Chiefs vs. Lions Pick – NFL Week 4

Following another easy victory on Thursday Night Football with the Eagles to cover against the Packers, we’re back at it again with a loaded Sunday slate of NFL action.

The Eagles asserted their dominance as we predicted and as such, we begin Week 4 with another victory – bringing my record to 10-4 against the spread for the 2019 regular season.

As we turn our heads to the early game on Sunday, we’ll begin with a very interesting matchup between two undefeated teams, Kansas City and Detroit.

The Chiefs were always expected to be this good, and they’ve been as great as advertised thus far. Meanwhile for Detroit, they’ve vastly exceeded expectations thus far and should be entering riding a wave of confidence after beating the Eagles in Philadelphia in Week 3. Is their success legitimate? We should find out a lot about the Lions this week as they face their stiffest test of the year at home in Ford Field.

This matchup should provide one of the more explosive games of the week, featuring lots of points and high-skill plays. Read on below the odds for a detailed breakdown, and official betting selection as we look to secure yet another winner and keep this streak going.

Chiefs vs. Lions Betting Odds:

Kansas City Chiefs -7 (-110)
@ Detroit Lions +7 (-110)

Over 54.5 (-110)
Under 54.5 (-110)

Chiefs vs. Lions Pick:

Can anyone truly stop this Kansas City offense? Likely not, and given the fact that Lions are facing some tough injury concerns – it might be difficult for them here in Week 4. Darrius Slay is questionable as Matt Patricia’s side prepares for Patrick Mahomes and that Kansas City offense, and even though Detroit does boast a strong secondary – they’ll be in tough against one of the league’s most explosive groups.

One area Detroit really needs to focus in on is getting pressure to Mahomes, and not allowing him to be comfortable in the pocket. Mahomes is lethal when he has time and space, but fortunately for the Lions they remain an elite group at getting to opposing QB’s and applying pressure. Last week against Baltimore, Mahomes did seem rattled a few times when the Ravens got heavy pressure from the blind side – and the Lions can definitely replicate this strategy. If it’s consistent throughout the game, the Chiefs’ offense might finally have an obstacle to overcome.

If the Lions are going to have a shot in this one, they’re going to need to engage in a shootout type of game, which they are actually well-equipped to do. One of the reasons Detroit has been better this season is that they’ve finally allowed Matt Stafford to do what he’s best at – drop back and pass the ball downfield. He has talented weapons at his disposal, and should be able to really test a questionable secondary. The trio of Kenny Golladay, Marvin Jones, and big tight end T.J. Hockensen should really trouble Kansas City’s defense and allow Detroit to keep pace with the Chiefs’ attack. Expect Kerryon Johnson to also be in store for a successful outing with his bruising running style. Last week, Baltimore could do what they wanted on the ground, and Mark Ingram put up big-time numbers.

Expect this to be a close game with neither defense really having an answer for the opposing offense. The Chiefs’ defense however has yet to really face an offense as good as Detroit’s, and it could come down to whichever group forces more punts. Mahomes is elite, and the public loves him – but the Lions have the tools to keep pace at home here, and their defense is better than Kansas City’s at the moment. Seven points is a lot for a home underdog, and expect the Lions to turn in another solid showing in Week 4.

My Pick
Lions +7
Will S. / Author

Will has been working with The Sports Geek since its early days back in 2010. He began as a soccer specialist, focusing on detailed reports for major international competitions, including the World Cup and European Championships. Since then, he has produced weekly pick articles on both the NFL and English Premier League, while also contributing blog posts on the NHL, MLB, and even WWE wrestling. Will is also an avid sports bettor and daily fantasy player, always eager to share his thoughts and insight on anything going on in the world of sports.