Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots MNF Pick – NFL Week 16 December 28

An all AFC East divisional showdown will close out a busy Week 16 slate of NFL action as the former division champs battle the new victors, as the Patriots host the Bills.

While many anticipated a step-back for the Patriots in 2020 without Tom Brady, seeing them fall out of the post-season entirely was admittedly a tad surprising. Entering their final two games, you do have to wonder about this group’s motivation before the off-season. This is not a franchise used to playing games that don’t matter.

And while the Bills have clinched their playoff spot and are really only playing for seeding, you can bet they’ll want to further add to the embarrassment the Pats are currently enduring. Buffalo has been bullied for years by Bill Belichick and the Pats’ franchise, and a Monday evening primetime encounter might allow for yet another statement victory from this emerging group.

Regardless of the situation, the rivalry between Buffalo and New England is very real, and big pride will be on the line from both teams. With Buffalo’s offense entering Week 16 in elite form, Josh Allen and Co. are always a must-watch, and Monday evening vs. the Pats will be no different. Continue reading on beneath the posted odds for further team news and betting analysis for this divisional showdown between the Bills and Patriots.

Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots Betting Odds:

Buffalo Bills -7 (-110)
@ New England Patriots +7 (-110)

Over 46.5 (-110)
Under 46.5 (-110)

*Betting odds provided by BetOnline.ag

Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots Pick:

With the current form of the Buffalo Bills entering Monday night, it could be a long and humbling evening for this year’s Patriots. After years of dominance and inflicting big damage to their AFC East rivals, it now seems like it’s time for New England to be on the receiving end of some unfortunate results.

Buffalo is in elite offensive form, and Josh Allen enters Week 16 as a legitimate MVP candidate. Him and Stefon Diggs have teamed up to form one of the most feared duos in football, and without Stephon Gilmore, this Pats’ secondary won’t be able to slow them down.

New England has also struggled at stopping the run in recent weeks. And though Buffalo doesn’t utilize the ground attack all that much, the duo of Zack Moss and Devin Singletary can and will give teams trouble when called upon. Expect New England to have all kinds of trouble in stopping Buffalo from keeping the chains moving, and look for the Bills to run down the clock and nurse their big lead with a steady dose of ground and pound.

On the other side of the football, Cam Newton isn’t 100% clearly, though I’m not sure it would matter at all in this contest. He’s lost mobility and zip on his passes of late, and with Buffalo’s blanketing secondary – he’s going to have a wealth of trouble in finding downfield receivers. The Bills can also generate pressure and get after Newton, so don’t be surprised to see some turnovers and mistakes from the former Auburn product.

Good sportsmanship is often celebrated, but you better believe the Bills have been waiting for a moment like this for a long time. A chance to kick their rivals when they’re down, and don’t expect them to let up after seasons of New England dominance. With nothing to play for, the Pats won’t be showing much, while for the Bills they’ll again be charged up to secure another big victory for their rabid fan base. Their offense is excellent right now, and a depleted New England squad won’t be able to stop it. Don’t overthink this one – Pats in a blowout on Monday night.

My Pick
Bills -7
Will S. / Author

Will has been working with The Sports Geek since its early days back in 2010. He began as a soccer specialist, focusing on detailed reports for major international competitions, including the World Cup and European Championships. Since then, he has produced weekly pick articles on both the NFL and English Premier League, while also contributing blog posts on the NHL, MLB, and even WWE wrestling. Will is also an avid sports bettor and daily fantasy player, always eager to share his thoughts and insight on anything going on in the world of sports.