You want some more NFL props? TheSportsGeek has more for you on this special edition of Tuesday Night Football. Fresh off a perfect night on Monday Night Football in New Orleans, we’re looking for more profits on the prop betting circuit on Tuesday night. The Emmanuel Sanders receiving prop was an easy winner, while the Alvin Kamara receiving prop and Justin Herbert passing prop came through late in the fourth quarter. In our last nine NFL props, we’ve gone 8-1 at TheSportsGeek for a nice run.
The reason we have football on Tuesday night is because of the Tennessee Titans’ coronavirus outbreak. The NFL has been doing their best to fit this game in, and get the Titans back on the field after they suffered through the biggest outbreak in the league. Hopefully that’s the biggest we will have to deal with, fingers crossed.
On paper this looks like a really good game between the Bills and Titans. The layoff for the Titans provides some unknowns going into Tuesday night, though. How crisp are they going to be without ample time on the practice field? The team facility has been closed on and off since beating the Minnesota Vikings on September 27. Their attempt to practice away from the facility was quickly snuffed out.
The good news for the Titans is that Derrick Henry and the offense line is going to be fresh. That may be all they need to make this a competitive game at home. With Josh Allen and a dangerous Bills’ offense on the other side, it might be difficult to just pound the ball with Henry for four quarters, though. Ryan Tannehill getting into a rhythm with his receivers early will be key in this contest.
There are only two props that I like in Nashville tonight. I’m not going to force anything that I don’t like, so going to stick with two picks. With the Titans going into this game off a lengthy coronavirus layoff, it’s a different situation that no one has experienced before. If you are looking for a pick on the spread in this matchup, we have you covered as well. Head below for our free Bills vs. Titans props picks for October 13, 2020.
— Buffalo Bills (@BuffaloBills) October 13, 2020
Derrick Henry Carries (At Least)
There are some positives to take away from this situation for the Titans. Well, maybe just one, but keeping some bodies fresh and able is a big one. That might not help when it comes to rust, but Derrick Henry is one guy on the Titans who doesn’t need time to heat up. The Titans could take another two weeks off and Henry is going to be ready to play at a high level.
It’s true that the Bills are better against the run than the pass in 2020. The Bills are better than just three teams in the NFL against the pass. Defending the run is a different story, as the Bills are eighth with 101 yards allowed per contest. Having said that, don’t expect the Titans to get away from the run in this matchup.
Especially early on, we’re probably going to see a heavy dose of Henry with the rock in his hands. Expect him to be force fed the ball throughout the night. Even if the Titans are down, I don’t think they’re going to get away from Henry. In three games this season, Henry has touched the ball an average of 27.3 times per game. He has received at least 25 carries in all three games. Tuesday night should see Henry have another heavy workload for the Titans.
Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards
Stefon Diggs has completely changed the dynamics of the Bills’ offense. He’s the spark plug that the Bills have been looking for and an elite target that Josh Allen needed to take him to the next level. Diggs has been a dominant receiver for the Bills, as he’s caught 26 balls for 403 yards and 2 touchdowns through four games. That’s good for an average of just over 100 yards receiving per game.
The Bills aren’t going to be scared to throw the football against a Titans’ defense that hasn’t been able to do normal prep work on the practice field. That is undoubtedly going to work against the Titans on Tuesday night. Note that Diggs has recorded 115, 49, 153, and 86 yards in four games this season. The Rams were the only team that was able to contain Diggs.
The Titans’ secondary can be beat by Allen and Diggs. They rank in the bottom half of the league with 256.3 yards against per game. That’s good for 23rd in the NFL. The total looks a touch too low for Diggs on the receiving yards prop. I would probably have him in the mid 80’s if I was setting the line here. I will side with Diggs to go OVER on his receiving prop in Nashville.