Cleveland Browns vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Divisional Round Pick – January 17

The NFL post-season rages on come Sunday afternoon with a fascinating double-header during its Divisional Round weekend.

In the AFC, we’ll take a look at the defending champs in the Kansas City Chiefs, as they prepare to host Baker Mayfield and the Cleveland Browns.

The Browns of course are coming off of an absolute stomping of the Steelers last week, and enter this match-up quite likely playing their best football of the season. Though the spread is lofty in this contest, there are many reasons to believe this Browns team is a live underdog.

For Kansas City, they’ve seemingly been on cruise control all season long, ready to supposedly ramp it up for the playoffs. Well, the playoffs are here and we’ll see if we get the ‘killer instinct’ Chiefs, or the Chiefs that have let opponents stay in games for many consecutive weeks now. Coming off of their bye week, the Chiefs will enter in good rest and health as they prepare for a potential repeat.

After far too long of a wait for Browns fans, it’s great to see them succeeding in the playoffs. After shocking the Steelers last week in Pittsburgh, can Cleveland do so again to the high-octane Chiefs? Continue reading on beneath the posted odds for our take on those questions, as well as an official betting selection for this AFC Divisional showdown. The winner will play the Buffalo Bills next weekend.

Cleveland Browns vs. Kansas City Chiefs Betting Odds:

Cleveland Browns +10 (-115)
@ Kansas City Chiefs -10 (-105)

Cleveland Browns (+375)
Kansas City Chiefs (-525)

Over 57 (-110)
Under 57 (-110)

*Betting odds provided by

Cleveland Browns vs. Kansas City Chiefs Pick:

While the bye week allowed the Kansas City Chiefs some time for added rest and relaxation, unfortunately not all injuries have healed entering Sunday’s contest vs. Cleveland.

It is expected that Kansas City will still be without their top offensive lineman in Mitchell Schwartz. He’s been sidelined since Week 7 and though there were reports of him returning, Andy Reid recently stated that he’ll remain out with a suspected back injury.

Week 7 is also when the Chiefs started to show some warts, despite winning every game – they lacked the usual conviction in their victories. They squeaked by lesser teams from there on out, and have yet to put together a convincing performance. Without Schwartz, it will add pressure to Mahomes, especially with a mediocre running game. The Chiefs will need to find success with quick passes to keep the Browns’ pass rush at bay.

Cleveland on the other hand enters in excellent form. They should be able to do some things that really trouble Kansas City offensively, starting with their powerful ground game from Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt. That duo represents the top running duo in football, and behind Wyatt Teller, those two should be able to find big lanes and keep the chains moving.

With Kansas City focusing on the run, it should provide a little more breathing room for Baker Mayfield to survey the field and hit his targets downfield. While Kansas City does have solid defensive line pieces, with the Browns’ offensive line healthy and in excellent form, the edge goes to them at the line of scrimmage.

Patrick Mahomes is the best player in the league and could go down as the best quarterback ever, but this number is still too high. The Browns match-up incredibly well with the Chiefs, and with their form, they should be able to trouble them on both sides of the ball. While the Chiefs will likely escape with a victory after some brilliance from Mahomes, do not be surprised to see the Browns hanging around for all four quarters. Take the double-digits with Cleveland on Sunday.

My Pick
Browns +10
Will S. / Author

Will has been working with The Sports Geek since its early days back in 2010. He began as a soccer specialist, focusing on detailed reports for major international competitions, including the World Cup and European Championships. Since then, he has produced weekly pick articles on both the NFL and English Premier League, while also contributing blog posts on the NHL, MLB, and even WWE wrestling. Will is also an avid sports bettor and daily fantasy player, always eager to share his thoughts and insight on anything going on in the world of sports.

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