The Chargers are up to their usual antics, putting up a solid record in the regular season at 4-1. Who knows what they will do in the playoffs, but that is insignificant to us. The Jets have looked disinterested in this year, and lacked any kind of momentum. If you know Rex Ryan, though, he isn’t going to lie over and play dead. Even though they put a beat down on the Miami Dolphins on Monday night, it was still a lackluster performance. Certainly from the defense, as they relied on a pick-6 from Darrelle Revis. The Chargers and Jets will square off on Sunday afternoon at 1PM in New York.
The Jets defense this season has statistically been horrid. One of the premier defenses in the NFL for a couple years now has gone to the dumps. You just have to look at the defense rankings to know this. Against the run, their paper thing defense has allowed 132 yards a game (28th). Consider the fact that teams such as the Kansas City Chiefs and Cleveland Browns are better at stopping the run. Against the pass they are 5th though, which is no shocker with Darrelle Revis blanketing the field. The offense has been suspect as well, and it didn’t look too good against the Dolphins. Mark Sanchez struggled to do much even though they won 24-6. However, when you think about it, if Sanchez doesn’t have to do much the result is usually good for the Jets. The Jets have experienced with a more pass happy attack in previous games, and it has fell flat to say the least. If the Jets can get back to their roots and play power football behind Nick Mangold things will be fine. Speaking of Mangold, he came back Monday night and the running game was given a boost. Mangold was listed as questionable prior to the game and started; expect the same thing this week. He practiced on Friday, but missed Wednesday and Thursday.
The Chargers are sitting pretty at 4-1, with their only loss against an elite team in the Patriots. While the Jets sit at the bottom of most categories, the Chargers find themselves in a usual position at the top. In regards to defense they are 2nd against the pass, but 17th against the run. Overall, however, they are 4th in the league so they are one of the best in a league that is seeing a ton of points this season. In this regard, I don’t foresee the Jets playing into the Chargers hand and getting into a shootout. Expect the Jets to pound the ball and pound it some more. In other words, the kind of Jets team you are accustomed to seeing. The Chargers offense is firing on all cylinders once again. Even in the loss against the Patriots, they still managed to put up huge numbers, but couldn’t finish in the red zone. In total they average 416 yards a game with 24 points a game.
Chargers vs. Jets Spread, Line and Betting Odds:
San Diego Chargers -2
@New York Jets +2
Over 43.5 (-110)
Chargers vs. Jets Pick:
There a couple of reasons I like the Jets here. First, a west coast team traveling to the East Coast to play a 1PM game usually doesn’t work out too well. Consider the fact that it is still early morning in San Diego the time the ball gets kicked off. I expect Rex Ryan to play smash mouth football, with the defense coming up big behind the home crowd. Also, Nick Mangold is huge; coming from someone that played competitive football, the center is one of the most important positions. The Jets have just been fine at home, outscoring opponents quite convincingly. At home the Jets average just less than 28 points, and only surrender 11 points.
Another thing to look at is that the Chargers are coming off a bye week. Usually I would say this is a good thing, but in the new NFL, teams cannot practice as much coming off a bye. Last week we saw some teams that came off byes look a little rusty. I expect the Chargers to look a little lethargic with the travel factor and lack of practice to prepare. Take the Jets to win a close one by about 3-7 points.