Buffalo Bills vs. San Francisco 49ers Prop Picks – NFL Week 13

Buffalo Bills vs. San Francisco 49ers Prop Picks – NFL Week 13

In the regularly scheduled Monday Night Football game in Week 13, the Buffalo Bills and San Francisco 49ers meet in Arizona. Covid restrictions have forced the 49ers to pick up and move to the desert. The atmosphere at Levi’s Stadium feels a bit dull even with fans in attendance, so an empty stadium hasn’t been that much different for the 49ers in 2020. Candlestick, on the other hand, used to have a little more energy. The team is currently on a playoff bubble in the NFC.

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They can get a bit closer to their goal with a win against the visiting Bills on Monday night. It’s not going to be easy, but the Bills flying from the east to the desert works in the 49ers’ favor, you would think, but the quick move for the 49ers could impact them as well. The 49ers are coming off an impressive win over the LA Rams, 23-20. They stole that game on the road with Nick Mullens at quarterback. Conversely, that’s an ugly loss for the Rams, who can’t lose that game if they want to be considered a Super Bowl contender.

With the win for the 49ers, it reignited hope that the 49ers can squeak into the postseason. They are a 5-6 team going into Monday night. If Jimmy Garoppolo and George Kittle weren’t out, the Niners would certainly be in a better spot right now. No one believed after Jimmy G got injured that the 49ers would be competing for a playoff berth, so good on the players that are currently on the active roster for fighting hard.

The Bills are winners in five of their last six games. They are coming off a 27-17 win over the LA Chargers at home last week. Josh Allen was not in the best form, but the defense had a big day for the Bills. Allen passed for 157 yards with a touchdown and interception. He doesn’t get any relief in Week 13 on the road, as the 49ers’ secondary rates as one of the best in the NFL. If the 49ers win, that’s where it is going to come from. Head below for our free Bill vs. 49ers props for December 7, 2020.

Josh Allen Passing Yards

Over 265.5
-114
Under 265.5
-114

Josh Allen is coming off a game he’d rather forget against the LA Rams. If you were to say that Allen would pass for 157 yards with a touchdown and interception against the Rams, then a loss would certainly be your guess. But that wasn’t the case, as the defense helped Allen out for his misstep. The Bills ultimately won by 10 points in a comfortable 27-17 victory. That isn’t the only quality pass defenses that Allen has struggled to figure out this season.

Allen passed for 122 yards against the Chiefs, 154 against the Patriots, and 157 against the Chargers. There is a belief that Allen must be due for a bounce-back spot in Arizona after sitting in the backseat in the Bills’ win over the Chargers last week. However, Allen will have to do it against one of the better secondaries in the NFL. The Niners are fourth in the NFL with 205.5 passing yards allowed per game.

The 49ers have done a nice job containing good quarterbacks recently, including Jared Goff, Drew Brees, and Russell Wilson. In five of their previous six games, the 49ers have held teams for fewer than 265 passing yards. Aaron Rodgers was the only quarterback to breach that mark. I’m expecting the 49ers to be excited for this game on Monday. That should give the defense an edge over Allen.

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UNDER 265.5

Raheem Mostert Receptions

Over 1.5
-167
Under 1.5
-103

Raheem Mostert made his much anticipated return to the starting lineup last week against the LA Rams. The 49ers desperately needed a playmaker back in the lineup with George Kittle out of action right now. Mostert was dealing with an ankle injury after getting hurt against the Rams on October 18. He made his return against the same team and gained 43 yards on 16 attempts. Mostert did lose a ball, though, and coughed it up to the Rams. It’s his first fumble of the season, so that can be forgiven. Through five games, Mostert has rushed for 346 yards and 2 touchdowns on 5.2 yards per carry.

His biggest problem has been staying on the field. When Mostert is on the field, he’s a major contributor, though. That goes for his ability to haul in balls out of the backfield as well. He’s worked hard on becoming a better receiver, and we can say that he’s a dual-threat in that sense now. Mostert has caught 13 receptions on 14 targets for 150 yards and a touchdown. Note that Mostert has made at least 2 receptions in every game he’s participated in this season. As long as he stays on the field on Monday, expect at least 2 receptions from Mostert at home.

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OVER 1.5

Devin Singletary Rushing Yards

Over 36.5
-106
Under 36.5
-112

The Bills likely aren’t going to want Josh Allen firing away at will in this game. If that’s the case, then it’s likely they got away from their game plan and need to mount a come from behind bid. The 49ers are one of the best in the business at defending against quarterbacks. They’re fourth in the NFL with 206.5 yards allowed through the air per game. I suspect that the Bills will look to attack the softer defensive line of the 49ers. They’re decent, just not as good as the secondary. The 49ers have surrendered 108.7 yards on the ground for tenth in the league.

Devin Singletary is coming off one of his better games of the season versus the Chargers last week. He gained 82 yards on 11 carries for an impressive 7.5 yards per carry. Singletary led all rookie running backs in 2019 with 5.1 yards a carry. That said, Singletary hasn’t been on the same level as his rookie campaign. He’s run for 483 yards and 4.4 yards per carry after going for 775 yards and 5.1 yards a pop as a rookie. Perhaps the performance last week gets him going, though. In any event, I believe he’ll see enough touches to earn at least 40 yards on Monday night.

The Bet
OVER 36.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.