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Chiefs vs. Packers NFL Pick – Week 4 Pre-Season August 28th

It was a productive Week 3 of the NFL Pre-Season for myself at The Sports Geek. We bounced back nicely from a horrid Week 2, and managed a 3-1 showing. Our big Sunday Night selection showed a Bengals squad ready to accomplish great things this upcoming season. Andy Dalton and company were prolific on offense, and that defense remains one of the top units in all of football.

Week 4 likely won’t be anywhere near as thrilling as Week 3. Even though all of the games do fall on the Thursday night, very few teams will feature their starters as they’ll likely be tucked away and protected with hopes of being in pristine condition for Week 1 of the regular season. Capping Week 4 is all about looking at organizational depth and weighing motivational factors. Tonight, we believed we’ve isolated a spot at Lambeau Field where the Packers will host the Chiefs to conclude their respective NFL exhibition seasons. Read on below for our final pre-season game thoughts and official betting selection.

Chiefs vs. Packers Betting Odds:

Spread:
Kansas City Chiefs +3 (+100)
@ Green Bay Packers -3 (-120)

Total:
Over 42 (-110)
Under 42 (-110)

Betting odds provided by Bovada.lv

Chiefs vs. Packers Prediction:

Though the Packers were dealt with some tough injuries to starters this past week (B.J. Raji and J.C. Tretter), it’s interesting that head coach Mike McCarthy has stated that his starters will get some work in Week 4. It will likely only be a couple of series at the most, and franchise quarterback Aaron Rodgers isn’t expected to be among those on the field, but that’s still an intriguing betting note to remember.

The most interesting battle currently ongoing in Green Bay, is the one involving two solid QB’s in Matt Flynn and Scott Tolzien. Both play-callers have had experience starting, and both are expected to play each of the halves on Thursday night. Having the benefit of two experienced back-ups is beneficial to Green Bay throughout the year, and also when you decide to place your money on them! Flynn and Tolzien have fared quite well against second-team defenses this exhibition season, and there’s no reason that shouldn’t continue with the competition for second-in-command firmly up for grabs. Expect big outings from both of these experienced quarterbacks against Kansas City’s backups.

While the Chiefs too are a solid football club, they possess nowhere near the depth the Packers do. This is especially true at the quarterback position. Beyond starting quarterback Alex Smith, Andy Reid’s club looks lost for answers and is virtually praying he doesn’t get injured. While they’ve compiled a young QB corps filled with potential, they’ve come nowhere near reaching it this pre-season. The combination of Chase Daniel, Aaron Murray, and Tyler Bray will have you thinking you’re watching an SEC all-star game and not an NFL showdown. The three have all struggled so far in their limited exposure to NFL play-calling, and going against a deep defensive front featuring former starters and first-rounders from Green Bay will not be easy. It’s believed that Murray and Bray are currently locked in a battle of who will feature as the third quarterback. Starters Alex Smith and Jamaal Charles won’t feature at all against the Packers.

As is always the case around the fourth pre-season game, fans, players, and coaches alike all begin to get antsy. They’re eagerly anticipating the beginning of the regular season and wish they could just get on with it. While the result of this game isn’t that important to those on the field and sidelines, it surely is important to us in the betting world. The Packers still feel special when they get to play at Lambeau. Their reserves are fighting for more, and are far deeper than what the Chiefs will trot out. The gap in quarterbacking play should be astronomical, and as a result feel comfortable taking an easy 3 points with a Packers squad that will look to send their loyal fans home happy before Week 1. It’s been a good pre-season, and next time we’ll speak, this will all be for real. Enjoy!

PICK = Packers -3 (-120)