Buffalo Bills vs Tennessee Titans NFL Pick – Week 6

The NFL is set up with another great slate of action throughout Week 6. Fourteen games are up on the board between October 14-18. To close out the weekend of action, the Buffalo Bills and Tennessee Titans will meet up on Monday Night Football. These two teams have been solid to open up this season. This game will kick off at around 8:15 PM Eastern time on ESPN.

Buffalo has earned a record of 4-1 throughout this season, which has them sitting in the top spot of the AFC East. The Bills are coming off a huge win against the Kansas City Chiefs in Week 5. Josh Allen had three passing touchdowns and a rushing touchdown in this one. This was enough to help lift the Bills to a big 38-20 win on Sunday Night Football.

The Titans have put up a record of 3-2 so far this season, which has them in the top spot of the AFC South. Tennessee met up with the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 5. Derrick Henry had three rushing touchdowns on the afternoon. Ryan Tannehill also passed for a touchdown as the Titans earned a big 37-19 win at home.

These two teams have been solid throughout this season and will look to earn a huge win on Monday Night. The Bills are coming off a huge win against the defending AFC Champs. Tennessee has not been quite as strong to open up the season, but will look to earn a statement win. If either team can come out hot in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Bills vs. Titans Live Odds and Betting History

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Teams Spread Money Line Totals
Buffalo Bills -5 ½ (-115) -245 Over 54 (-115)
Tennessee Titans +5 ½ (-105) +205 Under 54 (-105)

 

Betting Data Buffalo Bills Tennessee Titans
2021 Record 4-1 3-2
2021 Home 2-1 1-1
2021 Away 2-0 2-1
2021 ATS 4-1 3-2
2021 ATS Home 2-1 1-1
2021 ATS Away 2-0 2-1
2021 O/U 2-3 3-2
2021 O/U Home 1-2 0-2
2021 O/U Away 1-1 3-0

Bills vs. Titans NFL Game Preview

The last time these two teams met up was in Week 5 of the 2020 season. Josh Allen had two passing touchdowns, but it was not nearly enough. Ryan Tannehill had three passing touchdowns and a rushing touchdown. Derrick Henry also had two rushing touchdowns. The Titans were able to dominate in route to a 42-16 win at home.

Buffalo and Tennessee have met up 48 times throughout their histories. The Titans have earned a record of 29-19 throughout the all-time series. Tennessee is coming off a win in their last matchup against the Bills, but Buffalo has won three of the last four. If either team can control the pace of this matchup, it could lead them to a win.

These two teams have met up recently and have not changed much since that meeting. Tennessee has added some to their offense, but their defense has not been off to quite as strong of a start. The Bills had a slow start in Week 1, but have won four in a row entering Monday Night. These teams will likely be fighting for playoff seeding at the end of the season, which should lead to an intense matchup.

Opening Odds and Line Movement

The spread for this one opened up at -3 in favor of the Bills. The line for this game has gotten up to -5 ½ points in favor of Buffalo only a couple of days before kickoff.

The over/ under for this game is listed at 53 ½ points. The total has gone up a half a point to 54 points. This total makes sense with both offenses firing on all cylinders entering play on Monday Night.

The spread for this game continues to rise in favor of Buffalo as we near this Monday Night tilt. I do not think that it should be rising this much though with Tennessee at home in this primetime matchup.

Head to Head Betting Trends

  • Titans 6-4 SU in last 10 matchups against Buffalo
  • Titans 5-4-1 ATS in last 10 meetings
  • Over is 5-5 in last 10 games
  • Over is 3-2 in last five games in Tennessee

Buffalo Bills Betting Trends

  • 21-4 SU in last 25 games as favorite
  • 15-10 ATS in last 25 games as favorite
  • 13-6 SU in last 19 road games
  • 12-5-2 ATS in last 19 road games
  • 22-10 SU in last 32 Conference games
  • 17-13-2 ATS in last 32 Conference games
  • 2-1 SU in last three Monday Night games
  • 2-1 ATS in last three Monday Night games
  • 6-3 SU in last nine October games
  • 4-5 ATS in last nine October games
  • 13-6 SU in last 19 games after two or more straight wins
  • 13-6 SU in last 19 games after two or more straight wins

Tennessee Titans Betting Trends

  • 9-7 SU in last 16 games as an underdog
  • 9-7 ATS in last 16 games as an underdog
  • 10-9 SU in last 19 home games
  • 8-10-1 ATS in last 19 home games
  • 19-12 SU in last 31 Conference games
  • 15-15-1 ATS in last 31 Conference games
  • 1-0 SU in last Monday Night game
  • 0-1 ATS in last Monday Night game
  • 5-4 SU in last nine October games
  • 4-4-1 ATS in last nine October games

Free Bet and Game Prediction: Tennessee Titans +5 ½ (-105)

These two teams have been solid to open up this season and will look for a big win in this one. Buffalo is coming off a statement win in Arrowhead against the Chiefs. The Titans will now look to put up a statement win of their own on Monday Night. Tennessee has been a bit shaky at times this season, but if they can clean up their mistakes in this one, they will give themselves a chance to pull off an upset.

The Bills will have Josh Allen as their Quarterback, who has been on a roll early in this season. Allen has passed for 1370 yards, 12 touchdowns and two interceptions. He has also rushed for 188 yards and two touchdowns. Ryan Tannehill has thrown for 1251 yards, six touchdowns and three interceptions. Tannehill also had 130 rushing yards and a touchdown.

This game is listed at -5 ½ in favor of the Bills, which seems a bit big for me. Tennessee is hosting this matchup and has something to prove. The Titans also could control the pace of the game with their running game. Tennessee has been a strong team throughout this season and I think they will keep it close on Monday Night.

The Bet
Tennessee Titans +5.5
-105

Bills vs. Titans Betting Recap:

  • Oddmaker: BetOnline
  • Money Lines: Buffalo Bills (-245) vs. Tennessee Titans (+205)
  • Spread: Titans +5 ½ (-105)
  • Over/Under: 54 Points
  • Prediction: Bills 30 – Titans 27
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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