There are two more Divisional Round games to get to on Sunday in the NFL. The Green Bay Packers and Buffalo Bills took care of business and are off to the NFC Championship and AFC Championship. They still need an opponent, though, and we’ll find out who they’ll be playing on Sunday.
The Bills could see the Kansas City Chiefs or Cleveland Browns in the AFC Championship, while the Packers will face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers or New Orleans Saints. Any of these potential matchups should make for entertaining conference championships. And that’s all I’m really hoping for.
My team is well out of this race, and I don’t care one way or another who wins the Super Bowl out of the remaining teams, so may we have some fun and profitable games.There weren’t any surprises to be had on the first day of the Divisional Round weekend.
The Packers and Bills were both favorites. They both won and covered, likely putting a dent in some sportsbooks. I’m not so confident about the Ravens-Bills game. The public likely loved the Ravens plus the points over the Bills. The Packers, however, were a heavily bet on team at home at Lambeau Field.
Their 32-18 effort was enough to cover the number and advance to the NFC Championship. The Packers will be hosting the NFC Championship next week against either the Buccaneers or Saints. The Buccaneers and Saints is the second matchup today, while the Chiefs and Browns are in the spotlight in the early game. It should be a fun game for props. Head below for our free Chiefs vs. Browns props for January 17, 2021 in the NFL Divisional Round.
— NFL (@NFL) January 17, 2021
Baker Mayfield Passing Yards
The Cleveland Browns are going to have to turn up their offense on Sunday to get a win at Arrowhead Stadium. They can’t sit back and play conservatively or the Chiefs will clear the Browns early. If the Browns get behind early, which is certainly a good possibility, any chance of playing conservatie game will go out the window for the Browns.
The Browns will have to win this game on the arm of Baker Mayfield. It all comes down to how much magic Baker has up his sleeve. He is feeling confident after leading the Browns to a 48-37 win in the Wild Card Round against the Pittsburgh Steelers.
Mayfield passed for 263 yards and 3 touchdowns against a solid Pittsburgh defense. He hooked up with three different receivers to find the end zone. Mayfield has been playing terrific football since the end of November. He has passed for 14 touchdowns and 1 interception since November 29.
Along with 14 touchdowns, Mayfield averaged 282.3 passing yards per game through seven games. Leading up to the Divisional Round, Mayfield threw for at least 261 yards in five of his previous six starts. The Chiefs were in the middle of the NFL against the pass, with 236.2 passing yards conceded per game. In a game that is likely going to force Mayfield to use his arm plenty, expect him to throw for at least 270 yards.
Nick Chubb Receiving Yards
Nick Chubb had a productive game on the ground and through the air against the Steelers in the Wild Card. He ran for 76 yards on 4.2 yards per carry, along with 4 receptions and 69 yards receiving and a score. Chubb has scored a touchdown in seven straight games going into the Divisional Round on Sunday.
While Kareem Hunt will be looking to prove something against his former team today, Chubb is still the main running back in the backfield for the Browns. He gained 1,067 rushing yards and 12 touchdowns on 5.6 yards per carry in the 2020 season.
Chubb’s ability as a pass-catcher was largely ignored early in the season, but he’s been heating up recently. He did a lot in the passing-game last season. We know he can catch the ball. Chubb recorded 278 receiving yards in 2019, which fell to 150 yards this season. However, he’s been seeing plenty of targets lately.
Note that Chubb has gone for at least 16 yards receiving in five of his last six outings. He has also caught 14 receptions through that stretch. I think the total should be a bit higher on this receiving prop for Chubb. With that in mind, consider a play on the OVER.
Austin Hooper Receptions
Austin Hooper has been an unsung hero in a way for the Browns this season. The former Atlanta Falcon may not get the most attention from the media, but he has an important cog to the Browns’ offense. Hooper caught 46 receptions for 435 yards and 4 touchdowns. He got into the end zone to cap off a productive game for Hooper. The tight end had 7 receptions for 43 yards and a touchdown. It was the second game in three outings that Hooper had at least 7 receptions. He’s made at least 5 receptions in three of his previous four tilts. Like I said, the Browns are likely going to have to keep the ball in the air to keep up with Mahomes and the Chiefs. That will most certainly benefit Hooper on Sunday.