Chiefs vs. Chargers Pick – NFL Week 11

The Kansas City Chiefs got their biggest win of the season last week in a big 29-13 win over the Broncos. The Chiefs executed their game plan to perfection, sending Peyton Manning to the bench, not because of an injury, but because he was playing so poorly. Manning has actually been dealing with a number of ailments, but it wasn’t like an injury was the reason for taking him out. After his fourth interception it was time to save him even further embarrassment and pull the plug. Manning’s QBR has dipped all the way down to 67.6. Have you in your life seen a 7-2 team with such low confidence? With Manning out now, it leaves it up to Brock Osweiler to take command of the offense. Good luck with that Brock. The appropriate course of action in Denver would be to keep Manning for the postseason. It will be interesting to see how they handle the situation, though.

The Chiefs move on to the warm state of California for a meeting with the Chargers. This will be their second consecutive game on the road. The Chargers will be coming off a bye which they so desperately needed. San Diego has had a season of horrors and are just looking to get to the end of the season. The Chargers enter with a 2-7 record, and it all but looks like they are going to secure a top pick in the draft. They aren’t so far off that they need to blow the team up, but there are holes to be filled, especially with their offensive line. It wouldn’t be a bad idea to find a go-to receiver for Philip Rivers either. For so long he had Antonio Gates to target, but with him getting older and not playing like the same type of player, there needs to be improvements to the offense.

The Chiefs are hoping that their win against the Broncos gets them on a bit of a run here. With a record of 4-5, they are at that point where there is no margin for error. Last week could prove to be more than just a win, it could turn into more wins with the momentum they take from it. There is two ways of looking at it, a letdown or gain momentum. The Steelers game three weeks ago may have been that momentum builder game, as they have won three in a row to give themselves some hope. I’m interested in seeing if they can avoid a wall and

Kansas City Chiefs vs. San Diego Chargers NFL

Betting Odds:

Spread:
Chiefs -3(-110)
@Chargers +3(-110)

Total:
Over 44.5(-110)
Under 44.5(-110)

Odds provided by Bovada.lv

Chiefs vs. Chargers Pick:

At first glance this may look like an easy pick on the Chiefs. After all, the Chiefs are on a three game winning streak and just sent Peyton Manning to the sidelines. And on the other side, the Chargers are 2-7 and the only thing we have seen from them is Philip Rivers yelling and bickering from his frustrations on the field. The defense has had their issues as well, posting a mark of 27.7 points allowed per game for 24th in the NFL. Believe it or not, for all of the troubles the Chargers have been having, the offense is 4th in the league with regards to total yards per game. San Diego is averaging 413.9 yards per game. They just have to start taking advantage of more opportunities, as they are scoring 23.3 points per game. Rivers would tell you that much.

The Chiefs are actually averaging more points per game than the Chargers are at 25 points per game. Does it feel like they are scoring that much? You aren’t alone. They are without Jamaal Charles so that right there would indicate they wouldn’t be scoring any points. However, the Kansas City Chiefs have been making it work. This total looks too low to me. I was thinking 46 here, but we are getting a total of 44.5. The Chiefs should be able to take advantage of the porous San Diego defense, and with a week for Philip Rivers to recoup and watch film, I feel like he is going to have a nice game. OVER 44.5 on a game that may be higher scoring than people expect.

PICK: OVER 44.5 POINTS (-110)

Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.