thin in the secondary. It’ll be up to the Bengals offense to play a near perfect game to give Cinci a chance. And the Jets have holes that can be exploited. They’re stopping the run very well, as usual this year, giving up less than 100 yards a game. But through the air they are merely average, giving up 220 yards per game. T.O shows up for big games as we know, and he’s having a very good year with 897 yards and 8 TDs in 11 games. Carson Palmer has to play better and be more careful with the ball. He has 13 INTs in 11 games, and the Jets defense is very good at forcing turnovers, with 17 on the year.
Bengals vs. Jets Spread, Line and Betting Odds:
Cincinnati Bengals +9
@ New York Jets -9
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Bengals vs. Jets Predictions for Week 12 Betting:
Game Total Prediction (Top Play): In the Jets last 3 wins (against Detroit, Cleveland, and Houston) they’ve given up 23, 26 and 30 points. This team may look like the same defense as last year, but they’re not. Rookie CB Kyle Wilson has been like night and day; some weeks he’s played like a regular starter and others he’s been burned out of position. Darrelle Revis’ hasn’t been 100% either and opposing QBs are showing more willingness to throw in his direction. Detroit and Houston especially took advantage of the size of the Jets secondary. SS Jim Leonard, standing at 5’8 has been exposed over the last few weeks on big plays by big Tight Ends. Cleveland TE Benjamin Watson (6’3) went 5/73 with a lot of those yards coming in chunks down the middle, while Texans Joel Dreesen(6’4) ripped off 4 receptions for 106 yards and a TD last week. The Jets are having trouble defending TEs, so Jermaine Gresham should add to his good rookie year this week. As I mentioned before, Cinci’s pass D is atrocious, so I definitely like this game to go over the low number.
Spread Prediction: Before last week’s meltdown, the Bengals had lost by totals of 6, 6, 7 and 5. Their biggest lost of the season was last week against the Bills, and for as bad as they’ve been at stopping teams from scoring, there are putting points on the board, and they will most likely be playing from behind this week which will allow them to spread it out through the air. I wrote about the year that T.O is having last week, and he upped his average last week with 3 catches for 63 yards. He’s taken over as the Bengals deep threat and as long as he’s in the game, Cinci can strike from anywhere. The Bengals last two road games have been very close losses to Indi and Atlanta, two very good home teams, while the Jets last three wins have been by 9 points combined. I’d be very surprised if Cinci wins, but they can certainly do enough to keep it within two scores.
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