Chicago Bears vs. LA Rams Prop Picks – NFL Week 7

Chicago Bears vs. LA Rams Prop Picks – NFL Week 7

The Week 7 edition of Monday Night Football features the Chicago Bears against the Los Angeles Rams at brand new SoFi Stadium. I’m not so much of a fan the way that stadium looks from the outside, but the interior looks beautiful. The LA Chargers won at SoFi Stadium on Sunday with a 39-29 win over the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Rams will look to follow up with another strong performance for Los Angeles on Monday Night.

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They head into this contest with a record of 4-2 in the highly competitive NFC West. The Seahawks are still perfect, as I write this before their Sunday night game against the Cardinals, but they are vulnerable. They’re not unbeatable, not with that defense. The Rams have the edge in defense over the Rams. Arizona are tied with the Rams at 4-2 going into Sunday night. I can’t comment on positioning in the NFC West with two teams yet to play, but it’s a wide open affair.

The Rams are coming off a 24-16 loss last week versus the 49ers, who were big winners in Foxboro on Sunday. The Rams didn’t look interested and were down big early. Even with Raheem Mostert out for the second half, the Rams never developed a rhythm offensively. The Bears are likely to provide a challenge for the Rams on Monday Night. However, after that performance from the Rams last week, I think we can expect a more focused effort. Head below for our free Chicago Bears vs. LA Rams Prop Picks for October 26, 2020.

David Montgomery Receptions

Over 3.5
-108
Under 3.5
-120

The Chicago Bears are one of the better teams in the NFL at defending the pass. They’re eighth in the league with 224.2 passing yards allowed per game. The defense is relatively healthy, but Khalil Mack is questionable for Monday night.

Mack didn’t practice on Friday because of back pain. However, he appears ready to go and should be in the lineup tonight. Cornerbacks Akiem Hicks and Buster Skrine are listed on the injury report, though are expected to play as well.

I do not believe the Bears will have to take chances and air the ball out deep often. Their defense should be able to do a fine job at keeping this a close game. I suspect that Foles will take what the Rams give him and pick up some easy yardage underneath. He is up against a very good pass defense of his own Monday night.

The Rams are fourth in the NFL with 209.5 passing yards conceded per game. Besides rookie safety Jordan Fuller in the IR, the Rams’ defense is in good order on the injury report. They should be able to force Foles into using his check down options frequently in this matchup. Running back David Montgomery has been a nice asset around the line of scrimmage for Foles.

Montgomery has been targeted 28 times for 20 receptions and 163 receiving yards. He’s averaged 4.6 receptions in his last three games. His targets continue to increase in the passing game. Through the first three weeks of the season, Montgomery was targeted nine times and he’s up to 19 over his last three. He should be in the mix to go OVER for this receiving prop.

The Bet
OVER 3.5

Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards

Over 31.5
-114
Over 31.5
-114

The Bears signed Allen Robinson in 2018 to a three-year $42 million deal. You can’t argue with the move by the Bears. They’ve suffered for a long time without a dangerous No. 1 wide receiver in the offense. Robinson was acquired to be that guy in the offense for the Bears. Off a season in which Robinson went for 1,147 yards and 7 touchdowns, he showed that he can be the focal point of the Bears’ offense. Robinson has caught 35 receptions for 421 yards and 2 scores in 2020.

What the Bears need is a receiver to take pressure off Robinson. Darnell Mooney was drafted in the fifth round out of Tulane with hopes of him developing into a steal. So far so good for Mooney, as he ranks behind Robinson as the second-highest receiving grade on the Bears according to Pro Football Focus. That role was supposed to be filled by Anthony Miller. Mooney has exceeded expectations thus far. He’s not going to lead your team to a fantasy championship or anything, but has been sneaky good for the Bears in spots.

Mooney has caught 18 receptions for 196 yards and a touchdown through six games. That is not going to blow anyway away, but all we need is for him to record more than 31 yards on Monday night. With attention directed towards Robinson from the Rams’ defense, I think Mooney can generate enough attention from Foles. Mooney has registered at least 32 yards receiving in four of six games this year. I will put some confidence in him to do it again.

The Bet
OVER 31.5

Jimmy Graham Receptions

Over 2.5
-167
Under 2.5
+137

Like I alluded to above for David Montgomery, I expect the Rams to keep a lot of the action for the Bears’ offense underneath. I just don’t see Allen Robinson running wild in the secondary. Tyler Lockett on the other hand was a major success for us in that regard last night on Sunday Night Football.

However, don’t expect Robinson to do the same against a fundamentally sound Rams’ defense. Foles will likely target his easy options underneath and allow the defense to go to work. All three of the pass catchers that I have included on this prop card will likely be called on to do damage in that space on the field.

Jimmy Graham is one of the best safety valves on the Bears’ roster. He’s not the same guy from New Orleans any longer, but is still a massive target with sticky hands. Graham has been targeted 36 times this season for 22 receptions and 203 yards. He has been a red zone threat for the Bears with 4 touchdowns.

Just throw it up to him if he’s in single coverage and it’s a high percentage play for Foles. Graham has recorded at least 3 receptions in five of six games in 2020. Since that game in Week 2, Graham has averaged 3.6 receptions per game. Graham has notched at least 4 catches in three out of his previous four outings. I think there’s a good chance of this prop going OVER for the Bears, too.

The Bet
OVER 2.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.