Bengals vs. Chiefs NFL Pick – Week 7

Sunday Night Football features the Kansas City Chiefs for the second week in a row. This week they will be at home after battling the Patriots in Foxboro in Week 6. It was a wild one that saw the Chiefs come up just short by a score of 43-40. Mahomes was a little jittery in the 1st quarter and missed a touchdown on the first drive of the game.

The Chiefs had to settle for a field goal, but eventually Mahomes got into a rhythm and was difficult to slow down. Instead of getting down on himself, Mahomes shook it off and started throwing darts in the second-half. For a young quarterback like him, that’s what you would like to see after facing adversity. The Chiefs play a complete game starting in the 1st quarter, and they likely win that game in Foxboro.

For the first time in his career, Mahomes must regroup after a loss. It looked so easy up until last week for the Chiefs, but once again the defense failed them. Mahomes had to do it all on his own with the offense at Texas Tech and it’s more of the same in his young NFL career. The defense was non-existent when he was in college, which often resulted in Mahomes having to put up monster numbers. The loss to the Patriots last week had to remind him of those days. It’s easy to establish what the Chiefs will be addressing in the draft.

The Chiefs will have the home crowd behind them at Arrowhead on Sunday night. A primetime game in Kansas City should give the defense at least a little juice. Andy Dalton has historically struggled in primetime games, as well as the postseason, so any outing that he is placed in the spotlight things haven’t gone his way. Dalton passed for just 229 yards last week against the Steelers, as the Bengals were outgained by 206 yards in the 28-21 loss. Keeping A.J. Green in check will be priority No. 1 for the Chiefs’ secondary. Head below for our free Bengals vs. Chiefs pick.

Cincinnati Bengals vs. K.C. Chiefs NFL Week 7 Betting Odds:

Bengals +6(-115)
vs. Chiefs -6(-105)

Over 57(-115)
Under 57(-105)

Betting odds provided by

Bengals vs. Chiefs Pick:

Mahomes enters Sunday night with some prolific numbers on his resume. He’s already passed for 1,865 yards and 18 touchdowns. Mahomes found some trouble with 4 interceptions in the last two weeks, but he has shown the ability to respond right away. He’s also rushed for 2 touchdowns on the ground. Overall, the Chiefs are averaging 418.5 yards per game for 5th in the league and 35.8 points per game for 1st.

The Cincinnati defense will head into Sunday with a banged-up defense. That includes cornerback Darqueze Dennard who has been ruled out, linebacker Nick Vigil will be gone for a month, and starting safety, Shawn Williams, is questionable to play against the Chiefs on Sunday night.

For all of the talk of how bad the New England defense is, the Bengals are worse than the Patriots statistically. The Bengals go into Arrowhead allowing 409.2 yards per game for 29th in the league. When they started to see some starters exit the game last week, the Steelers began to move the ball effectively. Mahomes should be able to navigate a Bengals’ defense who are allowing 292 passing yards per game. I think he feels he missed a few plays last week early. He’ll likely look sharper out of the gate after shaking off nerves in his first Sunday Night Football start a week ago.

The Chiefs likely put up points yet again this week, but their chances of winning will come down to their defense, which has gotten torched through the first-half of the season. There are a couple things working for the Chiefs here, though. The home crowd at Arrowhead on a Sunday night is going to be electric. This should impact a shaky Cincinnati offensive line, which is currently ranked 29th by Pro Football Focus.

The Chiefs will be attacking this glaring weakness all game long. The Bengals will put some drives together, but expect the Chiefs’ defense to finally resemble an NFL defensive unit on Sunday night. Look for them to get a few critical stops on 3rd down in this one. The Chiefs left points on the field last week in the first-half and they still rattled off 40 points on the road against a Belichick coached defense.

Note that Marvin Lewis is 9-31 in primetime games, and Dalton is 6-19 with the Bengals. Conversely, the Chiefs have won five-straight at home in primetime, including 19 of their last 23 games at Arrowhead. Tyreek Hill has hauled in 14 touchdowns in 12 night games. With that said, I like a 38-27 final score in favor of the home team on Sunday night.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.