Chargers vs. Raiders NFL Pick – Week 10

The Los Angeles Chargers spoiled a lot of tickets, as they had Packers’ backers heading for the garbage bin on Sunday. Following a huge win against the KC Chiefs on Sunday Night Football, the Packers looked completely outmatched in a 26-11 game Sunday afternoon. After playing like a magician at Arrowhead, Aaron Rodgers was held to just 161 yards and a touchdown.

Aaron Jones was also held in check following a monster outing against the Chiefs. He rushed for just 30 yards on 8 carries, while Melvin Gordon exploded for 80 yards and 2 scores on the ground. Gordon also hauled in 3 receptions for 29 yards receiving. Suddenly, people were pondering whether the Chargers are for real and if the Packers are frauds.

That’s the NFL for you. Recency bias is alive and well in this league. You could make a case for any sport, but because of a week between games, it gives the media plenty of time to speculate and provide the public with fuel. With a win over the Packers, the Chargers have a couple of impressive wins the last two weeks against the Bears and Packers.

They were also an inch away from beating the Titans on the road a few weeks ago. Gordon protects the ball and scores there and we’re talking about a three-game win streak for the Chargers. Going back a little further, reveals an awful performance against the Steelers, though. Their offensive line was an absolute mess, as the Steelers toyed with the Chargers in a game that felt like a lot more lopsided than the 24-17 score indicated.

The Chargers head into Week 10 with a record of 4-5, as their wins the last two weeks were absolutely necessary to stay alive in the AFC West. Oakland are still in the thick of things after a tight 31-24 win over the Detroit Lions on Sunday afternoon. They fended off the Lions at the goal line, as Matthew Stafford couldn’t connect on 4th down in the back of the end zone.

It was a superb effort against a quarterback who has been hot this season. He still got his yards, but the Raiders didn’t break when they were bending in the most important drive of the game. We’ll see how they handle a Chargers team going into Oakland with confidence. Head below for our free Chargers vs. Raiders pick on Thursday Night Football.

L.A. Chargers vs. Oakland Raiders NFL Week 10 Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Chargers -1.5(-110)
  • Raiders +1.5(-110)

Total:

  • Over 48.5(-115)
  • Under 48.5(-105)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

Chargers vs. Raiders Pick:

The Raiders can really build up some momentum on Thursday night against the Chargers in this spot. Less than a week after winning at home, they can do it again on primetime with everyone watching. It’s a big spot for Jon Gruden, as the public would really begin to see this as a turning point for the Raiders.

A lot of the talk following Sunday was the Chargers’ performance to down the Packers. They’re getting hyped up, while the Raiders still are kind of in the corner as the stepchild in the Los Angeles’ sports scene. The Raiders can change the narrative slightly with a win on Thursday night.

Derek Carr has quietly been asserting himself and having a pretty nice season for the Raiders at the controls. It was a blow for him to lose Antonio Brown in the passing game, but he’s handled the offense well without an elite threat like him to target. Carr has thrown 13 touchdowns and 4 interceptions, while maintaining a terrific QBR of 105.2.

He may not have Antonio, but the presence of Josh Jacobs in the backfield has been a contributing factor in Carr’s success. The rookie out of Alabama has galloped for 740 yards and 6 touchdowns on 5 yards per carry. He is well on his way to winning Offensive Rookie of the Year. Jacobs has been limited in practice this week with a shoulder injury, but it appears to be minor and shouldn’t hamper his ability to play here.

The Chargers’ defense has played well this year, with 18.7 points against per game. They’re also 8th in the league with 322.8 yards per game. It’s considerably better than the 390 yards per game that the Raiders have allowed. Rivers has been average with 12 touchdowns and 7 interceptions in 2019. His offense is averaging just 20.3 points per game. They’ve been mediocre with 360.8 yards logged per contest.

Their defense has been carrying the load for the Chargers this season. What concerns me about them going into Thursday is how they could get too comfortable after neutralizing Aaron Rodgers. They spent all of that energy in an excellent performance against Rogers that they very well could overlook Carr and the Raiders here. It’d be classic Chargers to beat the Bears and Packers, then come out with a lazy performance the following week. Look for a 26-20 or 27-23 win in favor of the Raiders on Thursday Night Football to get Week 10 underway.

The Bet
RAIDERS +1.5
Kyle E
Kyle E / author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.