Chicago Bears vs. Las Vegas Raiders Pick – NFL Week 5

The Chicago Bears are in Las Vegas not to party, but for a business trip against the Las Vegas Raiders at Allegiant Stadium. The Raiders are hoping that the rookie Justin Fields catches a case of the “Vegas Flu”. NHL teams know all about the Vegas Flu. For a young quarterback a trip to Vegas might be a problem, but Fields seems mature for a 22-year-old.

Speaking of Fields, Matt Nagy has announced that he’s going to be the fulltime quarterback going forward. It was pretty clear after Andy Dalton was injured that he probably wasn’t going to be getting the starting job back. Unless Fields really played terribly, the job was going to be going to the rookie.

There is no reason for the Bears to go back to a veteran that isn’t going to be the future quarterback in Chicago. They have to give Fields the experience. This team isn’t going to be going to the playoffs no matter what, so this is a spot for Fields to use the rest of the year as an opportunity to get better.

The Bears are going into Las Vegas with a record of 2-2. They won their second game of the year last week, as they downed the Detroit Lions by a score of 24-14. The Lions committed multiple errors in the red zone to help aid the Bears. There were a couple of boneheaded mistakes that led to turnovers going in the other direction.

In their other victory, the Bears cut down the Cincinnati Bengals by a score of 20-17 on September 19 in Week 2. It’s been all defense getting the Bears into the win column in 2021. They just need to be patient on Fields developing into a confident and consistent quarterback. Will he ever get there? We’ll have to wait and see.

The Raiders are coming off a 28-14 loss against the LA Chargers. They were stymied against an aggressive Chargers’ defense. Derek Carr passed for 196 yards with 2 touchdowns and 1 interception. Josh Jacobs touted the rock for just 40 yards on 3.1 yards per carry, so it wasn’t just Carr misfiring. The loss prevented the Raiders from a four-game winning streak to open the season. Head below for our free Bears vs. Raiders pick on October 10, 2021.

Chicago Bears vs. Las Vegas Raiders Live Odds and Betting History:

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Chicago Bears +5.5 (-110) +200 Over 45 (-112)
Las Vegas Raiders -5.5 (-110) -240 Under 45 (-108)
Team Data Chicago Bears Las Vegas Raiders
Overall Record 2-2 3-1
ATS Record 2-2-0 2-2-0
Away/Home Record 0-2 2-0
ATS Away/Home 0-2-0 1-1-0
Points Per Game 16 26
Points Against Per Game 22.8 25
Passing Yards Per Game 114.3 326
Rushing Yards Per Game 122.8 80.5

Bears vs. Raiders Prediction:

Urban Meyer had his moment in the lowlight this week after he hung around in Ohio, and had fun at a local bar following a loss against the Cincinnati Bengals.

Now Jon Gruden is getting attention after emails from 2011 have been leaked to the public. He is being rung through the court of social media, and certainly, the attention isn’t needed two days before Week 5.

The Raiders didn’t need any distractions for a team that was doing a good job staying drama free. They have to be focused and prepared for Sunday, or the Bears’ defense can punch Derek Carr and the Raiders’ offense in the mouth.

The Bears’ defense has kept them in games this season, as they’ve conceded 350.8 yards per game. They’re in the top half of the league in passing and rushing yards allowed. The Bears are 10th in the NFL with 22.8 points allowed per game.

They just aren’t at a point where moving the ball consistently is happening, though. This is a learning experience for Fields, who is working with the 32nd best offense in the NFL. The Bears have notched 237 yards per game. That’s led to just 16 points scored per game.

Chicago Bears vs. Las Vegas Raiders Betting Trends:


  • 2-6 ATS in their previous eight games on the road
  • 1-6 ATS in their previous seven games as a road underdog
  • 0-4 ATS in their previous four games as an underdog
  • 0-8 ATS in their previous eight games versus a team with a winning record at home
  • 3-9 ATS in their previous 12 games after covering the spread
  • UNDER is 4-1 in their previous five games
  • UNDER is 6-0 in their previous six games in October
  • UNDER is 14-5 in their previous 19 games versus a team with a winning record


  • 3-7 ATS in their previous ten games
  • 1-4 ATS in their previous five games as a home favorite
  • 8-18 ATS in their previous 26 games after a win
  • 1-4 ATS in their previous five games after scoring less than 15 points

The Raiders’ defense hasn’t been spectacular, but they’re getting a strong push up front on the defensive line. Fields has already been sacked 12 times in just three games. He’s been running around looking for a second to find a receiver, but the offensive line isn’t giving him much assistance.

The Raiders are top-5 in QB hits with 31 going into Sunday. They’ve also tallied 9 sacks led by a strong pass rush from Maxx Crosby. Note that the Bears are dead last with a QB sack rate of 13.68%. The next closest team is the New York Jets with 10.32% sacks, so it’s not even really close. In their last three games, Fields has been sacked a whopping 17.57% of snaps.

Las Vegas have allowed 229.5 passing yards per game, which ranks in the top half of the league. If the Raiders can’t move the ball consistently on a good Chicago defense, they should be able to frustrate Fields. Expect him to be running around to avoid pressure often. This looks like a 24-17 or 23-20 final, so the UNDER is worth a look.


Bears vs. Raiders Pick