Carolina Panthers vs. Dallas Cowboys Pick – NFL Week 4

The Carolina Panthers and Dallas Cowboys dance at AT&T Stadium on Sunday afternoon. These are two teams people are questioning whether they’re real or not. I think there’s a lot of cautiousness going on, especially with the Panthers, but I don’t believe it’s a fluke that both are playing good football.

The Panthers are getting the most out of Sam Darnold after he found a golden ticket and was able to get out of New York with the Jets. They looked at his situation and realized that Darnold probably has more to offer than we saw from him in New York. Like I’ve said, there aren’t a lot of quarterbacks that would have success with that team.

It’s hard to make it work with limited weapons and a bad offensive line, this coming from somebody who doesn’t care much for Zach Wilson. When it comes to Darnold, I always looked at him and thought he’d have better success in a more stable situation. He’s doing well so far with the Panthers.

It’s been one month, so we’ll see if he continues, but Darnold is playing a lot more confidently with his new team. He’d helped lead the Panthers to 3-0 on the season. They’re going into Arlington perfect, with their most recent win a 24-9 victory over the Houston Texans. Their opening sequence wasn’t the best, but they got it done for a 19-14 win over the Jets.

One of the more impressive teams in the league going into Week 4 might be the Cowboys. Impressive in the sense that they actually look like a complete team for once. The defense which was expected to find it tough to compete has been sharp. They look like an all-around solid team.

I just feel that head coach Mike McCarthy is going to do something stupid along the way to mess this season up. He managed the clock horribly at the end of the first-half against the Eagles last week, and in a much bigger spot later in the season, something like that could get them. It didn’t matter in that one, as the Cowboys won a comfortable game, 41-21. Head below for our free Panthers vs. Cowboys pick on October 3, 2021.

Carolina Panthers vs. Dallas Cowboys Live Odds and Betting History:

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Carolina Panthers +4 (-110) +170 Over 51.5 (-110)
Dallas Cowboys -4 (-110) -195 Under 51.5 (-110)
Team Data Carolina Panthers Dallas Cowboys
Overall Record 3-0 2-1
ATS Record 3-0-0 3-0-0
Away/Home Record 1-0 1-1
ATS Away/Home 1-0-0 1-0-0
Points Per Game 23 30
Points Against Per Game 10 23
Passing Yards Per Game 284.7 277.3
Rushing Yards Per Game 105.7 139.3

Panthers vs. Cowboys Prediction:

Dak Prescott has been pleasantly impressive for the Cowboys this season. He’s always put up big numbers through the air, but his decision making has probably been at its best in 2021.

Instead of forcing bad passes, Prescott has been much more methodical with his attack. That’s great news for the offense going forward.

Prescott has passed for 6 touchdowns and 2 touchdowns on 77.5% passing. He isn’t passing for as many yards, but that’s fine, especially because the running game has been better with Ezekiel Elliott and Tony Pollard.

The Cowboys have had a nice 1-2 punch with Elliott and Pollard in the backfield. It’s been great for Elliott, who doesn’t have to be counted on as a workhorse so much with Pollard playing well.

Elliott should be fresh for later in the season with Pollard taking some of the carries. Through three games, the Cowboys have averaged 416.7 yards per game for fifth in the league.

It’s been a balanced attack, with the Cowboys in the top-10 through the air and ground. They will take on a defense that ranks 1st in the NFL with 191 yards allowed per game.

Carolina Panthers vs. Dallas Cowboys Betting Trends:


  • 6-0 ATS in their previous six games as an underdog
  • 5-1 ATS in their previous six games
  • 8-0 ATS in their previous eight games on the road
  • 4-1 ATS in their previous five games after a win
  • 8-2 ATS in their previous ten games in Week 4
  • 7-3 ATS in their previous ten games in October


  • 6-1 ATS in their previous seven games in October
  • 4-1 ATS in their previous five games at AT&T Stadium
  • 4-1 ATS in their previous five games after covering
  • 4-1 ATS in their previous five games versus the NFC
  • 0-4 ATS in their previous four games in October

The Panthers’ defense is in strong shape to open the season. However, I would argue that we don’t know how real they are yet, though. We’re going to have questions answered on Sunday in Arlington.

Carolina has played the Jets, 19-14, Saints, 26-7, and Texans, 24-9. Two of their three wins have been against two of the worst teams in the NFL. Keep in mind that a rookie out of Stanford, Davis Mills, started last week because of an injury to Tyrod Taylor.

In other words, they haven’t really been tested yet. The Saints were coming off that big win over the Packers in Week 1, so that was a big letdown spot for them. Expect Prescott and the Cowboys to move the ball in this one.

I doubt they’re going to completely shatter the Panthers’ defense, but if they can get to around 30 points, the Cowboys probably win and cover. That’s where I see the Cowboys heading in this one.

The Dallas defense has shown improvement from last year. They’ve allowed 23 points per game for 13th in the league. I know it isn’t great, but the defense just has to hold up adequately for the Cowboys to have success.

Their 20-17 win was impressive two weeks back. That’s a game the Cowboys typically lose because their defense can’t make plays, but they won that game for the team. This is a matchup where Christian McCaffrey really would helped a lot.

This is expected to be a close one through the first-half. It’s hard to see the Cowboys just blowout things open right away. However, they should get away from the Panthers for a 28-20 or 31-23 win in Arlington.


Panthers vs. Cowboys Pick