Chiefs vs. Chargers Pick – NFL Week 17

Happy New Year to all! I hope last night was filled with lots of fun with your friends and family. It was yet another year of being in the money with my sports picks at The Sports Geek. A quick glance indicates that I am plus-money in every sport I cover here at the blog in 2016. Can’t argue with that, can we? Let’s keep it going in 2017, all the way to the college football National Championship, the NFL Playoffs, Super Bowl, Stanley Cup and into baseball season. Did I mention how excited I am for baseball season to get here?

Okay, I’ll say it now. We are in the final week of the regular season in the NFL and it actually feels like Week 1 was just a couple of weeks ago. Football season truly goes by too fast for my liking. I guess that means March Madness is that much closer, which is one of my favorite times of the year, so it isn’t all terrible.

Week 17 is always a week you need to be cognisant of what is going on in the playoff picture. Some teams already have their fate wrapped up, others are looking to improve their seeding, while some need to win to make the playoffs, and the bottom teams who are out of playoff contention. As we saw last week, though, having to win does not always equate to a victory. The Detroit Lions had a chance to clinch a wildcard at the very worst, but the Cowboys flexed their muscles and showed why they are the number 1 seed in the NFC. There was no let up from the Cowboys.

For our first pick of the day, we take a look at the AFC West where the Kansas City Chiefs travel to beautiful San Diego where the Chiefs are seeking their first divisional championship since 2010. It goes something like this for the Chiefs: if they win and the Raiders lose against the Broncos the AFC West belongs to Kansas City. If the Raiders and Chiefs both win, they will remain with a wildcard spot. The key here is that this game has some meaning for the Chiefs, but only if the Broncos beat the Chiefs.

Regardless of what happens, though, KC are locked into the postseason. The Raiders are in as well, but the Broncos were bumped out thanks to the Chiefs. And the Chargers? There isn’t much to report on their end, as they are statistically removed from the postseason. With a record of 5-10, the Chargers have nothing to lose this afternoon.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. San Diego Chargers NFL Betting Odds:

Chiefs -4.5(-110)
vs. Chargers +4.5(-110)

Over 44.5(-110)
Under 44.5(-110)

Odds provided by

Chiefs vs. Chargers Pick:

The Chargers should come into this game cool and calm with nothing to lose. It’s one last game to impress the team and other teams for next season, and for Philip Rivers, a game to improve his final numbers. The Chiefs are in the postseason, so there shouldn’t be any reason to feel panicked or edgy. In the first meeting between the Chiefs and Chargers way back in Week 1, the Chiefs managed to survive a close call at Arrowhead. The Chiefs came back to force overtime and a 33-27 win.

It was a hard loss for the Chargers, and essentially set the tone for the rest of their year. Then the injuries came, notably to wide receiver Keenan Allen, Rivers’ favorite target. Rivers still produced nice numbers, throwing for 31 touchdowns, but with 19 interceptions. With a better offensive line, we would have seen him with less turnovers. The Chiefs like to get after the quarterback so Rivers must look out for the aggressive pass rush. Surprisingly, KC are 24th in yards allowed per game, but still allowing only 18.9 points per game. Bend but don’t break to the max.

The Chargers are in fact better defensively when it comes to yards allowed per game. San Diego come in at 14th in the NFL through Week 16 in yards surrendered. Additionally, the Chargers have earned more sacks than the Chiefs. The Bolts have 34 sacks on the year for 12th in the league. Meanwhile the Chiefs have sacked opposing quarterbacks 28 times for 27th in the NFL. Call me weird, but I’m siding with the team who have nothing to play for. The Chiefs did a number on their season in the first week of the schedule. It was only one game, but it shot a dagger right through the Chargers’ hearts. Now they can play spoiler and disrupt the Chiefs’ division championship. I could see this game going either way by a field goal. Thus, the points with the Chargers at home look attractive to me.

PICK: CHARGERS +4.5 (-110)

Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.