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Bills vs. Bengals Pick – NFL Week 5

The Buffalo Bills and Cincinnati Bengals meet up in Week 5 with both coming off wins a week ago. The Bills pulled a major upset by beating the Atlanta Falcons, 23-17 last week. It came on the road as 8-point underdogs. Don’t look now, but the Bills are 1st in the AFC East. If we want to take it a step further, the Lions are 1st in the NFC North and the Rams are 1st in the NFC West.

Go figure, expect the unexpected as they say. However, we’re only in Week 5, so anything that looks normal now, may look completely different weeks from now. The Lions have had a knack for going through stretches of terrific football, and then fall off a cliff. Would it surprise you if the Bills do a U-turn and head in the opposite direction? No, me either.

For what it’s worth, the Bills have been playing good football this season. It isn’t a fluke that they won those games, they played well, I give them that. Holding the Falcons to just 17 points, especially in Atlanta, is something not too many teams have been able to accomplish. The Bills of all teams pulled it off. The win gave them a record of 3-1, their loss coming against the Panthers. Buffalo contained the Panthers in that one, though, allowing just 3 points.

While the Bills have been flourishing, the Bengals got a needed win last week against the Browns. It’s the Browns, but it was a must-win for Marvin Lewis. His seat cooled off slightly with the win, but there’s some work to do if he wants to keep his job. I’ve said it before that Lewis is on thin ice, going back a few years, and he’s still here so who knows how much leash he has left.

They’ve been looking for a playoff win and haven’t gotten it. The Bengals enter Week 5 with a record of 1-3. Their best effort maybe coming in what was a loss. They held strong against the Packers at Lambeau but dropped a 27-24 decision. It might have been a season changer for the Bengals, though. We’ll see if they can hit their stride Sunday afternoon. Head below for our free Bills vs. Bengals pick.

Buffalo Bills vs. Cincinnati Bengals Betting Odds:

Spread:
Bills +3(-110)
vs. Bengals -3(-110)

Total:
Over 39.5(-110)
Under 39.5(-110)

Betting odds provided by Bovada.lv

Bills vs. Bengals Pick:

The Bills have employed a bend but don’t break defense. They are allowing 306 yards per game, 8th in the NFL. When it comes to points given up, they are 1st in that regard. Buffalo said goodbye to corner Stephon Gilmore and it hasn’t seemed to affect the defense. In fact, they’ve been looking better without Gilmore. The Bengals fired their offensive coordinator after two weeks, they were awful with Ken Zampese calling plays. Since then the Bengals have scored 51 points. Andy Dalton’s pass completion percentage has gone up, and the offense has looked much more fluid and comfortable.

The Bills will be without quarterback Tyrod Taylor’s favorite receiver, Jordan Matthews. They were already depleted at wide receiver, but have made it work, led by LeSean McCoy. Tyrod Taylor is one of the most underrated quarterbacks in the NFL today. He protects the ball and rarely makes mistakes. Taylor has passed for 5 touchdowns and 1 interception. He also has 118 yards rushing. The Bengals’ defense is better since Vontaze Burfict returned. Notably, the Bengals are tough to run on with Burfict in the starting lineup.

The Bengals are particularly strong at defending the pass. They’ve allowed just 164.8 passing yards per game for 3rd in the league. Against the run, they’ve allowed 108.5 rushing yards, 16th. The Bills will get all of the attention and recognition because of what they did against the Falcons last week, and the public money is certainly going in their direction.

I just see this as a massive letdown spot for them. The Bengals have not been a bad team since their old OC was fired. I think the Bills get too comfortable looking at that 1-3 record of the Bengals. The line opened in -2.5 in some spots, and is just about -3 across the board at that moment. Fishy considering the public is riding the Bills. I think the play is on the Bengals here.

PICK: BENGALS -3 (-110)

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