Buffalo Bills vs. Tennessee Titans Pick – NFL Week 5

The NFL intends on getting the Buffalo Bill and Tennessee Titans in on Tuesday night at Nissan Stadium. What a wild ride it has been since the Titans last placed on September 27 against the Minnesota Vikings. Their facility has been closed multiple times, games postponed, players trying to secretly practice behind the scenes, and apparently a huge punishment going to be levied against the organization soon.

A financial penalty is probably going to be insignificant, though. The Titans make billions of dollars. If that’s all they have to accept, then it’s not much of a historic punishment like some people have been making it up to be. The Titans don’t have to forfeit this game and award an automatic win to the Bills, so that’s escaping a pretty serious punishment right there.

The NFL doesn’t want to lose revenue from a missed game. It was a no-brainer that they wouldn’t scrap the game. Potentially losing draft picks could be one avenue the NFL decides to go, but we’ll have to see where things proceed after the NFL finishes their investigation. The “secret” practice might be the only action the Titans might be able to receive punishment for, though. Who knows, it might all blow over and the Titans aren’t punished at all.

As far as Tuesday night is concerned, the Titans have the Bills to worry about. After the schedule had to be reshuffled for testing, the Titans will finally play their fourth game of the season. Along with their game schedule having to be altered, their practices have been thrown for a loop as well. With their team facility close for the greater part of the last two weeks, there hasn’t been much time together on the practice field, hence trying to get away with practicing elsewhere.

The Titans were 31-30 winners over the Vikings in Minnesota in their most recent outing. Derrick Henry carried the load, as he gashed the Vikings’ defense for 119 yards and 2 touchdowns for 4.6 yards per carry. Ryan Tannehill was iffy with 321 yards and an interception, but Henry kept his legs churning to clear a path to a record of 3-0 for the Titans.

With the Bills at 4-0 going into Tuesday night, this is a meeting between undefeated clubs. The Bills are fresh off a 30-23 in Las Vegas against the Raiders. It was another impressive performance by Josh Allen, as he continues to show that he’s one of the elite young quarterbacks in the NFL.

The ceiling is sky high for Allen and this Bills’ offense. All he needed was a legitimate weapon to elevate his game, and the front office did that by adding Stefon Diggs. Their defense, which is typically one of the most reliable in the league, has been beatable this season. However, if the defense reverts back to previous form, look out the Bills are going to be serious playoff contenders. Head below for our free Buffalo Bills vs. Tennessee Titans pick for October 13, 2020.

Buffalo Bills vs. Tennessee Titans NFL Week 5 Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Bills -3.5 (-110)
  • Titans +3.5 (-110)
Moneyline:

  • Bills (-180)
  • Titans (+160)
Total:

  • Over 53.5 (-105)
  • Under 53.5 (-115)

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Bills vs. Titans Prediction:

This is an interesting game on Tuesday night. Part of handicapping this matchup is taking into account what has happened in Nashville in October. In a normal year, this of course would not have been part of the checklist for handicapping a game. You kind of had to expect something like this playing out this season. The NFL seems to be the only ones shocked by what has transpired. Based on their on-field product, the Titans are a well-rounded team with multiple ways to win games.

Tannehill has been efficient with 6 touchdowns and 1 interception on 67.31% completions. He hasn’t looked quite as dangerous as last season, but there isn’t much to complain about with his play thus far. Having said that, Tannehill didn’t look too great versus a struggling Vikings’ defense on September 27. Tannehill passed for 321 yards with no touchdowns and an interception. This was after he tossed 4 touchdowns and no interceptions against the Jacksonville Jaguars.

The Bills, unlike recent seasons, have been beatable through the air. They have conceded 280.2 yards per game, with only three teams worse than the Bills against the pass so far. Last season in 2019, the Bills were fourth in the NFL with fewer than 200 passing yards allowed per contest. I really don’t know what to say about the defense for the Bills yet.

Part of me says they are going to get hot and the other says this is what we’re going to get. There were some promising signs in the second half against the Raiders last week in Las Vegas. The Raiders were held to just one fourth quarter touchdown and a field goal in the third. Josh Norman came to life in the second half, as he forced a fumble and recovery by the Buffalo defense. If Norman gets going this season, then that might be the catalyst they need to get hot.

After everything that’s transpired, I could see the Titans’ offense having a rough start on Tuesday night. It’s hard to see them being in sync right away. That could be the opening the Bills’ defense needs to gather some early momentum in Nashville.

The Bills have been much better against the run, with 101 yards conceded per game for eighth in the league. If the passing-game isn’t clicking for the Titans, they have the luxury of handing the ball off to Henry. However, the Bills haven’t been too bad at limiting runners in 2020, so that would play into their hand.

While the Bills’ pass defense hasn’t been solid, nor has the Titans and they haven’t had much time to prepare for Josh Allen on the practice field. Allen has passed for 12 touchdowns and 1 interceptions on 70.95% completions. It sure looks like the Bills have their franchise quarterback after struggling to find a suitable replacement for years to replace Jim Kelly.

Bills’ fans have had to suffer through J. P. Losman, Trent Edwards, and Kyle Orton since Doug Flutie in the late 1990’s. Look for Allen to play the part as the franchises’ answer against a Titans’ defense who are giving up 256.3 yards per game, which ranks in the bottom half of the league.

The Bills’ offense has had more of an opportunity on the practice field to prepare for the Titans’ defense on Tuesday night. As far as the Titans are concerned, a lot of prep work for this game had to be done off the field. I can’t see the Titans being mentally firing on all cylinders on Tuesday night. They should be able to make it a competitive and watchable game, but I foresee a Bills win and cover in Nashville in the second Tuesday NFL game since 1946.

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The Bet
BUFFALO BILLS -3.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.