Denver Broncos vs Pittsburgh Steelers NFL Pick – Week 5

The NFL is set up with another action packed Sunday of football. Fourteen games will be up on the board throughout October 10. One of these matchups will be between the Denver Broncos and the Pittsburgh Steelers. These two teams have had opposite starts and will look for a pivotal win on Sunday. This game will kick off at around 1:00 PM Eastern time.

Denver has opened up this season with a record of 3-1, which has them tied for the top spot in the AFC West. The Broncos are coming off their first loss of the season though against the Baltimore Ravens. Denver was not able to get much going on offense in that one and ended up losing 23-7. The Broncos will look to bounce back with a win in Pittsburgh.

The Steelers have posted a record of 1-3 to start out this season, which has them in last place of the AFC North. Pittsburgh faced off against the Green Bay Packers last week. Aaron Rodgers had a rushing touchdown and two passing touchdowns as the Packers earned a 27-17 win at home. The Steelers will look to bounce back at home though as they try to end this three game losing skid.

These two teams have opened up this season on opposite parts of the standings. The Broncos have a surprising 3-1 record, but they have yet to knock off an impressive opponent. Denver will have a bit of a test this weekend as they are on the road. Pittsburgh will look to come out hungry as they try to avoid a disastrous start in a competitive AFC North division.

Broncos vs. Steelers Live Odds and Betting History

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Teams Spread Money Line Totals
Denver Broncos pk (-105) Over 40 (-104)
Pittsburgh Steelers pk (-115) Under 40 (-116)
Betting Data Denver Broncos Pittsburgh Steelers
2021 Record 3-1 1-3
2021 Home 1-1 0-2
2021 Away 2-0 1-1
2021 ATS 3-1 1-3
2021 ATS Home 1-1 0-2
2021 ATS Away 2-0 1-1
2021 O/U 0-4 0-4
2021 O/U Home 0-2 0-2
2021 O/U Away 0-2 0-2

Broncos vs. Steelers NFL Game Preview

The Broncos and the Steelers last met up in Week 2 of the 2020 NFL Season. Jeff Driskel had two passing touchdowns on the afternoon, but it was not enough. Ben Roethlisberger tossed two passing touchdowns and James Conner had a rushing touchdown. Pittsburgh was able to hold on for a 26-21 win at home in this one.

These two teams have met up 33 times throughout their histories. Denver leads the all-time series with a record of 20-12-1 in those matchups. The Broncos have won two of their last three meetings against Pittsburgh as well. The Steelers will look to repeat their success from last season though as they host Denver early in this season.

Pittsburgh remains very similar to last season entering play in this one. The Broncos are looking healthier on the defensive side though and will have a different QB under center. Teddy Bridgewater or Drew Lock will get the nod for Denver depending on if Bridgewater is cleared to play. The Steelers will look for Roethlisberger to step up after a rough start to the season.

Opening Odds and Line Movement

The spread for this matchup opened up at -1 ½ in favor of the Denver Broncos. The line for this game has since dropped down to a pick, which gives even odds to both teams.

The over/under for this game is listed at 40 points. The original total for this game was listed at 41 ½ points. This spread for this game makes sense as both teams are defensive heavy.

The spread for this game makes sense in an odd way. The Broncos have the better record, but have not had an impressive win yet this season. Pittsburgh has struggled to get going this season, but are at home in this one. This game feels like it could go either way.

Head to Head Betting Trends

  • Broncos 6-4 SU in last 10 matchups
  • Broncos 6-2-2 ATS in last 10 games
  • Over is 7-3 in last 10 meetings
  • Over is 5-0 in last five games in Pittsburgh

Denver Broncos Betting Trends

  • 15-21 SU in last 36 games
  • 21-15 ATS in last 36 games
  • 9-18 SU in last 27 games as an underdog
  • 16-11 ATS in last 27 games as an underdog
  • 7-11 SU in last 18 road games
  • 11-7 ATS in last 18 road games
  • 12-15 SU in last 27 Conference games
  • 16-11 ATS in last 27 Conference games
  • 4-4 SU in last eight October games
  • 5-3 ATS in last eight October games

Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Trends

  • 21-16 SU in last 37 games
  • 18-17-2 ATS in last 37 games
  • 16-9 SU in last 25 games as favorite
  • 11-13-1 ATS in last 25 games as favorite
  • 12-6 SU in last 18 home games
  • 9-8-1 ATS in last 18 home games
  • 16-12 SU in last 28 Conference games
  • 13-13-2 ATS in last 28 Conference games
  • 5-2 SU in last seven October games
  • 4-2-1 ATS in last seven October games

Free Bet and Game Prediction: Pittsburgh Steelers pk (-115)

These two teams have had surprising starts to the season and it should lead to a solid game in Week 5. The Broncos have jumped out to a strong start, but I think they will have a tough matchup against Pittsburgh in this one. The Steelers have had a rough start, but their defense is still strong and I think they can get their offense going.

Ben Roethlisberger will likely get the start for Pittsburgh in Week 5. Roethlisberger has tossed for 1033 yards, four touchdowns and four interceptions. On the other side, either Bridgewater or Lock could get the start. Bridgewater has thrown for 892 yards and five touchdowns this season. Lock has passed for 113 yards and an interception after stepping in during Week 4’s loss.

These two teams have some bumps in their offenses, but have strong defenses. I think that Pittsburgh still has the better overall offense though. I think that Roethlisberger will pick up his play entering Week 5. If the Steelers can add some run game, I think they can win this one. As a very slight favorite at home, I really like the value on Pittsburgh.

The Bet
Pittsburgh Steelers pk
-115

Broncos vs. Steelers Betting Recap:

  • Oddmaker: BetOnline
  • Money Lines: Denver Broncos (-105) vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (-115)
  • Spread: Steelers pk (-115)
  • Over/Under: 40 Points
  • Prediction: Broncos 14 – Steelers 20
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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