Bills Giants Spread Pick for Week 6 NFL

Five weeks into the 2011 NFL season and the surprise team thus far has to be the 4-1 Buffalo Bills. The manner in which they’ve won games, combined with the teams they have beaten, has been both impressive and has garnered the attention of the rest of the league. They enter this match-up against the New York Giants with an explosive offense filled with low-profile players who are simply thriving in head coach Chan Gailey’s system. On defense however, the Bills will be forced to endure many key injuries to starters Kyle Williams, Chris Kelsay, and Aaron Williams. All are expected to sit out against the Giants, and tgus will really test the depth of the Bills’ organization against a scary Giants attack.

Meanwhile, the Giants have been wildly inconsistent this season. After winning three straight games, all in impressive fashion, they were throttled last week by a subpar Seattle Seahawks squad on their home field. They’ll need to be much sharper against an upstart Buffalo team that is putting up an astounding 33 points per game, experiencing success in all facets of their offense. New York has also been mediocre stopping the run and will need to be better if they want a shot at limiting the electrifying Fred Jackson. Making matters worse is the Giants may be without a couple of key players in defensive end Justin Tuck, and running back Brandon Jacobs. At the moment, both are unlikely to suit up against the Bills. Both are big losses in a Bills team that both runs the ball very well, but also struggles to stop it.

Bills vs. Giants Spread, Line, and Betting Odds:

Spread:
Buffalo Bills +3 (+110)
@ New York Giants -3 (-130)

Game Total:
Over 50 (-110)
Under 50 (-110)

Bills vs. Giants Pick:

If the Giants want to make the playoffs, and make up for last week’s dreadful performance, these match-ups at home are games that have to be won. After a five-turnover showing against the Seahawks, the Giants are going to need to be much more careful when facing off with this opportunistic Bills’ defense. Buffalo is fresh off a four-interception outing against Michael Vick and the Eagles, and if New York wants to win this game they must do a better job of protecting the football in order to control the clock and exploit a vulnerable Bills’ run defense.

Though Buffalo currently sits at 4-1, it is a tad misleading. Sure they have put up huge numbers on offense, but their defense has been susceptible to the big play all season. Against a team with a capable quarterback in Eli Manning with three big-play options in Hakeem Nicks, Mario Manningham, and the emerging Victor Cruz, expect Buffalo to be simply overwhelmed in the passing game. Moreover, key centre David Baas is expected to return from injury for the G-Men, which should prove beneficial for running back Ahmad Bradshaw. The Bills are brutal at stopping the run, and getting Baas back will be huge for the potent Giants attack. That said, this Buffalo defense still makes plays, currently leading the league in interceptions. For the Giants to have success in this game, they must trust Bradshaw and hand it off to him at least 20 times. Look for the Giants to have success running the football early on, and opening the pass for Manning to his big targets later in the game.

This is a big test for Buffalo, but look for the desperation factor of the Giants to prevail. Coming off a brutal loss last week, coach Tom Coughlin will get his Giants team to respond and make this the week their running attack wakes up. Their offense is loaded with weapons, and facing a Bills’ run defense that is 29th in the league, and giving up 5.5 yards per carry, the Giants will control the game and move the ball well on offense. Additionally, if healthy, New York’s pass rush will give the surprising, yet untested, Ryan Fitzpatrick more than he can handle in the pocket. The Giants will be living in the Bills’ backfield come Sunday, and expect the G-Men to send Buffalo back home with a dose of reality.

PICK = Giants -3

Will S. / Author

Will has been working with The Sports Geek since its early days back in 2010. He began as a soccer specialist, focusing on detailed reports for major international competitions, including the World Cup and European Championships. Since then, he has produced weekly pick articles on both the NFL and English Premier League, while also contributing blog posts on the NHL, MLB, and even WWE wrestling. Will is also an avid sports bettor and daily fantasy player, always eager to share his thoughts and insight on anything going on in the world of sports.