Colts vs. 49ers Pick – NFL Week 3

A game that should have been a show of revenge against the Seattle Seahawks turned into another disappointing effort. The 49ers got romped for the second consecutive time in Seattle, this time getting beat 29-3. Like everyone else in the NFL, the 49ers can’t seem to figure out the Seahawks’ defense. However, the 49ers seem to do just fine against everyone else in the league. Jim Harbaugh is also one of the best at bouncing back after a tough loss, so look for the ‘Niners to come out guns blazing against the Indianapolis Colts.

The Colts made headlines this past week by acquiring Trent Richardson in a trade from the Cleveland Browns. The Colts surrendered a first round pick to get Richardson, but I think it’s a trade that should be beneficial for both teams in the long run. They have long needed a running back to compliment Andrew Luck and they got it with Richardson. It may take some time for him to get acquainted into the Browns’ offense, but it is a major upgrade for the Colts right off the bat. Will it be enough to knock off the 49ers on the road, though? Read below to hear my 2 cents regarding that.

Colts vs. 49ers Betting Odds:

Indianapolis Colts +10(-110)
@San Francisco 49ers -10(-110)

Over 47(-110)
Under 47(-110)

Betting odds provided by

Colts vs. 49ers Pick:

The Indianapolis Colts have been in the news and the 49ers have been as well, but for all the wrong reasons. Aldon Smith got charged with a DUI and possession after a night of drinking in the early hours of the morning. Harbaugh has stated that his services will be available on Sunday, an important defender that the ‘Niners definitely need on the field for the long term. The ‘Niners defensive line goes from being great to just average without Smith in the lineup. This is an important mishap by Smith that will probably carry a suspension with it from the commissioner. San Fran in their first two games haven’t been their typical selves, Aaron Rodgers piled the points on in week 1, and then the Seahawks were able to put up 29 points last week. The defense currently ranks 13th in yards allowed per game at 337.5. What is of great concern for the 49ers is the amount of points they are giving up, a whopping 28.5 per game. In my opinion the ‘Niners have always had an overrated pass defense, so this isn’t that much of a surprise to me. You still can’t run against them, but even with Richardson with the Colts now, they will rely heavily on their passing game with Andrew Luck.

Luck and the Colts will have the benefit of facing a 49ers defensive unit that is banged up more than usual. The 49ers will be starting a new nose tackle on Sunday and safety Eric Reid, who has been phenomenal in his rookie season, is listed as questionable against the Colts. They gave up 28 points against the Packers and 29 last week against the Seahawks when they were a little healthier, so if Luck wants to showcase his talents against a good team to the world on national television, this would be the game. The Colts’ offense has been good in 2013. Just good, what has held them back is a lack of a running game. It really has been no secret what the Colts were trying to do on offense with no running game. However, with Richardson in the offense now it’ll keep defenses guessing a little more. I don’t expect the Colts to run the ball effectively against the ‘Niners, but they will at least need to respect the run now. The Colts suffered a mini-upset at the hands of the Dolphins last week, and will look to get the offense more in order with a solid running back. All the attention is on Richardson, but look for receiver T.Y. Hilton. I have hyped this kid from his playing days in college at FIU and it has certainly translated into the pros.

The Colts’ defense has held up alright thus far this season, allowing only 20.5 points a game. But, they have only played the Oakland Raiders and Miami Dolphins, two of the worst offenses in the NFL. And still, they are still giving up yards in chunks, where they rank 23rd in yards allowed per game. The 49ers will cash in on a short field, something the Raiders and Dolphins have trouble doing. Colin Kaepernick had a horrid game against the Seahawks last Sunday, passing for only 127 yards with no touchdowns and 3 interceptions. That performance is a far-cry from what he did against the Packers at home in the previous week, dissecting them for 412 yards in the air and chipping in with 22 on the ground. Another player that regressed significantly was Anquan Boldin, after a 208-yard outing against the Packers, Boldin only caught one ball for 7-yards against the Seahawks! Thankfully for them, Richard Sherman or any of the other Seahawks will not be on the other side of the ball Sunday.

The 49ers and Harbaugh are some of the best at bouncing back from a loss, and it being at home, I think this is line is quite accurate. I know lots of people watched the 49ers get bulldozed last week, and when they saw this big +10 on the board, they immediately hopped on the Colts. 10 points is a lot for an NFL game against a pretty good opponent, but I think the ‘Niners aren’t in a mood to let the Colts hang around in this game. I do like the 49ers -10, but with big spreads like this I am always concerned with the backdoor cover near the end. Consequently, I am going to make a play on the over instead, a game in which we figure to see the 49ers light the scoreboard up, and with Andrew Luck looking good with his new weapon in the arsenal.

PICK : OVER 47 (-110)

Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.