Following four straight weeks of finishing with a 3-2 record, we’ll look to blow things open with some more success on Sunday of Week 12. The Steelers got us off to a good start on Thanksgiving Thursday with a thrashing of the lowly Colts, and now our attention will turn to another team in the AFC South, the Houston Texans.
The Texans are hanging on in that division without their star defensive player in J.J. Watt. That said, they still have many flaws, and they’ll welcome a team on Sunday that is much better than their record would indicate in the San Diego Chargers. San Diego enters with a 4-6 record, but they know they’ve been playing well and their playoff aspirations are still alive. Even without Brandon Mebane, San Diego should have a leg up on the Texans and it should make for an intriguing affair with both teams having so much on the line. Read on below for a more complete game breakdown and an official selection for Chargers/Texans.
Chargers vs. Texans Betting Odds:
San Diego Chargers -2.5 (-110)
@ Houston Texans +2.5 (-110)
Over 46 (-110)
Under 46 (-110)
Betting odds provided by Bovada.lv
Chargers vs. Texans Pick:
One of the biggest reasons for the Texans’ struggles of late has to be with their QB Brock Osweiler. He has been brutal and clearly not worth the heavy investment the franchise has put in him. Last week against the Raiders in Mexico City, Osweiler was again brutal. He threw many weak passes, and the Raiders dropped at least three easy interceptions by my unofficial count. Against San Diego, the Chargers will not be as forgiving. San Diego’s cornerbacks are excellent, and when you consider the fact that they typically bring a ton of pressure up front, Osweiler is in for a nightmare of a game. Since getting Joey Bosa in the fold, the San Diego defense has looked amazing. Bosa should be able to dominate his match-up and apply heavy pressure to Osweiler throughout this contest. It’s tough to envision the Texans moving the chains with regularity on Sunday.
On the other side of the football, look for San Diego to control the tempo and clock with a solid run game. Melvin Gordon has been stellar all season long, and has really stepped up in the absence of Danny Woodhead. Houston’s run defense has been anaemic since the loss of J.J. Watt and it’s shown no signs of improving. Gordon should be able to find many holes and gain big yardage on Sunday. Through the air, even though the Texans do boast a solid pass rush, Rivers can’t be held down. He has had yet another solid campaign and will be able to move the chains. Tyrell Williams has stepped up for the Bolts at receiver, and Gordon too is always a sneaky option leaking out of the backfield to gain yards through the air. As seen in recent weeks, the Texans do get exposed a fair bit on blown coverages, so they most definitely might struggle to fully stop San Diego’s offence.
Coming off of the bye week, expect the Chargers to be very crisp, rested, and focused. They are a much better team than their 4-6 record suggests, but they know there’s little margin for error going forward if they are to qualify for the post-season. This number is tight, but the Chargers are rightful road favourites because they are just so much better than Houston in every facet right now. Expect another woeful outing from quarterback Brock Osweiler, and this should play right into the hands of San Diego on Sunday. Look for the Chargers to escape with a victory in Week 12.
PICK = Chargers -2.5 (-110)