Bills vs. Chiefs Pick – NFL Week 12

The Buffalo Bills get back on the horse and try and respond after a national embarrassment last week against the Los Angeles Chargers. The Bills opted to go with Nate Peterman at quarterback in a surprise move. Tyrod Taylor rode the bench, while Peterman was given the keys to the offense. Sean McDermott thought giving Peterman a chance to start would have reignited the team.
That was a colossal fail, as Peterman threw for 66 yards and 5 interceptions in just a half of play. The Bills went back to Taylor in the second-half, but the game was already well out of hand at that point. Taylor passed for 158 yards and a touchdown, as they just tried to claw back to make the score somewhat respectable. The ensuing result was a 54-24 loss for the Bills. The Chargers added another win on Thanksgiving, so they’re feeling alright at the moment.

As far as the Bills are concerned, there are some Buffalo fans who wanted to pull out the barf bag watching that debacle. Bills’ fans have seen it all, and a quarterback throwing 5 interceptions in a half is new on them. If anyone wanted to crawl into a hole and get away, it’d be head coach Sean McDermott. It was his call to bench Taylor and give the offense to Peterman, who did not look like ready at all to play in the NFL. He didn’t look ready to command a high school offense, never mind the Bills. Well, that experiment was a flop, and now it’s back to Tyrod Taylor at quarterback.

The Bills enter with a record of 5-5, so they’re still in the playoff mix. That’s what made the quarterback move even more perplexing. They are on the cusp of a wildcard, and they decide to throw Peterman into the fire? Taylor seems to be a respected guy with his teammates in the locker room, which was another thing about this. If the Bills’ season turns into a complete dumpster fire the rest of the way, you have to look back at this decision. He has to look out and not lose the locker room.

In Kansas City, the Chiefs have been feeling some heat. After the hottest start in the NFL, the Chiefs have regressed significantly. They’ve gone 1-4 in their last five games, with their only win coming against the useless Broncos. Prior to that point, the Chiefs were winners of five in a row. It all started with a blowout win over the Patriots on opening night. At that point, and at 5-0, it was tough to envision the Chiefs as a 6-4 football team. It would have been tough to envisioning them losing to the Giants, too. We’ll see if they can grab some momentum back on Sunday afternoon against the Bills. Head below for our free Bills vs. Chiefs pick.

Buffalo Bills vs. K.C. Chiefs Betting Odds:

Bills +9.5(-110)
vs. Chiefs -9.5(-110)

Over 46.5(-110)
Under 46.5(-110)

Betting odds provided by

Bills vs. Chiefs Pick:

The Chiefs hit a new low last week, with a 12-9 overtime loss to the Giants. The Cowboys haven’t been any good this season, so the 28-17 loss to Dallas isn’t the best loss either. After that one, the assumption was that the Chiefs would respond the following week against the hapless Giants. If you watched the GMen-Redskins game last night, it’d make you wonder how they really lost to that team. Back to the drawing board for the Chiefs. They are sorely missing safety Eric Berry. The Chiefs may have won an additional four straight games without him, but the defense didn’t look the same. Additionally, teams are really starting to pick up on how to exploit their defense without Berry in the lineup.

Nobody is stepping up to plug the running lanes. The Chiefs are allowing 4.6 yards per carry on the ground. That’s common among a lot of college defenses, but in the NFL, it’s horrid. They’re allowing an average of 129.2 rushing yards per game, 29th in the league. The Chiefs have also had a steady stream of injuries to their linebackers. Dee Ford and Terrance Smith both missed practice this week are ruled out for Sunday. Fortunately enough for the Chiefs, they will have Steven Nelson in the secondary. The Chiefs made some news this week by signing veteran corner Darrelle Revis. His career looked done after a putrid 2016, but the Chiefs are going to kick the tires on him and see what’s left in the tank.

The Bills have been getting annihilated on the defensive side of the ball lately. They’ve given up 366.8 yards per game. In their last three games, they allowed 45 points per game. Even a bad Jets’ offense managed to put up 34 on the Bills’ defense. Their issues started to arise when they unexpectedly traded away Marcell Dareus at the end of October. The Buffalo offense will enter dinged up. Kelvin Benjamin, Jordan Matthews, Deonte Thomas, and Charles Clay are all questionable. Additionally, offensive linemen John Miller, Dion Dawkins, and Cordy Glenn all had difficulties finding the practice field this week. Running back Mike Tolbert has already been announced as out.

So, as far as we know now, the offense will consist of Tyrod Taylor, LeSean McCoy, and Zay Jones. I’d be surprised if Benjamin starts, with Matthews having a more favorable chance. Jones is a rookie who struggled earlier in the year but is starting to get more comfortable. When I originally looked at this line, it almost makes you think auto bet on the Bills at +9.5 or 10. That’s a lot of points against a team who have just lost to the Giants. However, those injuries look like a lot to overcome on the road in a hostile environment at Arrowhead. The biggest concern for the Bills in this game is going to be along their offensive line. Justin Houston has lost a step, but he is going to give the Bills problems off the edge on a banged up line.

KC wide receiver, Albert Wilson, is listed as questionable but has been practicing this week, and should be good to go. His numbers aren’t gaudy, but what he is capable of doing is taking attention away from Tyreek Hill. There isn’t anyone on the Bills who will be able to handle Travis Kelce, certainly not a linebacker. Taylor will have the offense looking better than last week. However, I don’t think it’s going to be enough to keep them in the game with all of their injury problems. The Chiefs win and pull away to cover. As always, best of luck whether you tail or fade, and with the rest of your NFL picks.

PICK: CHIEFS -9.5 (-110)

Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.