Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs NFL Pick – Divisional Round

The NFL is set up with another great slate of games throughout the weekend. Four games will be up on the board throughout Saturday and Sunday. To close out the weekend of action, the Buffalo Bills and Kansas City Chiefs will meet up on Sunday afternoon. These two teams will look for a huge win in this one. This game will kick off at around 6:30 PM Eastern time on CBS.

Buffalo finished out the regular season with a record of 11-6, which had them earn the top spot of the AFC East. The Bills have won five games in a row entering this one. Buffalo is coming off a big win against the New England Patriots. The Bills were able to come out fast in that one at home. Buffalo jumped out to an early lead and earned a 47-17 win.

The Chiefs put up a record of 12-5 throughout the regular season, which had them earn the second seed in the AFC. Kansas City has won their last two games and will look for a big win in this one. The Chiefs met up with the Pittsburgh Steelers in the first round of the playoffs. Kansas City was able to dominate that matchup for a 42-21 win.

These two teams have been solid throughout this season and will look for a pivotal win in this game. The Bills have been the hotter team to end the season, but Kansas City has been better overall this season. Both teams will look to get some quick momentum in this matchup. If either team can grab an early lead in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Bills vs. Chiefs Live Odds and Betting History

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Teams Spread Money Line Totals
Buffalo Bills +1 ½ (-105) +114 Over 53 ½ (-112)
Kansas City Chiefs -1 ½ (-108) -134 Under 53 ½ (-108)
Betting Data Buffalo Bills Kansas City Chiefs
2021 Record 12-6 13-5
2021 Home 7-3 8-2
2021 Away 5-3 5-3
2021 ATS 10-6-2 9-9
2021 ATS Home 5-3-2 5-5
2021 ATS Away 5-3 4-4
2021 O/U 9-9 11-7
2021 O/U Home 4-6 5-5
2021 O/U Away 5-3 6-2

Bills vs. Chiefs NFL Game Preview

The Bills and Chiefs met up once earlier in the season in Week 5 in Kansas City. Patrick Mahomes had two passing touchdowns, but it was not enough. Josh Allen had three passing touchdowns and a rushing touchdown. Micah Hyde had an interception return touchdown as Buffalo earned a dominant 38-20 win on the road in this one.

These two teams have met up 51 times throughout their histories. The Bills lead the all-time series with a record of 27-23-1 throughout those games. Kansas City has won five of the last seven games though. The Chiefs knocked off Buffalo 38-24 in the last postseason. The Bills will look to come out quicker in this one as they try to move on to the AFC Conference Final.

These two teams have been solid throughout this season and will look to earn a big win in this one. Both teams look very similar to when they met up early in the season. The Chiefs have picked up their defensive play since that matchup, but Buffalo’s defense has been great. If either team can grab an early lead in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Opening Odds and Line Movement

The line opened up at -2 for Kansas City to open up this matchup. The spread has dropped down to -1 ½ in favor of the Chiefs. With a couple of days before kickoff, Kansas City is still at -1 ½.

The total is listed as a 53 ½ points a couple of days before the game starts. The over/ under opened up at 54 points and has not moved much. This total makes sense with both offenses entering this game firing on all cylinders.

The spread for this game makes sense with the Chiefs at home, but both teams playing really well. Buffalo was able to earn a win on the road earlier in the season, but will have a tougher task in this one. I expect a great matchup between these two teams.

Head to Head Betting Trends

  • Chiefs 6-4 SU in last 10 games
  • Both teams 5-5 ATS in last 10 matchups
  • Over/ under is 5-5 in last 10 meetings
  • Over is 4-1 in last five games in Kansas City

Buffalo Bills Betting Trends

  • 2-1 SU as an underdog
  • 2-1 ATS as an underdog
  • 8-5 SU against Conference opponents
  • 8-5 ATS against Conference opponents
  • 2-3 SU in games on grass field
  • 2-3 ATS in games on grass field
  • 3-0 SU in January
  • 2-0-1 ATS in January
  • 2-3 SU against team with winning record
  • 2-3 ATS against team with winning record

Kansas City Chiefs Betting Trends

  • 13-5 SU as a favorite
  • 9-9 ATS as a favorite
  • 8-5 SU against Conference opponents
  • 6-7 ATS against Conference opponents
  • 11-4 SU in games played on grass field
  • 7-8 ATS in games played on grass field
  • 2-1 SU in January
  • 1-2 ATS in January
  • 7-3 SU when playing team with winning record
  • 6-4 ATS when playing team with winning record

Free Bet and Game Prediction: Buffalo Bills +114

These two teams have been solid throughout this season and will meet in one of the most anticipated games of the season. These two teams met in a great postseason matchup a season ago and will look for a big win on Sunday afternoon. If either team can come out with a fast start in this one, it could be enough to lead them to the win.

Josh Allen has been strong throughout this season and will look for a huge win in this one. Allen has passed for 4407 yards, 36 touchdowns and 15 interceptions. He has also rushed for 763 yards and 6 touchdowns. Patrick Mahomes has thrown for 4839 yards, 37 touchdowns and 13 interceptions. He has also run for 381 yards and 2 touchdowns.

These two teams met up in a great matchup earlier in the season and will now meet in a win or go home matchup on Sunday night. This game has Kansas City listed as a -134 against the money line in this one. This implies that the Chiefs will win this game around 57.3 percent of the time. I think that this line should be closer with how tight these two teams have played.

The Bet
Buffalo Bills
+114

Bills vs. Chiefs Betting Recap:

  • Oddmaker: BetOnline
  • Money Lines: Buffalo Bills (+114) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (-134)
  • Spread: Bills +1 ½ (-105)
  • Over/Under: 53 ½ Points
  • Prediction: Bills 27 – Chiefs 24
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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