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Chiefs vs. Packers Pick – NFL Week 3

It’s not often we see premier games anymore on Monday Night Football. Ever since the emergence of Sunday Night Football, the marquee match-ups are typically reserved for that night, so it’s extra special to see two pretty solid teams from opposing conferences square off live from Lambeau Field on Monday evening.
The Chiefs are a solid football club and should contend for this year’s post-season. They’ve had an extra-long break after last Thursday’s defeat against the Broncos at home. That was a disappointing game for Kansas City, essentially handling Denver the victory late in the 4th quarter. The Chiefs will be eager to wash that bitter taste from their mouths, but it won’t be easy against an undefeated, but banged-up Packers team.

Green Bay is fresh off a fairly routine dismantling against the Seahawks in Week 2. They’ve looked like they haven’t skipped a beat in 2015, despite some pretty key injuries. For Monday night, the injury bug will unfortunately continue to bite as key running back Eddie Lacy and wideout Davante Adams are questionable against the Chiefs. While both are expected to play, it remains to be seen just how many snaps they’ll see. It should be a pretty good match-up under the Monday Night lights, so let’s try and end that betting week off with a victory! Read on below for a full game breakdown and the official selection for MNF.

Chiefs vs. Packers Betting Odds:

Spread:
Kansas City Chiefs +6.5 (-105)
@ Green Bay Packers -6.5 (-115)

Total:
Over 49 (-110)
Under 49 (-110)

Betting odds provided by Bovada.lv

Chiefs vs. Packers Pick:

Despite the fact that the Packers offense is about as elite as they come, I think Green Bay may have some struggles to move the chains on Monday – especially given the status of Lacy and Adams. Again, while it is expected that they’ll play, it remains to be seen how effective the duo can be against a tough Chiefs defense. James Starks is definitely a downgrade compared to Eddie Lacy and don’t expect him to get any sort of traction against a run-clogging front from Kansas City. The Chiefs dominated Denver’s running backs last week and should do the same on Monday night against Lacy and Starks.

Even in Kansas City’s secondary there is an abundance of talent. The Chiefs have great depth there and they should be effective enough to limit Aaron Rodgers from simply marching up and down the field like he does against virtually everyone else. But Kansas City presents a new and unique threat as they possess an excellent pass rush led by Justin Houston. Houston recorded 22 sacks last season and comes to Green Bay already having three this season. He has the potential to wreak havoc on the Green Bay offense and should prove disruptive enough to keep the Packers and their scoring attack in check.

For Kansas City’s efficient offense, it’ll be interesting to see if they can keep pace with the Packers offense. The biggest emphasis for the Chiefs will likely be establishing the run game with Jamaal Charles in the early going. The Packers are porous vs. the run, as was seen in Week 1 vs. Matt Forte. They also tend to struggle in coverage and have missed a ton of tackles through the first two weeks. That does not bode well against the type of offense the Chiefs typically run. Alex Smith is known for simply unloading the ball to talented receivers, and they should be able to break free for longer gains. Kansas City is a smarter and better organized group than they showed last week vs. Denver. They’ll protect the ball and hang around until late in the 4th quarter. Given the Packers injuries, I like the Chiefs to keep things tight on Monday night.

PICK = Chiefs +6.5 (-105)