Are the Kansas City Chiefs a playoff ready team? We’ll find out this week as they travel to Houston to take on the Texans in what’ll be a huge test for the Chiefs. After hard fought victories over the Chargers, Browns and Niners, they lost a tough game last week against the Colts, which brought the then undefeated Chiefs back to reality. The Texans have also come right back down to earth after an explosive start to the season. Houston were the victims of a ferocious Giants defense last week that held the Texans to 10 points, and a miserable 28 yards rushing.
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The Chiefs have greatly improved from the Herm Edwards era, as Coach Todd Hailey is showing that he’s worth his weight as a top flight NFL coach. He brought in coordinators Romeo Crennel and Charlie Weis to establish a presence on both sides of the ball, and being two of the best coaches in player development, the change has worked wonders. There’s a lot of room for improvement in the passing game, as they’re averaging only 158 yards through the air, but the running game is keeping them in games, as Jamal Charles and Thomas Jones are contributing to over 148 yards a game, 3rd in the NFL. On defense, KC are playing with energy and urgency. They’re allowing less than 85 yards per game on the ground and giving up only 14 points per game. But perhaps most importantly, their pass rush has been excellent. A week of looking at how the Giants contained Schuab will go a long way.
Houston have had trouble running the ball recently after an electric start by RB Arian Foster. This week will be a good test for the Texans running game, and you can bet that coach Kubiak will look to establish the run early and break down the Chiefs D before striking through the air with their playmakers.
Chiefs vs. Texans Spread, Line and Betting Odds:
Kansas City Chiefs +4.5
@ Houston Texans -4.5
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Chiefs vs. Texans Prediction for Week 6 Betting:
Game Total Prediction (Top Play): The key to the Total in this game will be what Houston can do in the air versus a bend-but-don’t-break KC secondary. CB Brandon Flowers is having a career year for KC, and first round draft pick S Eric Berry is coming into his own, but the Chiefs are giving up over 235 yards through the air, 25th in the NFL. Their run D has been solid in wins over predominantly strong running teams (SF, CLEVELAND, SD). I like the Chiefs to spread the ball out this week against the worst secondary in the league. This has all the makings for a high scoring, shoot ‘em up affair. On a warm sunny day in Texas, the ball will be flying. And don’t forget about the impact that KR Dexter McCluster will have returning kicks.
Spread Prediction: Houston are 1-2 at home this year. They’ve lost back to back home games versus the Cowboys and Giants, and their secondary is reminding teams why they haven’t been able to compete in the division since their inception into the league. It’s the same story for the Texans: great offense, great pass rush, and good run D. But until they can find a way to slow teams down through the air, lesser teams will stay close all year long. Cassel hasn’t been great, but against this secondary and with their running game to turn to, the Chiefs should continue their success this week. I like KC plus the points.