Cincinnati Bengals vs. Indianapolis Colts Pick – NFL Week 6

The Cincinnati Bengals and Indianapolis Colts look to pick up the pieces following rough performances in Week 5. Joe Burrow had the most difficult performance of his career last week in Baltimore against the Ravens. It was tough sledding, as the Bengals were blasted by the Ravens, 27-3.

If it wasn’t for a cheap late field goal by the Bengals to break the shutout, the Ravens would have blanked Burrow and the Bengals. The Bengals kicked a pointless field goal with around 30 seconds left on the clock. Yes, the Ravens are going to remember that. It was fairly amateurish, but the Bengals didn’t want to give the Ravens the satisfaction of a goose egg.

Burrow passed for 183 yards with no touchdowns and an interception. The fast Baltimore defense was just too much for him to handle. Everything came at him too fast and the result wasn’t pretty. Tee Higgins led the Bengals with 62 yards on 4 receptions. A.J. Green did absolutely nothing, as he was targeted just once for no catches. With the loss, the Bengals are 1-3-1 and at the bottom of the AFC West.

This isn’t supposed to be a year where the Bengals go to the playoffs, but rather a season to give Burrow some experience for next season and beyond. There hasn’t been a whole lot to dislike about Burrow in his career thus far. He’s passed for 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 65.2% completions. Bumps are going to happen along the way in a rookie season. That’s what happened last week against the Ravens for Burrow.

The schedule makers didn’t give the Bengals much help in Week 5 and 6. Instead of going home or a bye after playing the Ravens on the road, they’re staying on the road and going to Lucas Oil Field for a matchup against the Colts. The Colts were pushed around by the Browns last week for a final score of 32-23 in Cleveland.

It was the worst performance of the season by the defense, so we’ll see how they respond against Burrow and company on Sunday afternoon. It’s also going to be interesting to see how Burrow responds after the disaster in Baltimore. This is the first time in his young career that he’s faced some adversity in the NFL. Head below for our free Bengals vs. Colts pick for October 18, 2020.

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Indianapolis Colts Week 6 Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Bengals +7.5 (-115)
  • Colts -7.5 (-105)
Moneyline:

  • Bengals (+290)
  • Colts (-380)
Total:

  • Over 45.5 (-115)
  • Under 45.5 (-105)

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Bengals vs. Colts Prediction:

If the Bengals are going to win in Indianapolis, they must figure out a way to slow down the running game led by Wisconsin Badger, Jonathan Taylor. I was surprised that Taylor was mentioned as much as he should have been leading up to the draft, but I think he’s going to develop into a dangerous runner for the Colts. He’s gained 123 yards and 1 touchdown on the ground, while catching 8 balls for 76 yards receiving. This could be a breakout game for him against a porous Bengals’ defense.

The Bengals are getting pushed around up front and it will probably continue on Sunday. They’ve allowed 159 rushing yards per game for 30th in the NFL. Only the Lions and Texans have been worse against the run than the Bengals. If there’s a game for Taylor to bust out, this is probably going to be it at home versus Cincinnati.

That should open up plays for Philip Rivers, who is coming off a lackluster performance in Cleveland. He’s been inadequate this season with 4 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 70.78% completions. His completion rate has been more than fine, but he has to cut back on the mistakes. Against a beatable Cincinnati defense, he should be able to bounce back into form for at least a day.

Burrow goes from the Ravens’ defense to a tough assignment this week as well. The Colts have held the Jets and Vikings for a combined 18 points at home. Sure it’s the Jets, but limiting Kirk Cousins and the Vikings to 11 points was impressive. Cousins threw for 113 yards and 3 interceptions in that performance. The Colts lead the NFL with 179.6 passing yards conceding per game.

Overall, the Colts are first in yards allowed per game as well, with just 266 yards per game. I find them to be slightly overrated in that regard, but should hold up well against a rookie quarterback who is coming off the worst performance of his career. Look for this to be a ball control game by the Colts. Pound the ball and slowly bleed the clock before pulling away in the second half. A 27-17 win in favor of the Colts looks about right.

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The Bet
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS -7.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.