Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets Pick – NFL Week 7

The Buffalo Bills are in New Jersey at the Meadowlands for a meeting with the hapless New York Jets. The Jets are just looking to avoid going winless, while in the process, hopefully obtain the first overall selection in the draft. The Jets’ front office act like they love Sam Darnold, and this season is not his fault, but how can the Jets possibly pass on Trevor Lawrence? I don’t think they can.

It’s becoming clear if Lawrence is the pick, then Darnold is going to be involved in a trade. There will be suitors for Darnold, so the Jets won’t be stuck with him. As it stands going into Sunday, the Jets are the only winless team in the NFL. The Vikings, Giants, Falcons, Chargers, Bengals, Jaguars, and Texans all have one win. There is a lot of company around them for the first overall pick, but the Jets have been by far the worst team and deserve the dubious honor.

They’ve been so bad at everything, the Jets might do something to ruin their chances for the first pick at the end of the season. Watch them win some pointless game to lose out on Lawrence. The current players are competing for future money, so I don’t buy the intentional tanking talk.

The Jets hit a new low last week against the Dolphins in Miami. In one of their more winnable games of the year, the Jets were pounded for a final score of 24-0. Joe Flacco was 21 for 44 with 186 yards and an interception. Flacco doesn’t really care, he’s just here to collect a paycheck and move on. He has his Super Bowl ring already and no one expects too much out of him.

Flacco is expected to go back to the bench for this Week 7 matchup. Darnold is scheduled to be back under center for the first time since Week 4 against the Denver Broncos. The Jets scored 28 points in a 37-28 loss, which was easily the most points they’ve scored this year. Despite scoring 28 points, they still lost the game by 9 points, though. The Bills defense has been vulnerable in 2020, so maybe the Jets find an opening for a win here?

The Bills are coming off a 26-17 loss against the Kansas City Chiefs on Monday. It was supposed to be a Thursday night game, but was pushed back because of Covid. They didn’t win, but the defense managed to hold Mahomes to just 225 passing yards. However, Clyde Edwards-Helaire ran for 161 yards on 6.2 yards per carry, so it’s a moot point.

The Chiefs didn’t have to air it out that often. When the Bills needed a stop, Edwards-Helaire ran the ball down their throats for a first down. Josh Allen could have certainly played better as well. Allen passed for just 122 yards with 2 touchdowns and an interception. The AFC East is wide open and the Bills still lead with a record of 4-2. The Dolphins are 3-3 while the Patriots are 2-3. This division is for the Bills to lose, but they are not out of the woods by any means. Head below for our free Bills vs. Jets prediction for October 25, 2020.

Buffalo Bills vs. NY Jets NFL Week 7 Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Bills -10.5 (-105)
  • Jets +10.5 (-115)
Moneyline:

  • Bills (-525)
  • Texans (+420)
Total:

  • Over 46.5 (+100)
  • Under 46.5 (-120)

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Bills vs. Jets Prediction:

The Bills are coming off two straight losses. They’ve gone from an undefeated record of 4-0 and people making Super Bowl plans for them, to 4-2 and people giving up on the Bills. After the Titans scored 42 points, and the Bills couldn’t get the Chiefs off the field last week, I can’t blame people for believing that the Bills aren’t going to the Super Bowl with this defense.

Injuries have been part of the problem, but not everything. The Bills are hit hard by the injury bug going into Sunday. Josh Norman is ruled out for Sunday, while other starting cornerback Tre’Davious White is questionable to play. He missed practice on Friday and is listed as questionable. Cam Lewis also may not play, so the Bills are going to have to promote practice squad players.

On offense, Allen will be without Josh Brown at wide receiver in this one. Without Allen in the offense, there has been a lot more focus on Stefon Diggs when he goes deep. There is always attention on Diggs, but without Brown to stretch the field, he’s having to work a little more.

Offensive linemen Cody Ford and tight end Cawson Knox are both out as well. Along with Knox, the Bills will be without three other tight ends because of close contact with Knox, who is Covid-19 positive. Note that three starting offensive linemen did not practice this week, too. If you want to dig even deeper into the Bills’ injury report, we can do that.

Linebacker Tyrel Dodson is out on Sunday, and Matt Milano has been limited in practice throughout the week. This leaves the Bills with three linebackers that we know who are definitely going to play: Tremaine Edmunds, A.J. Klein, and Tyler Matekevich. Edmunds is playing with a banged up shoulder and is not 100%, though. In other words, if any of them go down, the Bills are going to have to get creative.

With the Bills operating with a significantly banged up defense on Sunday, this is a perfect opportunity for Darnold in his return. He’s hearing the chatter about Trevor Lawrence, and I’m sure wants to put on a nice display in his first game back on the field.

The Bills are most likely going to be down to practice squad players at corner in this game, and an injury away from being in serious problems at linebacker. And oh, Tyler Kroft and UDFA Reggie Gilliam could be the only tight ends suiting up.

The public is going to fall in love with the Bills regardless, and they’ll probably be the most public play on the board in Week 7. However, I’m going to be pulling for the sportsbooks to win here. As bad as the Jets have been, the Bills are not the same team with all of these injuries.

The Bills just want to win and get out of New Jersey, but it might be more difficult than people think with all of the uncertainty for them because of injuries. Let’s roll the dice with the Jets catching 10.5 points at home against the Bills-lite roster.

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The Bet
NEW YORK JETS +10.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.