Chiefs vs. Rams MNF Pick – NFL Week 11

Monday Night Football is super special this week, as a pair of 9-1 teams will meet in what could very well be a Super Bowl showdown. The Chiefs will head to Los Angeles to do battle with the Rams.

Initially this match-up was supposed to take place in Mexico City, but poor field conditions moved this game to smoky Los Angeles. It’s a slight boost for the Rams to play at home instead of in neutral territory, but you have to consider their mental state after wildfires have ravaged much of California. Many players and staff of the Rams have had to be displaced from their homes, and hopefully for those involved football can serve as a brief reprieve from very unfortunate circumstances off the field.

This game promises to be very exciting and should live up to the hype. The total is currently hovering in the mid-60’s, meaning both squads can and will put up points on Monday evening. And while both of these teams are likely set for the playoffs, there are some bragging rights on the line in this best vs. best contest. So read on below as we break down this exciting showdown, and try to end off Week 11 with a winning selection to help you head into Thanksgiving Thursday with some extra dough in your wallet.

Chiefs vs. Rams Betting Odds:

Kansas City Chiefs +3.5 (-111)
@ Los Angeles Rams -3.5 (-109)

Over 62 (-110)
Under 62 (-110)

Chiefs vs. Rams Pick:

For Kansas City, they’ll be able to get reacquainted with former star defensive player Marcus Peters. I use the word ‘former’ because he hasn’t been good at all of late for the Rams. Peters has been hindered by some of the other injuries in the Rams’ secondary, but right now it’s a huge liability for Sean McVay and his squad.

As a result, look for Patrick Mahomes and Tyreek Hill to be able to heavily exploit the Rams’ secondary. It has been abused in recent weeks, and the Chiefs certainly have the personnel to really do damage in Week 11. Beyond Hill, look for both Sammy Watkins and Travis Kelce to be in line for big outings. That duo can’t be covered either – as the Rams just don’t have good coverage among their linebackers.

Los Angeles does boast a ferocious defensive front and they can and should get to Mahomes. But if Mahomes doesn’t get rid of it quickly through the air, he knows he has Kareem Hunt emerging from the backfield. The hard runner is in fine form, and the Rams haven’t been all that stout vs. the run game. Last week the Seahawks used a ton of run plays to gash the Rams, and the same strategy should be employed again on Monday night.

On the other side of the ball, it’s going to be interesting to see how the L.A. Rams respond without Cooper Kupp on offense. He has been such a key contributor to what they do, and a favorite target of QB Jared Goff. Goff still does have a ton of key talents at his disposal however, and much like when the Chiefs have the ball, when the Rams have it – don’t count on Kansas City stopping them. On the ground, Todd Gurley should also make many positive gains with his legs. The dynamic runner is red-hot right now, and Kansas City doesn’t have the run-stuffing personnel to slow him down.

Both teams will score, and score a lot. Not scoring on a drive might be rare in this contest. That said, we know what we are getting with the Chiefs, but there still seem to be quite a bit of unknowns with the Rams. How will they fare without Cooper Kupp remains a key concern. I think Kansas City takes advantage of a distracted Rams team, and right now seems better suited to get some stops. Getting 3.5-points seems a tad high, and I like Kansas City to keep things tight on Monday night.

PICK = Chiefs +3.5 (-111)


Will S. / Author

Will has been working with The Sports Geek since its early days back in 2010. He began as a soccer specialist, focusing on detailed reports for major international competitions, including the World Cup and European Championships. Since then, he has produced weekly pick articles on both the NFL and English Premier League, while also contributing blog posts on the NHL, MLB, and even WWE wrestling. Will is also an avid sports bettor and daily fantasy player, always eager to share his thoughts and insight on anything going on in the world of sports.