The 1-2 Denver Broncos travel to Tennessee to take on the 2-1 Titans this Sunday in what’s shaping up to be an exciting matchup. The Broncos faced a tough test versus the Colts last week, and thanks to a number of costly turnovers, dropped their second game of the season. The Titans won a hard fought game on the road versus the New York Football Giants, as they showed that their defense and running game can win football games regardless of who’s lined up behind centre.
On the offensive side of things, the Broncos are quietly leading the NFL in passing yards per game and are ranked 2nd in totally yards per game. But don’t let these numbers fool you. QB Kyle Orton can move the ball, but he’s not moving it very far. 29 times last week Orton through the ball just two yards from the line of scrimmage, and his receivers did the rest. With one of the best YAC receiving corps in the league, the Broncos style of offense may result in total yards, but it’s killing their rushing attack. Denver ranks 30th in team rushing this season. Coach McDaniels is a pass first play caller, but the Broncos inability to rush the ball will hurt them against 1st tier teams, and the Titans are one of those teams.
The Titans defense ranks in the top 10 in points given up, total yards, and total passing yards. And Chuck Cecil’s unit plays fierce at home, giving up only 12 points per game when at home this season. With a tough couple of games ahead of them (@ Dallas, @ Jacksonville) the Titans will be looking to lock this game up early and keep pace with the Colts and Texans in the division. The AFC South is shaping up to be one of the toughest divisions in football.
Broncos vs Titans Spread Line and Betting Odds:
Denver Broncos + 6.5
@ Tennessee Titans -6.5
Denver Broncos (+230)
@ Tennessee Titans (-270)
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Broncos vs Titans Predictions for Betting:
Spread Prediction (TOP PLAY): Tennessee’s game plan is to beat their opponent by running the ball and playing great defense. Averaging over 135 yards per game rushing, the Titans have no qualms with giving the ball to Chris Johnson more than 30 times a game. In both victories this year, CJ has averaged 30.5 carries and 2 TD’s. Expect a heavy dose of the Titans run game, and don’t expect the Broncos to stop it. The Broncos are giving up almost 100 yards on the ground per game, and no one’s better at slashing through defenses than Johnson. I don’t see the Broncos being able to generate enough points in this one. The Titans should control time of possession and eat up the clock. Expect CJ to break at least one big one for a score, and for the Titans D to be ready for the passing game of the Broncos.
Game Total Prediction: This is a low number given both teams abilities to score. Denver averages 20 points per game while the Titans average 26. In Tennessee’s last 5 games as a home favorite, the Over is 4-1, and the Over is 5-0 in Denver’s last 5 road games. These trends signal Denver’s inability to stop the ball on the road, but they can still put up points. I like the Over in this one, as the recent trends and the impact of Chris Johnson leads me to believe that the total will go over 43.
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