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Chiefs vs. Bengals Pick – NFL Week 4

Who has been the fantasy football darling of 2015 thus far? If you haven’t been paying attention you’ll be guessing for a while. Andy Dalton? Nah couldn’t be. In fact, yes, Andy Dalton has been paving out some kind of start to the 2015 campaign. Of course this is the Bengals, all of this doesn’t mean much in September and October. Andy Dalton could continue at this pace and the Bengals could go 15-1 but if they don’t win a playoff game it won’t be for much. I think it is known by now that Dalton can play solid football during the regular season. In fact, the Bengals in the Andy Dalton era have always had a good regular season. Then the playoffs happen and absolutely nothing happens. The Bengals organization have stuck with head coach Marvin Lewis, believing he is the answer to get them further in the postseason. While Bengals fans and otherwise have called for his head after another doomed playoff showing, what else are the Bengals doing to do? They can’t fire Lewis and snap their fingers and a top-tier coach is in their lap. Finding a great head coach is difficult, and given the market of NFL head coaches, Lewis is the best option at this point.

Dalton is feeling the pressure now. He got the big contract and he still hasn’t led the Bengals to much. Even though the Bengals have started 3-0, a lot of people are still holding their breath on Dalton. Speaking of holding their breath, how about the Kansas City Chiefs. The Chiefs started off with a win over the Houston Texans, which doesn’t seem like it amounts to much as the Texans are having all kind of problems. The next two weeks they had a couple of hard games against the Broncos and Packers, both resulting in losses.

They were competitive against the Broncos and were winning, before they allowed a late touchdown and then fumbled the ball away to surrender the victory. Against the Packers, the Chiefs got worked by Aaron Rodgers and the Packer offense all night long on MNF. They allowed 38 points to the Packers in the 38-28 loss. Rodgers passed for 333 yards and 5 touchdowns on a hapless KC secondary. Dalton has been passing the ball extremely well this season, throwing for 866 yards with 8 touchdowns and 1 interception. Many are arguing that this is the best stretch of his career, I can’t dispute that. But like I said, he will ultimately be judged in the postseason.

KC Chiefs vs. Cincinnati Bengals NFL Pick

Betting Odds:

Spread:
Chiefs +3.5(-110)
@Bengals -3.5(-110)

Total:
Over 45(-110)
Under 45(-110)

Odds provided by Bovada.lv

Chiefs vs. Bengals Pick:

The forte of the Chiefs has been the defense. Thus far this season, though, the defense has been getting torched. The secondary is just allowing too many big plays in the passing game. They do get cornerback Sean Smith back from injury, their top corner. However, in his first game back since serving a three game suspension, Smith is welcomed back with a matchup against AJ Green. While the Chiefs got a player back, they also lost another corner, as Philip Gaines is gone for the year due to a torn ACL. AJ Green took exception to news that Julio Jones is the best receiver in the NFL apparently. Green went off for 227 yards and 3 touchdowns. We will see if Smith is ready for game action as he is going to have his hands full with Green all afternoon.

The Chiefs are ranked 24th in the league in yards against, allowing an average of 381 yards per game. Against the pass they are 29th in the league. The most important number of all, the Chiefs are surrendering 30 points per game to fall in the bottom 5 of the NFL. The Chiefs got exposed last week against a pass heavy team. Note that KC is on a short week as well here, they lose a day preparing for the Bengals’ offense. The Bengals are 2nd in the NFL, trailing only the Patriots in total team offense. I think the total is a couple points to low in this game. I suspect Andy Dalton is in for another big game against a suspect pass D. The Chiefs are averaging a fairly solid 26.3 points per game. They are going to need to get the offense going, because I see them falling behind to the Bengals early. There should be enough total points in this game to push it OVER the total of 45.

PICK: OVER 45 POINTS (-110)